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Jet Stream Rider

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  1. That area of cold air advection looks like it is downsloping off the frozen mountains.
  2. For the other folks on the borderline or just interested: Current 850 temp advection. That blue cold air advection area has just popped up very close to the area of waa.
  3. Got some sleet mixed in with the rain just now with heavier rates. Air temp is 38
  4. It would be typical climo for the mountains to get a moderate snow event and not much anywhere else for this sort of weak lp system with basically no CAD in place. Its the snow in the deep south over the last 24 hours that keeps the sense of maybe something more alive.
  5. I'm close but no cigar either guys. Just too close to coast for me, whatever warm nose slight as it is keeping me in the upper 30s temp and so is the dewpoint. I guess enough cold dry air could get here at 925 and agree that might get some backend here as well. NAM showed my area in the rather small sleet pocket later today, so we shall see. 925 current: http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# Click on the Upper air -925 tab
  6. looks nasty as **** on those latest hrrr maps. RDU up to just south of Roanoke Rapids looks to be a mixed mess. mby might end up being just north of it, and we know what that means. I'll take measurements if it materializes.
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