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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. MJO812
    Congrats on winter storm Chan
  2. MJO812
    Looks like we will be in phase 8 all December. Paul Roundy thinks we will be cold through January .
  3. MJO812
    Yep the gefs has been awful
  4. MJO812
    NYC would most likely see snow in the front . It all depends how fast the precip gets up here when the cold is still around.
  5. MJO812
    It has been only to follow the eps.
  6. MJO812
    Euro gives nyc some snow but nothing serious
  7. MJO812
    Eps members
  8. MJO812
    Eps also. A few inches but I doubt that.
  9. MJO812
    Maybe. Depends how fast the precip comes in . Best chance is at the beginning especially if the euro is right.
  10. MJO812
    Similiar to 12z but more precip
  11. MJO812
    What
  12. MJO812
    I think the coast stays all rain but maybe some flakes.
  13. MJO812
    Slightly further south but 2 lows. One of the lows is fake.
  14. MJO812
    Gfs is further south
  15. MJO812
    Weeklies are cold through mid January. What a pattern projected
  16. MJO812
    Its cold through Mid January
  17. MJO812
    Ensembles are starting to show snow for our area.
  18. MJO812
    Agree More storms to come in December which should be favorable
  19. MJO812
    Nao will be negative next week
  20. MJO812
    Some flakes but mostly rain
  21. MJO812
    You have been wrong also. Just stop posting please. Why are people still all gloom and doom when the guidance shows a cold and active December ? I dont get this place.
  22. MJO812
    Keep thinking that. I will bump this when I get snow next month. Carry on with snowman19.
  23. MJO812
    Euro still flat
  24. MJO812
    I read your forecast and I completely disagree .So far you missed the 10mb and 50mb warming .You incorrectly strengthened the PV too quickly. Your 500 where the mean trough sitting through Manitoba will be wrong. The polar vortex placement where you errored will be the reason we snow to the coast in phase 8 which you believe died in phase 7. How am I lost when I have been right about the pattern while you and others were counting on the warmth ? Alot of you were too quick with the warmth. Good luck with your forecast. You do w great job but in this case you will most likely be wrong for December.
  25. MJO812
    I think the coast also does well in December. Phase 8 promotes blocking . I dont know why people are still talking about the possibility of warmth in the modeling when they have backed off of it. Embrace the pattern ahead. Expect below normal temps in NYC for December with above normal snowfall . Same goes with other coastal cities in the Northeast. This is not hard forecast with the pattern coming up. We haven't seen phase 8 in years.
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