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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. Weeklies should be run every week again instead of daily.
  2. A better pattern still looks on track in December . MJO going into 8. Delayed but not denied ?
  3. You are warmer than the majority of forecasts i have seen on other forums and social media ( hope you fail =) ). The epic December calls by many look like it will fail but a good December is still there. Need the mjo to get out of 7. Maybe we will have a snowy period around the holidays which would be nice.
  4. You are in a way better spot than I am.
  5. Models also had mild weather for this time. Thats why its hard to take the long range seriously.
  6. Good in December 2000, bad in 2007 and good in 2008.
  7. Classic Nina December is better for points south . It gets tougher once you get to February .
  8. Not at all. The progression is still there on the MJO and the models . We should be in phase 8 by mid December. Also , the models keep showing warmth in the long range until it gets closer and it cools off.
  9. First half warmth ? I think its will be the opposite if the MJO goes into 8 next month.
  10. Euro weeklies yesterday vs new euro ensembles for the same week. Deamplying the ridge in the east. This is what we need.
  11. We need it to cooperate. It is a bigger factor than the nao imo.
  12. Are they even useful anymore ? Even if they showed cold they shouldn't come out everyday. We have to be patient
  13. I think you will. 12z models are showing a better press with the storms ahead.
  14. Colder trend on the gfs and cmc for those storms. Lets see if it continues.
  15. All the ensembles bring down the cold after the first week. No clue what the panic is right now.
  16. Maybe no one on here but plenty of people have. Also , no clue why are you throwing in the towel in November. You do this all the time.
  17. Larry Cosgrove thinks December will be mild and January and February will be colder. I haven't heard anyone say that expect him. All I have been hearing and seeing are cold and active December forecasts due to the PV.
  18. Yes right now but it shouldn't last. Delayed but not denied
  19. The 1st week of December does look mild though. Delayed but not denied ? Im going to remain patient. The Nina is dying and the MJO is going to go into 7/8 and most likely 1.
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