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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. A ridge will most likely pop in the west once we get to phase 8. Modeling have been atrocious for everything ( pattern , storms ). See what the gfs does with the Christmas threat ? It merges it with the 21st threat because of the block.
  2. There is alot to be excited about.
  3. The gfs merged the Christmas threat with the 21st threat lol The block is doing its work
  4. Most likely by January we will be in 8 but there will be a lag response to it. We can work with a negative AO, NAO and negative PNA.
  5. It's a better pattern than what is happening now.
  6. Hes right though The models are slowly catching on to the change .
  7. Yes if we want to see a big snowstorm. I think the models will correct to a positive pna once the MJO hits phase 8 which should be at the end of this month.
  8. More like timing than luck This is when the ridge will be our friend .
  9. This isn't a KU pattern but a pattern with alot of shortwaves in it.
  10. That low was once modeled to go further north. Will be too late for us but this is the beginning of the NAO pattern. We will see our fun once the block gets better established.
  11. Models are starting to adjust colder for the mid and long range . Good to see
  12. You don't need a positive pna for a snowstorm.
  13. Looks more wintry than grinchy around Christmas lol
  14. Cmc also has the Miller B storm but weak. All 3 models have a smiling outcome. Ways out there but blocking is doing its work on these models. The low tries to drive into the block but then heads east and re develops near the coast.
  15. Cmc also has the Miller B storm but weak. All 3 models have a smiling outcome. Ways out there but blocking is doing its work on these models. The low tries to drive into the block but then heads east and re develops near the coast.
  16. Based off what ?gonna be alot of Miller B storms.
  17. Gfs has another low about to hit a brick wall in the midwest.
  18. Blocking looks good on the gfs and its moving up in time
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