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George001

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  • Location:
    Foxborough MA
  • Interests
    Warmer weather

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  1. I’d be happy with a repeat of the early Jan 2018 storm. Yeah it left some on the table, but it was still a blizzard and still had over a foot of snow. If we get a repeat of that, I’m looking at reaching my seasonal average snowfall by Feb 2nd. No matter what happens, still a lot of winter left.
  2. The low moving east to west into PA won’t happen, but the second track isn’t impossible. I don’t like it, but it can and has happened before. It’s probably going to be east of that though.
  3. We have our differences of opinion, but hes a good dude and id like him to stick around. So @TauntonBlizzard2013, before making a post downplaying or calling off a storm, I strongly recommend doing shrooms first to break down the mental barriers, view yourself objectively and ask “am I downplaying this because i genuinely believe what I’m saying, or is it a form of coping”?
  4. Yeah, surface temps != ratios. I remember a few years ago those kuchera maps gave me 10-12 in a WAA event, I ended up with around 7 and was disappointed. I like the approach old school mets like Bernie Rayno use. He uses models as tools to help make forecasts, but his #1 tool is the depth of knowledge and experience he has as a meteorologist who has been doing it for decades. I recall him mentioning in a video a week ago he believed the storm would take more of a northern track due to the overall setup and his previous experience as a meteorologist who has seen this setup before.
  5. Early Jan 2018 had a huge miller A that occluded too far south. Still was a great storm, but was 12-16 rather than a widespread 2 footer due to it blowing its load too early.
  6. Yeah the drifting makes it tough. I tried measuring in different spots, got 15, 17, 11, 12, and 13 inches.
  7. That one is worth watching for sure, we are in a cold and amplified pattern.
  8. I’m at 8.5 inches (just measured). Already the biggest event in 4 years and still have a long way to go
  9. I remember hearing on other places that the high pressure would suppress it to the south. They said that a northern track would not happen, and DC would not mix.
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