George001

Nah, it goes deeper than that. I literally spent time in the nuthouse and do not have this issue (I have literally told exes that I was severely mentally ill, and they became MORE attracted to me) so severe mental illness doesn’t justify being unable to pull. Dude needs to learn to work with what he’s got and lean into the hot+crazy vibe like I did. There are plenty of hot and crazy women out there for him, he just needs to accept himself and play the cards he was dealt.

Completely different setup. The pattern is more progressive.

I continue to stand with the Pope on this one.

Great start to 0z.

Yeah it did, I was kinda pissed when that one skunked my area, but that didn’t last. The next storm alone more than made up for the entire first half of winter, then we all know what happened. That truly was a once in a lifetime winter. Anyways, how are you feeling about this one? I like where we are at with this. There is a decent amount of support for a moderate event right now on guidance, with some upside if things break right.

That kickoff system was modeled as a 12-16 incher in the mid range, and bumped NW last min leading to mixing and changeover to rain cutting down on totals in eastern areas. The follow up threat…. That went from 0-100 on guidance inside 5 days.

I wouldn’t write this one off. The last one had serious wave spacing issues. The gfs isn’t the only model with a storm, AI guidance and Canadian are also on board. It’s a deep trough and there is a lot of energy.

I’m going to take a look at the setup more in depth later. The 6z euro was a whiff, but it wasn’t terribly far off. Even on the Euro that’s a potent shortwave. Ai guidance is also close, so the takeaway here is there is some cross guidance support for a storm threat.

It’s very similar to last year.

I know he’s negative a lot, but I don’t think Tblizz is being unreasonable here. I also want to see more support from other guidance before buying in, and the wave spacing is a real limitation.

Id rather take my chances with the second one. Wave spacing issues with wave 1 are a real concern.

It’s not a good sign when we are tracking patterns rather than individual storms in January.

Keeling curve has an extremely high (r^2 value of nearly 1) to global temps, and it is exponential, not linear. CC is underplayed if anything

I’m hearing a lot of hype for the second half of January after the relaxation period. You nailed the early January period being a bust back when it was being hyped up, so I’m curious to hear your take on the second half of the month.

You should apologize to the Pope.