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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah it will take some rates for sure but that's what some of the meso's are showing down our way. You are right though, what's being depicted as snowfall on these maps will surely not amount to that much on the ground with the marginal temps in place. Heck, I was scouring through skew-T's earlier and we really would be walking the tight rope through the lower part of the column, with a wet snow and a surface right around freezing. Could be fun though. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Would likely start as a light rain sometime during the mid afternoon and transition to a steady snow during the evening hours. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GFS holds steady with a few inches for southern parts of the forum. Slightly less qpf than prior runs. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
RRFS, FV3, and HRW sisters are all on board for a few inches across much of the forum. This is getting interesting. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
NAM comes around in a big way. Not saying this verifies but man would this come as a surprise to many people. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 23. I decided to check in on MU’s twitter feed since he basically mocked the possibility of anything happening here earlier in the week and sure enough he has been ranting about the models again the last couple of days. He is really going through it this winter. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 18. My pack has barely shrunk a millimeter this week. Tomorrow should do some work though. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Current temp of 29 is the low. Looks like yesterday broke (just barely) MDT’s consecutive streak of below normal days. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Same here, 37 the entire time from Mount Joy to my house. It’s amazing what thick clouds and sturdy winds can do for temperature consistency. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Some flurries on the walk to the train in Harrisburg. What a gray day. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I woke up this morning to see NWS had changed my forecast to mostly sunny and was expecting a decent day. It's been completely overcast and the north winds are howling. Just went for a walk around Harrisburg at lunch and it was miserable haha. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No sir. Denied. I refuse to trade good posters for bad ones. Hang in there mate. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 29 with no signs of measurable precip. Not holding my breath for the late weekend storm but will still be monitoring closely. Would give my left pinky for Blizz’s 0z Euro map to verify. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Outside of the CMC, the 12z model suite is less than inspiring for the late weekend threat, to put it mildly. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sorry to hear that Voyager but man I am so far from being able to relate to this post. The thought of looking out my window in early February and being depressed because my yard is white is so foreign to me I don’t even know where to begin haha. But to each their own. Hang in there pal. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 19. My snowpack is a solid rock glacier, not sure a couple cloudy days in the mid to upper 30s is going to do much to it. Now, if we get sunny and 40 by the end of the week that will certainly help but still, this thing has staying power. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Through the first 8 days of the month, MDT is running 12.3 degrees BN. Yahtzee. National high of 90 near Glamis, CA and low of -27 at Watertown, NY. Decent signal here from WPC for the weekend. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 6. This snowpack is relentless. We’ll see how much of a dent these next few days can put in it. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Current temp of 5 is the low. This has to go down as one of the colder Super Bowl Sundays in history. Just frigid. Although I agree with what @Itstrainingtime said yesterday, that I didn’t really notice the winds being bad here all day. The house never made the sounds it typically does in high winds, perhaps the slight change in direction was enough to mitigate but it just didn’t seem that serious here. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Temps didn’t plummet until well after midnight. I brought this up the other day, how the ‘ol midnight high was really going to be a doozy yesterday. Stinks because it doesn’t at all tell the story of the day we had but that’s how the cookie crumbles sometimes. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Big news over here as my .3” of snow melted down to .02” liquid. Carry on. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Current temp of 12 is the low, down from 28 sometime after midnight. Melting down my .3” of snow. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow that’s crazy, everything white here. As @anotherman mentioned looks like we have another batch moving our way. Perhaps a squall from the front in the cards. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.3” here with neighborhood roads all completely covered. I love these events where the snow falls very lightly for hours upon hours in a cold airmass and eventually overtakes everything. All to add a few tenths to the books ha. Love it. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Officially a coating here as certain surfaces are covering. A beautiful scene.
