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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    It’s just unbelievable how quick the models turned a largely BN period into a largely AN period. If the EC is right, we’ll be back in the upper 40s by Monday, which all the other models suggest should be a cold day.
  2. TimB
    You’re right, it didn’t belong in this thread, there’s a complaint thread for a reason. But yeah, these all day rainy days make me grouchy as all hell even in July and even more so during months when it should be snow.
  3. TimB
    And there it is…
  4. TimB
    You only get 3 months where you can reasonably expect to get any appreciable snowfall, and two of them were complete and total garbage this year. Despite a rockin’ January, our only hope to even get to normal snowfall for the season is a 1993 redux in March.
  5. TimB
    NWS mentions the possibility of isolated thunderstorms today in their discussion. Might be the only game in town as far as interesting weather for the balance of February.
  6. TimB
    Would think it would be MUCH more useful in Celsius, as zero actually means something and isn’t an arbitrary point on a scale.
  7. TimB
    No, you’re correct for sure. Signed zero in weather is definitely a matter of whether the unrounded number is positive or negative.
  8. TimB
    ^This. You see negative zeroes in things like 5-min obs that do that Fahrenheit to Celsius to Fahrenheit thing, as -18C = -0.4F which shows up as -0 on there.
  9. TimB
    You’re in luck. In an almost comical fashion, next week, which was looking cold, is now looking warmer with temperatures popping back up close to 50 by midweek.
  10. TimB
    I guess that’s more my point. If you take every February that finished near normal on temps, this one was probably near or at the bottom as far as being a quality winter month.
  11. TimB
    Maybe we can have another top 5 wettest year after just a couple years break.
  12. TimB
    Any winter month where the vast majority of precip falls as rain is a torch.
  13. TimB
    A winter month that is going to end up close to normal temperatures with double the normal precip, 90% of which fell as rain, is a terrible waste of precip as far as I’m concerned.
  14. TimB
    Yeah, for a February that will likely end up pretty darn close to or just slightly above normal temp-wise, it’s likely going to be remembered as a torchy rain fest.
  15. TimB
    PIT is already sitting at 3.42” of precip for February, and I expect that number to be north of 5 by the end of the week. About a half inch of that has been liquid equivalent of snow.
  16. TimB
    0z GFS: 1.2” QPF from the late week event, 0.13” zr, 0.5” snow, approximately a full inch of precip wasted on rain.
  17. TimB
    These days, we get more February rain than liquid equivalent of February snow.
  18. TimB
    Look for those ice accumulations to go away over the next day or two as well. We’re going to waste yet another inch plus of February precipitation on plain rain.
  19. TimB
    NWS seems to know how this late week system plays out, much to our disappointment: The NAM/NAM3k has done historically well with the temperature-profiles with systems like this, so that`ll be something to pay close attention to when it gets within forecast range (84/60hrs). Hint: warmer air aloft always wins.
  20. TimB
    18z GFS continues to weenie us in:
  21. TimB
    I’m with you. If this isn’t another complete waste of a whole bunch of qpf, I’ll be pleasantly surprised.
  22. TimB
    Who knows. The EC is ugly and gives us zero snow and almost all rain, so anything can happen.
  23. TimB
    Someone isn’t going to like this… Also that’s the 0z. 12z is similar but even weaker. Does give us some ice at the beginning.
  24. TimB
    Another fun little squall here. Less intense than the first.
  25. TimB
    Would love for other models to be as bullish with this being a cold system as the GFS has been, but beggars can’t be choosers.
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