TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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It could be successfully argued that they knew as soon as last night that there was a 0% chance of 2” for the majority of the county, including the part most people commute to, as evidenced by the probabilistic map they themselves posted to social media. They have other products like the special weather statement for a quick inch that impacts the morning/evening rush. -
Remember, this thing got an advisory and still has an active advisory in our county.
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It matters in a “the NWS will never admit they were wrong” kind of way.
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The way I understand it, if at least 50% of Allegheny County doesn’t get 3” or more, then issuing and keeping the advisory was a bust.
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Absolutely hilarious that we’re still under an advisory.
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Pretty hard to justify keeping Allegheny county in the advisory with a 59% chance of getting even 1” and virtually no chance at getting 2” for most of the county.
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They upped the totals for the KPITsnow MLK Day dry slot/mixfest of 2022 at the last minute when all the models were going the other direction and it worked out, right?
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18z HRRR looks dry as hell.
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HRRR is losing this one too. It’s over.
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Love when the 18z GFS does 18z GFS things. That fantasy storm that ushers in the brutal cold would make nearly everyone in the northeast and mid Atlantic happy.
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Guess we’re putting all our eggs in the 18z HRRR basket at the very end of its range.
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Euro is a parade of storms that we’re on the wrong side of. Not scoring on any of them might hurt.
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Doesn’t look terrible. If only we could get it about 20 miles SE.
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GEFS ensemble mean is ugly. A little over an inch at 10:1 before changeover, so probably less than an inch with the garbage ratios I’m expecting Wednesday.
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The verbiage in the previous forecast for Allegheny was “Snow accumulation possible.” Now it’s “Little or no snow accumulation.” Can’t be good.
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Let’s hope the Canadians are wrong. Not liking anything the op or the RGEM or the ensemble are spitting out.
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And ultimately I’d rather PIT not have recorded 2” or so today, as that adds an artificial amount to the record that the majority of people in Allegheny County didn’t see, which won’t reflect on paper how futile this winter has been in reality for most of us.
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Get ready, the NAM shows warning level snow as close as Butler for Wednesday while areas near the city get like 2”.
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It really wasn’t a big event, but taking route 8 from Mars south it went from 2” of wet, slushy snow to nothing by the time I got to about Hampton.
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PIT will probably record a non-zero accumulation for today to pad the stats, judging from the obs for the past hour or two. Little comfort to those of us staring out the window at grass.
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Oh for Christ’s sake. Edit: just kidding, that’s a 12 hour map. We still get a nice little 3 inch event on the front end.
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NWS has revised the forecast event total for Pittsburgh to exactly 0” for today’s system.
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This. This is all.
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Summer is easier to appreciate after a real winter and when there isn’t a 75% chance it extends deep into October as recent climo would indicate.
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Comical
