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TimB

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  1. TimB
    I’ve seen enough with the 12z model runs. GFS sends a cutter way out into the Midwest next week with absolutely zero snow here, and the CMC puts one storm north of us and another south of us. It’s over, yet again. How many ways can this winter screw us?
  2. TimB
    This is pretty clearly visible on the 0z model runs. We just aren’t going to get a win this winter.
  3. TimB
    I don’t see how you can rule out mid 70s when it’s already 57 and full sun expected all day. HRRR was 5 degrees too cold at 7am and tops us out at 71. But NWS just updated their point and click and hacked about 5 degrees off the highs and says about 67.
  4. TimB
    Looks like 70 degrees is indeed attainable tomorrow. The only year so far where 70 has been reached from two distinct events on or before 2/15 is 1932. There were also 2 days that got to 70 early in 1906, but they were consecutive and so part of the same event. Snow chances next week or more disappointment? I guess we’ll see.
  5. TimB
    I guess in that sense, we made some gains last year and the year before so this garbage winter won’t put us too far below the pace.
  6. TimB
    You mean I can’t worry about winters getting less snowy and the train derailment and the Chinese balloons and whether or not Rihanna’s halftime show was suitable for my 4 year old nephew at the same time? Damn.
  7. TimB
    Yeah, I’ll admit it’d be nothing like replacing a 72.1” (92-93) with a potentially sub-20 inch 22-23.
  8. TimB
    If next year is a 70” year, the averages will continue to drop because it’ll eventually replace 93-94, which had 76.8”, in the climate normals.
  9. TimB
    Just wait until the next 30 year averages, once 92-93 is replaced with 22-23.
  10. TimB
    People who were born in 1937 didn’t know what a 70 degree Feb day was until they were 60 because they didn’t exist in that timeframe. But we know, because they happen every few years now.
  11. TimB
    I’d say there are 3 days that would have definitely been 70 at the current location in the older era: the 77 on 2/8/1900, the 76 on 2/16/1883, and the 75 on 2/11/1932. The rest are iffy - a couple of 72’s and the rest 70.
  12. TimB
    Another one of these heat waves coming next week? Could we hit 70 in February for the 5th day in the past 7 years? 70 degree days in February at Pittsburgh international: 1952-1996: 0 1997-2016: 5 2017-2023: 4
  13. TimB
    Are the gusts actually going to pick up this evening?
  14. TimB
    9th 70 degree February day at PIT since 1997, after zero in the first 45 years of official observations at that location.
  15. TimB
    This is looking good. PIT is already up to 67, it’s into the low to mid 70s just upstream in northern WV, and looks like we see a fair amount of sun this afternoon.
  16. TimB
    Not trolling, just encouraging a young weather enthusiast not to be afraid to share his thoughts regarding a scientific topic that heavily affects his favorite type of weather.
  17. TimB
    Of course it’s climate change, don’t be afraid to talk about science on a science forum, kid. What can they do, ban you? Imagine the optics of that.
  18. TimB
    Better for the spring thread, but I’m actually morbidly curious how warm Thursday and/or the middle of next week can get.
  19. TimB
    Hard to look at something like the 18z GFS run with anything other than complete despair. The ensembles don’t look quite as awful, but yikes.
  20. TimB
    12z models seem to confirm it’s just going to be a continuation of the same goddamn pattern we’ve been in all winter. There’s no escape, at least not this season.
  21. TimB
    Especially considering the temp somehow managed to jump to thirty-#%$&ing-nine at PIT before midnight. Probably the most pathetic looking cold snap on record for our area by a long shot.
  22. TimB
    The green pixels don’t show up on pivotal, lol. But the temp is 20 degrees at that point.
  23. TimB
    The euro is one of them, it just puts the storm in a shitty place for us. But it has a storm.
  24. TimB
    Some stupid cold front. Good luck, lol.
  25. TimB
    Lock it in. What could possibly go wrong or change in the next 12 days?
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