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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    I’ll agree with you here. More unusual was probably the lack of many such days in Jan-Feb 2021-2022. A 60 degree day in February really is relatively normal, and technically we’ve only had two this February so far (it just so happens that both of them were in the 70s).
  2. TimB
    I’m not entirely certain he’s denying it, but rather (correctly) pointing out that this garbage winter can’t be completely 100% attributed to it. The patterns are pretty stark, but the last two winters were fine.
  3. TimB
    Not in a single month it didn’t.
  4. TimB
    December: January: February: Euro for 2/23: CMC for 2/23: No winter month has ever gotten to 70 degrees three times. It’s looking possible.
  5. TimB
    Yeah, you’re right, everything we’ve had so far is precedented in some way, whether it’s with really old data or I’m cherry picking stats. But the models are converging on a solution within a week that would give us an unprecedented, not that obscure stat. Hint: We tied a record yesterday that we very well might have the opportunity to break next week. Something that’s quite literally never happened in any winter month ever.
  6. TimB
    And just like that, next week’s hope is gone. The last week of meteorological winter, at that. Truly more abysmal than 2019-20, and I was hoping that wasn’t possible.
  7. TimB
    70 has been attained. 3rd time in history that this has happened twice by 2/15.
  8. TimB
    Yeah, downtown was at an elevation of 1200 feet in the 1800s.
  9. TimB
    Yeah, probably like 4 feet from the exhaust of a steel mill or something.
  10. TimB
    Also, there are only two times on record that February has recorded an inch or less of snow in Pittsburgh, 1909 with 0.5” and 1884 with 0.6”. We’re at 0.2” so far and if the 12z GFS is right, we have a chance at breaking those records.
  11. TimB
    Careful, they don’t want you to talk about that in the regional subforums.
  12. TimB
    I’ve seen enough with the 12z model runs. GFS sends a cutter way out into the Midwest next week with absolutely zero snow here, and the CMC puts one storm north of us and another south of us. It’s over, yet again. How many ways can this winter screw us?
  13. TimB
    This is pretty clearly visible on the 0z model runs. We just aren’t going to get a win this winter.
  14. TimB
    I don’t see how you can rule out mid 70s when it’s already 57 and full sun expected all day. HRRR was 5 degrees too cold at 7am and tops us out at 71. But NWS just updated their point and click and hacked about 5 degrees off the highs and says about 67.
  15. TimB
    Looks like 70 degrees is indeed attainable tomorrow. The only year so far where 70 has been reached from two distinct events on or before 2/15 is 1932. There were also 2 days that got to 70 early in 1906, but they were consecutive and so part of the same event. Snow chances next week or more disappointment? I guess we’ll see.
  16. TimB
    I guess in that sense, we made some gains last year and the year before so this garbage winter won’t put us too far below the pace.
  17. TimB
    You mean I can’t worry about winters getting less snowy and the train derailment and the Chinese balloons and whether or not Rihanna’s halftime show was suitable for my 4 year old nephew at the same time? Damn.
  18. TimB
    Yeah, I’ll admit it’d be nothing like replacing a 72.1” (92-93) with a potentially sub-20 inch 22-23.
  19. TimB
    If next year is a 70” year, the averages will continue to drop because it’ll eventually replace 93-94, which had 76.8”, in the climate normals.
  20. TimB
    Just wait until the next 30 year averages, once 92-93 is replaced with 22-23.
  21. TimB
    People who were born in 1937 didn’t know what a 70 degree Feb day was until they were 60 because they didn’t exist in that timeframe. But we know, because they happen every few years now.
  22. TimB
    I’d say there are 3 days that would have definitely been 70 at the current location in the older era: the 77 on 2/8/1900, the 76 on 2/16/1883, and the 75 on 2/11/1932. The rest are iffy - a couple of 72’s and the rest 70.
  23. TimB
    Another one of these heat waves coming next week? Could we hit 70 in February for the 5th day in the past 7 years? 70 degree days in February at Pittsburgh international: 1952-1996: 0 1997-2016: 5 2017-2023: 4
  24. TimB
    Are the gusts actually going to pick up this evening?
  25. TimB
    9th 70 degree February day at PIT since 1997, after zero in the first 45 years of official observations at that location.
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