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TimB

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  1. TimB
    This is unfortunately a statistic that the AGW deniers would use their standard “but UHI” argument on, and ignore the fact that these 3 day streaks of lows in the 70s are 10 times as common as they used to be and that Boise is a relatively small city where UHI wouldn’t be nearly as pronounced as, say, PHX or MSP. One other fact that should be included: I’m not familiar with Boise, nor have I ever been within 250 miles of it, but it would appear from looking at a map that the airport sits literally right at the edge of the developed area, so that would also mitigate UHI to some extent.
  2. TimB
    Good lord. I see each of the past 5 years and 6 of the last 7 on that list. Edited to add: streaks of 3 or longer have occurred 34 times in Boise’s history according to the complete list. 21 of those 34 have occurred in the past 20 years. 13 of those 34 occurred in the previous 125 years on record. In layman’s terms, something that used to happen once a decade is now happening once a year.
  3. TimB
    The interesting part of that is this: South Dakota is the only state that could be considered the Midwest by any metric that has recorded its state record high this century. It is also, per that map in the previous post, the state that has the greatest proportion of area where the average summer temperatures have gone down over the past 50 years.
  4. TimB
    I like how that little bit of wildfire smoke and 4th of July remnants have caused every observation at KPIT today to be “overcast.” Wonder if that’s also what kept us short of 90 (which is a good thing if you ask me).
  5. TimB
    I would assume you’d probably get a lot more excited than I would if the models were showing upper 90s to near 100. But I do understand the intrigue, it’s been a long time since it’s happened. (But only half as long as 1936-1988.)
  6. TimB
    I don’t disagree with you on that. If the forecast calls for 98-99, I’ll be rooting for 100 too.
  7. TimB
    That’s MDT’s all timer.
  8. TimB
    The funny thing is I remember several conversations in the western PA thread about how PBZ’s forecast discussions are often lacking in comparison to CTP and others. I’m surprised they threw a “joke” in there, no matter how cheesy.
  9. TimB
    PBZ went there.
  10. TimB
    Perfection if you ask me. I know you want your 100 degree day, but if we have to concede that to you, I hope it’s on a Wednesday or something and not a holiday weekend.
  11. TimB
    We’re up in Warren County visiting the wife’s family this weekend (Route 6 corridor, @Mount Joy Snowmanwill appreciate that). Simply fantastic weather, a brief rain shower this morning and an absolutely beautiful afternoon. Also CTP forecast area, so isn’t this technically my home thread right now?
  12. TimB
    12z GFS looked a little warmer, though ridging never seems to win decisively with any longevity. Remnants of Elsa could still be a factor, and it looks like Florida will be spared a direct hit from anything of hurricane strength. The highlight, though, is the CMC’s depiction of next weekend. Saturday looks wet but Sunday looks incredible. GFS isn’t as great, gives me a fantastic Sunday but I’m not so sure the front clears out there in time. Today, on the other hand, to quote @Itstrainingtimeyet again, “Every day like this is one potential hot, miserable day that won't happen. ”
  13. TimB
    Yes, warminista that he is. LOL. Actually best I can tell he’s a seasons in seasons guy. But model watching is quite fun for me at most times of the year. I know a ton of people only watch the models in winter but I’m not one of them. My busy season at work runs from about mid-July through October so the time for me to stop flooding the airwaves is upon us.
  14. TimB
    I’m running a much closer 2nd in my own.
  15. TimB
    I see I’m an extremely distant second.
  16. TimB
    83 I believe. So we’re talking about 10 degrees below average, but if you consider the number of days that are 10 above average, it’s still pretty crazy.
  17. TimB
    I would imagine actually occurring in that region in July would be extremely rare. Being shown on the GFS, maybe not quite as rare.
  18. TimB
    18z has not one but two snow producing systems in northeastern Canada.
  19. TimB
    Today has been fantastic. Should be the second July day in a row that didn’t reach 75. We haven’t had a July day with a high below 75 since 7/2/16.
  20. TimB
    Not that it matters much from my standpoint. I get just as much done at work now as I did before I discovered the existence of weather forums. But the logo will be back, it’s just white on a white background.
  21. TimB
    Much sleeker on the iPhone. Plus the added bonus that there’s no longer a big blaring “AMERICAN WEATHER” banner at the top so if and when I’m back in an office it won’t be obvious that I’m spending time on weather forums while I’m on the clock.
  22. TimB
    That’s all we can ask for: another path to some more days like these (though I did narrowly escape a nice rain shower while walking the dog at lunchtime).
  23. TimB
    I don’t see much I don’t like in these model runs, to be honest.
  24. TimB
    Those 40s get pretty close to me. But that ridge is going to swallow us up before it’s all said and done.
  25. TimB
    What about the one showing MDT barely hitting 70 on Thursday?
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