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Bigbald

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Everything posted by Bigbald

  1. Bigbald
    Decadal storm
  2. Bigbald
    12z downright gaudy for you middle and west folks Edit: this would be the frame to the wall depiction
  3. Bigbald
    And this sentiment has not changed much through 160....great looking 12z gfs for Memphis
  4. Bigbald
    Some of these meso scale models have been slowly walking the ice south and east along the swva border with Kentucky, about 1-5 miles a run it seems like. Really interested to see how geophysics play out on some of the mountains of swva.
  5. Bigbald
    I work in wise, VA, so I am super interested in the little meso scale between rgem and Nam. Rgem really gets messy in far swva there in the short term.
  6. Bigbald
    Ukie at 144
  7. Bigbald
    Good points, and I am totally speaking anecdotally right now, maybe it's been better than my memory is telling me (I can't even rem december). I will say this, it has definitely and consistently felt like winter here as opposed to the two previous.
  8. Bigbald
    Epic winter for the high country of upper east tn but damn it feels paltry at the base for places like kingsport/gc/gray. I would much rather have 2 7 inch snows over 14 nickel and dimers.
  9. Bigbald
    At dinner, can someone give me the synopsis for how that happened ha? Boundary setup east along the Apps?
  10. Bigbald
    I am not real familiar with Ukie, Orientation is quite different here at 140ish. Does anyone have beyond that hour?
  11. Bigbald
    I doubt it, this is remarkable model agreement right now at 12z less a few details.
  12. Bigbald
    Tough thing is, it's been my experience that models scour residual cold artic too fast, so maybe it's worse than depicted at that hour given that bitterly cold air entrenched is harder to rid.
  13. Bigbald
    This maybe a scenario where I am happy to live vicariously through you middle/west Tennessee folks ha. Wow at that ice
  14. Bigbald
    For TRI folks, it looks like there's less backside/enhancement at 156 hrs when compared to 6z, when the cold front punches through. But at that far out its devil in the details anyways and bound to change.
  15. Bigbald
    Not much discernable difference to me through 90 for 12z gfs when compared to 6z.
  16. Bigbald
    Will the cold front push through the plateau is my big question. It seems like recent modeling is hanging it up on the rim and creating that diagonal axis that gives the west, KY, etc.
  17. Bigbald
    12z icon similiar to gfs etc with the artic boundary battlefront the Apps at around 165 hrs... Euro is really on its own here
  18. Bigbald
    By hr 305, when the damn finally breaks and low 50s return to large swath of tn, I predict mankini Monday cause 50s will feel about like 80
  19. Bigbald
    I cant see beyond 240, but, for example, wise va was low single digits and deeply negative for like 4 days straight. This is ice age type stuff lol
  20. Bigbald
    Just wow at the gfs cold,
  21. Bigbald
    I never like to have to bank on the trailing energy, or at least its been my experience that it more often than not over modeled.
  22. Bigbald
    It's amazing the jump that occurred from 12-18z to 0z on most of the models now honing in on the artic boundary, even if alot of the details and precise placement will still vary.
  23. Bigbald
    Looks like the orientation of the icon no?
  24. Bigbald
    Para looks amazing at 210
  25. Bigbald
    Once and for all, it's tough being a snow weenie in the upper south
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