bobbutts

came here just to post the clown map from 12z. Obviously I'm all in on this solution. is 18z similar?

Does this storm have an unusually large stadium effect around a tiny eye?

Decent squall going on here. Quick coating.

Charley

Am I crazy or is this much more common than adjusting eastward? Seems like almost every storm has a predicted turn to the north that gets postponed many times.

If you're going to harass a chaser it should probably be Jeff Piotrowski. (edit: please move to banter thread, didn't mean to have it here)

Inner structure looks pretty disorganized on satellite for a 130mph 954mb. Is the eye so small that it's difficult to see at that resolution or something else?

Google search returns: https://betonweather.io/ I remember many years ago seeing a site that had hurricane landfall gambling, don't recall the URL or have any idea if it still exists.

HTTP request sent; waiting for response.

Unintentional good advice

Laughing at a moron shouldn't be political. The problem is that politics has neutered these people's ability to think.

About 20-30 red taggers.

Someone didn't like the post you quoted, barely lasted a minute.

I like Josh and he has no idea who I am and hope he's fine. Seems like it would be pretty easy to just have a separate storm chaser discussion thread and put all the stuff there. Obviously people are interested in it and it's off topic for the main thread.

Where did you come up with 140 mph? Huge difference between 85-110 and 140. 140 mph is extremely destructive even for well constructed buildings.

Good chance for the birds traveling in the eye to rest and recuperate for a bit here tonight.

Yeah, I have family and have been vacationing on that barrier island just South of Palm Beach for the better part of my life. Some of my earliest memories there were my dad showing me the remnants of A1A that had been washed out by the 1947 Ft. Lauderdale hurricane. I feel like a storm like this could move enough sand and destroy enough buildings to move it again. The other thing besides susceptibility to surge is just how ridiculously expensive many of the properties are. Driving up or down A1A is just an endless display of money. Here's a sample stretch I picked out from Zillow. Looks like that 1947 storm took a very similar track through the Bahamas with no last second turn to save the coast. Of course it was much weaker than Dorian.

I wonder what the difference in billions of dollars is between the far left of the cone and the far right.

No. He posted information that I believe to be incorrect and I posted the reasoning/data why I disagree. Your post is the one that shouldn't have happened. You seem drunk making multiple mistakes in just 9 words.

If this thing hits FL it's going to be a major black eye for forecasters. Accuracy has not been great from any outlet on this thus far. I think it's concerning how insistent forecasters are about this turn in an environment that appears to have very week steering. I believe that is the best forecast, but I'm not sure how much confidence to place in it.

Damn, that is a hell of a storm. Goodbye Abaco.

Part of me is annoyed how much we worry about maximum wind speeds and the other part feels ripped off that this isn't a 5.

7 members browsing the main thread. That's a pretty good indicator to put a fork in it. I have a hard time winding down after getting into tracking.