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Chadzachadam

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Everything posted by Chadzachadam

  1. Chadzachadam
    From what I can gather, snow/sleet line is south of what most models had so far. Some unexpected dry slotting in OK/AR might have them bust low. KS and MO likely to exceed expectations. Initial precip a little earlier than anticipated on the TN valley. So kind of a mixed bag overall
  2. Chadzachadam
    I agree with some folks on the MA forum re: the NAM—I buy the warm nose but I don’t buy the super dry/slow start to the storm. 5 or 6” is the absolute worst case scenario imo. Maybe irrelevant but much of the Midwest seems to be hitting the top end of their snow predictions so far. If we wrung 4” of snow out of last Sunday surely we can double that in a much colder, much wetter, and longer-duration storm
  3. Chadzachadam
    I’ve seen a lot of 4-6” though which feels crazy low. We got that last weekend
  4. Chadzachadam
    Man everyone on here going against Mt Holly…I don’t doubt the warm nose but even if we change over by noon tomorrow that’s like 6-8 hours of snow first, some of which should be quite heavy. And rates from 11-2ish might be high enough to keep us snow for a bit longer as well, should be the height of the precip
  5. Chadzachadam
    NW Philly about 6 miles from center city
  6. Chadzachadam
    Call me crazy but I’ll go with 10” for my backyard plus maybe an inch of sleet on top. Don’t think we get any significant freezing rain. We’ve had some solid performances with SW flow events recently, if the initial thump last 6-8 hours I think 10” is attainable
  7. Chadzachadam
    Casual 3’ of snow in southern Alabama next weekend on the gfs currently enjoying my last few hours of above freezing temps for the next 10 days…
  8. Chadzachadam
    the melting of last weekend's snow is well underway in Philly, but if we can make it through this afternoon we should lock in 2+ weeks of snow cover
  9. Chadzachadam
    I'm conflicted because warm noses are always under-modeled but the NAM is always over-amped. at this point I'll just forget watching individual models and roll with the NWS forecast. sign me up for 13.5" lol
  10. Chadzachadam
    Not to be overly optimistic but I think some of the guesses above are too pessimistic. NWS may well adjust downwards but they also know and adjust for our area in their forecast which a global model obviously doesn't. I still think this is a widespread 10-12"+ before sleet becomes too much of an issue. I don't think 12-16" total is unreasonable given the surface temps and duration
  11. Chadzachadam
    Warmest 10 degrees I’ve ever felt. Balmy out there
  12. Chadzachadam
    Maybe somewhat relevant to the weekend storm—today’s cold was not as brutal as forecast. Got up to 24 here and it looks like we might not make it to single digits tonight, and the wind chill never felt that bad, probably around 5F at worst. Forecast temps for the weekend and beyond have moderated a bit as well
  13. Chadzachadam
    Apple weather app says next expected precip is 20” of snow Sunday lol never seen that before
  14. Chadzachadam
    Just under 2” in Medford, I’m guessing around 3” back home based on pictures and other reports
  15. Chadzachadam
    Sadly no haha I’ll go for a walk though
  16. Chadzachadam
    Up to a half inch in Medford, maybe we can still catch up to Philly and make it worth the trip to the in-laws’ house
  17. Chadzachadam
    Finally a dusting, took a whole hour but hopefully we’re off to the races now lol
  18. Chadzachadam
    Light snow now in South Jersey, maybe still some rain mixed in
  19. Chadzachadam
    Still just wet here in Medford as well. I’d be shocked if those higher totals towards the coast verify
  20. Chadzachadam
    At the in-laws in Medford, NJ and it’s all rain here. Hope it flips soon because it’s definitely snowing at home :/
  21. Chadzachadam
    Tapering off we’ll call it 0.75” here. 8” for the season
  22. Chadzachadam
    Turned from graupel to snow and it’s sticking for real now, all surfaces covered and pushing maybe half an inch in colder spots
  23. Chadzachadam
    Temps in Philly are a little too warm for much stickage. Looks like all frozen precip but it’s melting faster than it can accumulate for the most part. Hope we can get a couple inches tomorrow
  24. Chadzachadam
    Moderate dippin dots in nw Philly. Never seen the driveway covered before the deck but that’s the case right now
  25. Chadzachadam
    long way away but the globals all seem to like Jan 24-28 for a few chances at a significant snowstorm
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