SnowenOutThere

10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Both the ARW1 and 2 are crazy considering those are 10-1 

So I’m getting at least 7 inches of snow thanks got. I guess if psu says so it must be true 

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Fine light snow falling again

Wonder if this will be an off and on sorta deal till second round as radar continues to show light returns streaming in from the west

Must have gotten good banding first round with .9 inches of extremely light snow covering everything (including pavement

Woke up for swim practice and absolutely beautiful outside and all of the roads have caved. Looks like this light snow continues for a good many hours too!

NAM manages to get .5 + qdf in the cities by the time it’s all over 

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Maybe the 18z GFS will make you pass out

Or throw up …

I love when even the “best” case scenario (for “normal” people that is) is still 3 inches of snow! 

If we get the coastal to come back from the grave this is going to be the craziest reverse coup seen by the gfs, like some Trojan horse type shit. 

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It could be ptype BS, but it’s “ice” for everyone outside the mountains. Rain as you go SE of DC



Flips back to a little snow at 54

As someone who really wants to miss school this week I see this outcome as an absolute win

5 minutes ago, nj2va said:

The 12z Euro was pretty good 1-3 I think so just need it to follow the general 0z trend

10 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

further improvements to the 10:1 mean at 18z.

12z and 18z really brought the Gefs back from 1.5 inches at DCA to 2.5 inches, at this point ens are out of their range but still nice to see

3 hours ago, stormy said:

In support of your thoughts,  NOAA says that the warming rate has doubled since 1981 but the pier reviewed data still says 2 F since 1880. The climate is always changing and has been for millions of years. Any speculation about the next 50 or 100 years is just that. But, a snow drought since 2016 in D.C. because of this?  I don't believe NOAA would support that idea.

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature

Saying that human released greenhouse gasses will continue to warm the planet in the 21st century isn’t speculation, hope this helps ✨

31 minutes ago, yoda said:

Friday morning

Start the thread now, that way the models have time to lose it and then bring it back 

9 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

This is how jaded we are.  GFS clocks us in not so fantasy land and there are like 12 posts after and most of the responses are like meh.  

Almost like 2 rug pulls in 2 weeks starts to dampen the mood … but hey third times the charm!

4 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

At some point between last winter and the Canadian wildfires I transitioned into full-on climate doomer. I keep checking in the hopes we at least get a MECS to prove my worst fears wrong, in the short term at least…

I have four young kids and it scares me what this planet is going to look like by the time they grow up. 

As someone who is legally a kid by the government: lack of snow is the least of our problems, if getting no snow on the east coast is what it takes for some science denying people to wake up then I’m down for it! and if you think it’s bad for your kids imagine their kids generation …

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

all because some are likely going to miss out on like 1-3” of snowfall. christ

That’s only part of the reason, people are upset because as psu outlined we've been in a great long wave pattern since end of December and have nothing to show for it! So when Mets reasonably point out we have another great pattern lining up most people are like “great! But we need to score from these at a point”. Personally I’m not canceling winter yet but that’s the current mood rn and you can’t rlly blame people for it.

Congrats to @Terpeast for correctly predicting by 0z Saturday runs we’d have an answer! 

Well this can’t get much worse, radio show anyone? 

Since were pulling every model out we can I'd like it to be known that the JMA is currently out to 72 

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

ICON will stay on the GFS team by the early look

may be slightly more progressive than 6z but considering 6z was almost too northwest thats not a bad thing. 

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

ICON heights backing more out ahead of storm. Doubt this ends like the euro.

The PNA ridge is def taller than both the 0z and 6z runs so far and doesn't appear to have the same kicker type feature the Euro does.

Just now, CAPE said:

6z EPS a bit further southeast.

That's sorta surprising, would have expected a consensus to start forming by now instead of them growing more apart. 

58 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Let it finish dude lol

And remember that the 10:1 ratios shown may be too low for this event too

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Gfs looks significantly more amped than 0z so far. 

lots more vorticity and surface precip out to hour 90