SnowenOutThere

1 hour ago, vastateofmind said:

 

What's with the sudden, emo, accusatory redirect on "mental health of kids??" A close relative works in an FCPS school, and I can assure you that administrators, teachers and staff are obsessed with student's mental health in a post-pandemic environment, following a year of remote learning...often to the detriment of actual, IN-PERSON learning right now. FFS, @Yeoman has a legit point and asks legit questions.

My own sons finally escaped FCPS last decade, but were were they still trapped in this ineffectual system I'd be asking the very same questions as a parent...hell, as a tax payer who continues to support FCPS's proven habits to spend like a drunken sailor (for over 30 years now), I'm STILL asking those same questions. Perfect example -- FCPS invested multi-millions in a new, supposedly world-class learning management system throughout 2019 and early 2020...only to have it fail miserably when remote learning was ramped up in March 2020.

Instead of focusing solely on getting THAT egregious, over-budget snafu fixed -- which never really was, and instead the fallback during the balance of 2020 was to an existing system of web/cloud-based systems held together with Kleenex & spit -- the FCPS superintendent and school board threw more good money after bad by hiring a panel of attorneys to conduct a study as to why the original LMS didn't work as designed. I'll let that sink in -- they hired a LAW FIRM to diagnose piss-poor technological and program management decisions.

This is typical FCPS -- inept leadership, and a once world-class school district continues to slowly circle the drain. To be clear, in my experience there are accomplished, caring and awesome educators scattered across FCPS...but they are being dragged down and held back by inept senior leaders and a tone-deaf school board that can't prioritize, nor make efficient, data-driven decisions.

As a federal government employee for 20+ years, I've been accustomed to successfully teleworking for most of those years. While we occasionally got full days off for bad snow back in the early 2000s, but I've been expected to remote-work on "inclement weather" days since at least the mid-2010s. The federal government wants us to be a flexible and adaptable workforce...I'm not only fine with that, I embrace that. This is the way it SHOULD work -- and the sooner the TikTok generation learns this work ethic, the better.

Again, Yeoman's questions are spot-on -- parents AND taxpayers have a right to expect that students in Fairfax County receive an education -- even on snow days now -- in an environment where remote learning should still be (mostly) a muscle memory. While the freezing rain threat didn't materialize in FfxCo this morning, I'll grant that many of our secondary roads are still in bad shape or impassable. Okay. So let's fire up the FCPS remote-learning machine...instead of giving students ANOTHER added day of holiday break.

/RANT OFF

P.S. -- Calling it here and now that FCPS will drag out school closings for this entire week...although they'll probably have to be somewhat creative in their justifications for tomorrow, currently forecast to be partly sunny with temps in the low-mid 40s.

The distance learning still is not the best and also has not been tested this school year. It would be an absolute mess trying to set that up because they hate giving us directions so just let it be a day off. Yesterday I went sledding with some other friends from FCPS we got at least 10 times more memorable than any school day. I can also attest that this more than anything the school does helps me and my friends mental health. 

Lock in the 0z Canadian

35 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Did school systems not just invest hundreds of millions in tax money to support virtual learning? Why is that not being used in these situations? I don't get it.. 

we get 5 snow days then I don’t know what happens. Also have you no care for the mental health of kids?

2 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said:

FCPS closed tomm... im actually surprised.  Did some areas get slammed?

South fairfax got a foot I got 7 inches in western fairfax county and the roads are still a mess

Hey guys how did the Euro do last storm 60 hours out. Let’s remember that before we jump off the edge.

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Let me offer my congratulations to your kids on an extra week long winter break!

Where is my congratulations? I’m even in the same school district.

3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

Feels like Sunday might be something to watch as well although it's mostly rain at the moment

Might get some freezing rain to protect the potential snow pack

18 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Why is it complaining to state northern neck is jacking again?  It's what the GFS shows.

Hey, every winter they get far less snow than you, it’s ok for them to jackpot some.

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

Probably a lot better for some though

Just post the darn map for us

11 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

A lot of people could not wrap their heads around it being 60 degrees Sunday and snowing Monday. Saw tons of Facebook comments assuring people there would be no accumulation because it would all melt. Probably some of the people stuck on 95 today.

Yet we as a society have to solve climate change and people cannot understand snow can accumulate after it was 60. Scares me

48 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I'll buy what the RGEM is selling

If you are a snow weenie when won’t we buy the RGEM.

3 minutes ago, Fozz said:

Imagine the mood here if this is a 1-3” event for DC and Baltimore, only for it to bomb out further north and drop 8-12”+ from Philly to Boston. We all know a Miller B can do that.

I'll be happy with that, would prefer a different outcome but already got my snow fix for a while. 

15 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

Wanted to share my snow pics but it seems it won’t let me import photos anymore on here. Why is this?

You can just delete your old ones to free up space. You click on your name in the top left then my attachments to find it.

1 minute ago, nj2va said:

18z Euro looks good for a region-wide moderate event.  Generally 4-6”+ DC/north.  2-4” EZF/SE MD.  7-9” mountains.

Pictures?

Storm loop radar

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0Q-1-200-100-usa-rad

1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said:

This is first I’m following it in earnest. Can anyone explain as to what is enhancing a n/s clipper from what I’m gathering? 

Possible interaction with the ocean, leading to more moisture available. Not the most qualified to answer though but that is what I think should enhance it.

1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

Guys, this storm is only 84-90 hours out… 

Long range RGEM time soon

17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I wasn't trying to be critical of your post, just adding my own thoughts too it.  In the future people would do well to realize the GFS wasn't completely on an island.  Other guidance did see the setup in previous runs and had just lost the look temporarily.  Additionally the GFS was only about 12 hours ahead of the curve with the other models and they were trending along with it just a cycle or two behind the curve.  If any one model is totally and completely on an island with no support at all its wrong the vast majority of the time. 

Yeah, after the GFS and the CRAS both showed it far before the others. So the lesson is simple, the CRAS is a better model than the EURO. lol

My python program which takes in the model data and then weights each model said that I would see around 6.8 inches of snow, I got ~6.8 inches of snow. Guess I will use it in the future. 

Deck picture, around 7 inches of snow.

Bad news it stoped snowing

Good News: my forecast barely was right. Said 3-7 got just below 7

So close yet so far