SnowenOutThere

*Insert its happening gif

5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

can I say it???? 

No

18 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I'll stop posting individual shots of the GEFS after this, but it's fair to say that most members look very different than the 12z OP run --- generally weaker and more suppressed + earlier with the storm but wintrier as a result. Happens pretty rarely that there is such disagreement from what I've seen, so consider me invested. 

Similar with the Euro members, the main looked fine but a lot of the members had a much snowier solution than I expected. 

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

CMC is delayed but again more suppressed. Snow spreading through Central VA with the mix line not looking too far behind at hr126.

Keeps the subform as all snow all storm. Like it more than the 0z run very light precip though would be more like mood snow but tis the season. 

17 minutes ago, H2O said:

We start at 6:30 so its not against you

Well there goes your whole afternoon

16 minutes ago, H2O said:

This is my first HS meet so I need to get a feel of how things go before I make a cup of adult colored tea

Who are you against, my meet starts at 8 30 at night so if you are against my team you have a while to wait in the evening.

15 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Jeez, that is about my nightmare set of events.

I *would not* go a 30s pace in the 500 if you haven’t really done it much before. 5:00 is fairly quick for a high school meet - I’d sorta just try and outpace the guy next to you. If a 5:00 500fr breeze for you, rock on. The issue with HS meets is that there often isn’t a warmdown pool and there are only two heats, so you are gonna get a ton of lactic acid buildup. Do some nice walking around warm down and stay hydrated!

Only one heat for an event, and right after the 500 free is my 200 free relay. It is gonna hurt. I swam a 500 free less than a month ago and got a time in the 5 20s because my counter was off pace. I was a bit tired but not dying as I should be. Before that 500 we never did pace in practice but now have done some. I think I should be able to go around 30 seconds for pace. Not to mention how this is my nightmare as well, the one thing that would make it worse is switching out one relay for 200 IM. I'm not terrible at these events and free is my best stroke but I just don't like distance. Thanks for the tips though, I'll update you guys as the meet goes on. Did I mention that the meet starts at 8 30, ugh. 

40 minutes ago, toolsheds said:

A distance swimmer, that is.  The highlight didn't quote properly. 

I guess I am now, don’t know how to feel about that. 

Got my high school swim team events for our first meet tomorrow. Put me in 500 free 200 free then 200 free relay and 400 free relay. I am not a distance swimmer and thus might drown tomorrow. For those who don’t know swim just know that these are the longest events in the meet back to back and I am not great at long distance. For those who do know swim like @NorthArlington101 any tips would be nice. I should go a roughly 30 pace for the 500 so I should be fine but then I swim in the relay directly after and with this being my first high school meet it’s going to be a little rough. 

22 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Next week is still intriguing on the ICON, EURO, and CMC

It’s slipping away

16 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Is someone going to start the weather platitudes bingo card?  

Jumping in early with 

1. Rain in Southern Maryland

2. Someone mentions "climo"

3. Someone mentions suppression

4. The storm disappearing on the models for a day and the backlash of "it will never snow again"

5. Same people above return in droves as the models tease the storm again a run later.

6. The north trend happens which always seems to happen will surprise at least half the form

7. At least 5 weenie snowfall maps before day 3

8. Mt. PSU gets at least a foot of snow

Back to the possible threat next week. After looking at some of the Euro members some have a pretty good storm for us. Can't post because the file size limit but one had a widespread 6-10 inches of snow.

1 minute ago, Yeoman said:

Relax - just joking.. you're all good

Oh sorry misread/interpreted that, have been spending too much time in off topic. Thought it was an attack on me posting here, sorry about responding so aggressively. 

7 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

No electronics during recess

What is wrong with me posting, is it just because I am younger than you? I am allowed to post even I am not the best poster here, I am young and still learning after all. Also recess ends at 6th grade so get it right if you are going to make fun of me.

What do you people mean this setup is a classic, great lake low transfers to off the coast to the southeast all time while giving us snow in a marginal airmass all the time. 

12 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Snow along and ahead of a frontal passage when temps are around 60 leading into it? Yeah...that's a cakewalk.

We all know that storms always trend colder and better for our area snow wise.

4 minutes ago, George BM said:

 

Yes. That's indeed graupel. Water droplets have supercooled on the snowflake (rimming).

I think it is slightly due to compression from the image but it seems to be more of a snowflake than graupel in my opinion with how it still retains its look instead of a more rounded look. Also when I took the picture there was no dinging off the ground which means that the precipitation was not heavily rimmed. 

43 minutes ago, H2O said:

It looks like an ice cream sprinkle

I guess its supposed to be a snowflake.

Finally decided to get a profile picture after over 1000 posts.

11 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

After some introspection....I can see what has happened and I feel awful and absolutely ashamed (not the first time). I admit I don't always know what to do with the angst, and this place became an echo chamber that I think I mistook for purely a venting space as opposed to a place where other people are actually looking for good analysis. All this time I'VE been part of the problem for why folks leave. I've been the mutee (ironically getting annoyed with others for being debs...lol). One thing becoming clear is I am indeed the one in the wrong. I'm becoming part of the negativity...and that's wrong.

I have no idea why I am the way I am on here...for some reason tracking snow on here brings out the absolute worst in me (probably not to do with any of you, though). I think what would be disappointment on one particular day or two of a missed storm is compounded by days of tracking before hand...increasing the mental investment and eventual "crash". And when you're already feeling crappy out it, then you come back on here and the negative emotions are reinforced in the echo chamber...compounding your own! An unhealthy cycle...

Now, am I still worried about future snow prospects? Yes (not sure I'll fully believe we can still get a legit hit of snow until we get it. Not the most logical, but that's where my brain is at right now)--However, because of this, I'm learning to enjoy and be grateful for what we do get. (Never had I been more excited for flurries than the other day...that's when I knew I was beginning to see things a little differently, lol)

All that to say...I am truly sorry for any damage I've done to the enjoyment of this forum. I will try to do better and be better.

Geez dude it’s ok it’s just an online weather form. We all have gone through looking like an idiot here. Some of my first posts are terrible and I am so sorry I have subjected people here to them. In the end this community has helped me communicate better with it and in general. The amount of development that my thoughts on weather and general online posting skills have increased so much thanks to this place. It’s the same for you, not to mention we all understand how it sucks to miss a storm so it’s okay to vent sometimes.

Finally got a snow and graupel shower today around seven, then followed it on our way to school. Had some decent rates at times and due to driving with it got to see snow for 20 minutes plus. 

Radar looks good.

23 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said:

I can't believe you didn't cut class to check. What's more important, after all?
New overcast deck blowing in here. Haven't seen any precip yet.

It was iffy but if there is a decent snow shower, might have to liberally use the bathroom pass and just walk around school for like 5 minutes.

Thought I might have seen something in-between classes but couldn't stop to look, so still have not seen first flakes.

4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Hope you’re right. At least the hrrr isn’t trending out way so far.

already this winter things aren't trending the right way within 24 hours.