Jump to content

SnowenOutThere

Members
  • Posts

    4,245
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said:

    This is first I’m following it in earnest. Can anyone explain as to what is enhancing a n/s clipper from what I’m gathering? 

    Possible interaction with the ocean, leading to more moisture available. Not the most qualified to answer though but that is what I think should enhance it.

    • Thanks 1
  2. 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    I wasn't trying to be critical of your post, just adding my own thoughts too it.  In the future people would do well to realize the GFS wasn't completely on an island.  Other guidance did see the setup in previous runs and had just lost the look temporarily.  Additionally the GFS was only about 12 hours ahead of the curve with the other models and they were trending along with it just a cycle or two behind the curve.  If any one model is totally and completely on an island with no support at all its wrong the vast majority of the time. 

     

    Yeah, after the GFS and the CRAS both showed it far before the others. So the lesson is simple, the CRAS is a better model than the EURO. lol

    • Like 1
    • Haha 3
  3. Going to make some observations from the radar.

    In the large black circled area we can see the heaviest snow returns, the arrows indicate where they appear to be going on the radar. This means that the major metropolitan centers like DC and maybe Baltimore have a good chance of seeing very heavy snowfall maybe around 2-3 inches per hour rates. The more exciting thing is in the hatched black area which shows more heavy bands forming, these are also moving northward. This means that we will most likely have several intense bands IMO, but each one will probably be further east based. Finally the blue circled zone is where the moisture from the southern push has hit the cold air push, notice how tight the gradient is, this means that we will probably see a very tight snow to nothing line instead of a more spread out precip shield. Or the gradient will break down and it is free to explode to the north, I don't know about that one.

    COD NEXRAD_ LWX - Google Chrome 1_3_2022 8_07_30 AM (2)_LI.jpg

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1
  4. 3 minutes ago, jayyy said:

    Same here my friend. Steady snow but nothing major yet. Dc bands are eating up the moisture currently l

     

    4 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

    Yeah me too….stuck between the dc band and the newly forming moco deathband.

    Same here in Reston. Still pretty 

    • Like 1
  5. 18 minutes ago, joc111 said:

    1278863139_ScreenShot2022-01-03at4_48_16AM.thumb.png.a62b0354fa395ae61e6e0601b085218b.png

    Hey, don’t know if people saw this but wanted to make sure they did. Isn’t 994 far lower than what the models have/had at this time. I checked the NAM and it had 998 or 997, would this be a significantly good sign for a better storm if this is the case?

    • Thanks 1
×
×
  • Create New...