SnowenOutThere

20 minutes ago, peribonca said:

I'm getting excited about seeing our first flakes Tuesday or Wednesday!

Yeah seems to be a decent chance that we might get some lake effect bands after the storm comes through. Though it is lake effect so you got to be lucky to get anything.

25 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said:

Models look juicy for 1st week of December! I can't see us getting over 2-4" max

Why are you posting about the first week of December on the 17th? The patterns aren't even set in place, yet alone a storm.

2 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Details be damned, that's a good look at 500.  

Ninja'd

a good look but we would need luck for it to give us anything good which tends to not be in our favor.

5 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Hey GFS…you are about a month to early for this…thanks.

 

Even then it would only be a front end thump before it switches to rain with the low going west of the mountains.

This is the one, it’s so absurdly stupid that this has to be the way we get snow.

1 hour ago, nj2va said:

Only 24 more runs of the Euro to go!

Lock it in 

This is the one

3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I’ll predict Thanksgiving… partly cloudy, windy, highs early low 50’s falling to low 40’s by late afternoon. Let’s see how a WAG compares to models 2 weeks out.

I'll go for colder than normal maybe 40s to 30s with a northwest wind and some flurries due to lake effect after a front. Sort of wishcasting though.

20 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Happy Turkey day!

I'd take some mood snow on Thanksgiving 

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

You'll be faster than me in no time! Think I peaked at a 48.2... good luck. 

That's a crazy good time, did you get it in highschool or post highschool?

8 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said:

.....with numbers like that.

You were shooting for 55 (I think). I don't pretend to know what's a top number, but don't sell yourself short. Aim high. 

From the people who tried out for the team I think I was top 8 overall which is pretty good because it's my first year trying out and I am also trying out against seniors so I did pretty well. I wanted to go for a 55 and below because that would get me on the team but my previous best was a 53, for swimming a whole second of time drop is pretty good so I'm happy with my swim.  

Only got to swim 100 free yesterday and will be the first heat of 100 breaststroke today. I got a 52 in the 100 though so I am almost guarantied to be on the team. 

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Weird system. I guess the fast people are generally fast at freestyle, but you could have a killer breaststroke and be terrible at free, in theory.

Yeah you have to swim 50 and 100 free and the 100 free determines if you make the team but you can also optionally swim 2 100s of any stroke. So I think if you are on the edge but have a super good breaststroke you make the team while if you only swam free you would have been cut.

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

You guys have tryouts? My high school took literally everyone for swim

Only the top 30-32 boy and then the top 30-32 girls to make the team, the cut tends to fall around 55-57 seconds for the boys so I have to ideally get below at least 55. As I said earlier it is our 100 free time that determines it.

Have tryouts for high school swim team today. A little nervous I have to go a sub 55 to make the team for a 100 free and my best is a 53 but I swam it 6 months ago so it should be faster now. Just nervous that my googles might break or something.

That is straight up sad 

The models coming out a hour earlier is such a great thing.

33 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Its not even worth real analysis but I’d be very pleased if things progressed that way. A bunch of cutters in mid November slowly establishing lower heights and cold to our northwest which looks poised to press towards late November is ideal. You want a perfect pattern now when it won’t do us any good?  Let this thing slowly develop and maybe we get some snow the very end of November and early December when it’s still difficult but at least less crazy stupid unlikely. 

Was happy with how the pattern looked too but still found it funny that we would get missed by 50 miles. Though would like to see this pattern set up a week or two later as you said then we could get into December with it and probably get some actual snow.

7 hours ago, yoda said:

End of the 00z GFS was lulz

I know even in fantasy land we get screwed.

Just need it a bit more north, west and amped.

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Mostly interesting in the sense that a lot have "something" come through. This is just one panel, but some of the other ensembles have it +/- a day or so. Mostly rain, of course.

Thanks for the post and like the look of 11. Would be difficult to get a good storm but it’s ten days out so anything can happen

50 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Some vaguely interesting GEFS members around Day 10. Ready to track a disappearing storm again.

Could you post them?

Low of 29 somehow (might want to look into getting a better weather station) but super frosty on all grass, cars and roofs so might be correct.

56 minutes ago, Rvarookie said:

Sounds cool, but how do we get a storm threat?

pray