SnowenOutThere

1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I’ll come clean: I’m rooting for a fail since I’m not in Virginia to see this one out.

How could you, just root for the Friday one instead. 

36 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Watch the 18z GFS after sticking with its solution just turn into the NAM after the other models start to come to its solution.

Reverse psychology for the win.

2 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said:

The NAM is on an island for now. Let’s hope it stays that way. 

Watch the 18z GFS after sticking with its solution just turn into the NAM after the other models start to come to its solution.

Wait this is genius, when we start threads most of the time the storms trend north to screw us over. So now it will trend north. Flawless logic. 

24 minutes ago, mattie g said:

It’ll absolutely be a lot of work, but it’s a neighborhood-oriented team and would be a lot of fun.

On a larger team myself and it’s far more competitive than community driven not to mention there is local politics and stuff involved but a smaller neighborhood team sounds like a lot more fun. 

6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Look at the difference in the orientation of the precip max on the last two gfs runs.

Yep, you get a bit of banding just west of DC which leads to more QDF which is better for me and the areas near I-95.

2 hours ago, mattie g said:

I’m getting sucked into possibly being one of two swim team reps this summer.

@H2O…tell me I’m (not) crazy for seriously considering it…

As someone who swims on summer and winter swim teams, it would be a lot of work for you. Though it might also be fun, I don't know I'm the person who swims not manage. 

Last 4 GFS runs

Last 4 CMC runs

1 minute ago, IronTy said:

 

I'd just find it funny if it happened. 

GFS also has a late week storm storm on Friday. Heaviest is a bit south but still good for the cities. 

I really hope the GFS pulls this one off not only because it gives us more snow but because it will be amazing to see the GFS win against every other model. 

4 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

GFS is oh so close for many of us.

 

If the GFS is right then this is going to be pretty painful to watch. Huge precip shield to the south with a costal as it slips away off the coast. Of course the GFS will be wrong and no one will get anything.

GFS still standing it’s ground, a slight nod north if anything.

Most important Euro run of the season because this is the only real threat we have had coming up soon.

16 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

Yeah, even the NAM wants absolutely nothing to do with it. GFS and RGEM vs Euro, CMC, NAM. Hmmm.

It is more so the GFS, RGEM (it technically is a weather model) and CMC Vs last night's Euro run along with the NAMs. If the Euro goes in line with the GFS then we might be able to get excited.

Article from Capital Weather Gang on January weather outlook. Calls for near normal snowfall. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/12/31/dc-january-weather-outlook-2022/

If a storm does exist like on the 12z GFS we could see a legit north trend that lets us get a decent amount of snow. Probably nothing major though. The main issue as others have said is that only the GFS and RGEM show a storm that even has the possibility to trend better for us. Once the Euro, Canadian or NAMs get on board then we can be excited.

Its back on the GFS, too far south of course. 

Just now, Deer Whisperer said:

the gfs is not to be trusted

Unless it gives us snow

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

15 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

18z RGEM was a huge shift and has some snow when the run stops at hr84. FWIW (not much)

We got 84 hours to make this into pa nj ny storm

It’s probably happened before so can’t discount it.

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

That’s a pretty absurd panel, lol.

Was about to post but yeah, that would be pretty crazy. Overall a nice improvement on the last couple runs.

18z GFS looking juicy

CMC with the "vodka cold" possibly heading our way

14 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS Fantasy Storm late first week in January… BELIEVE!!!!

Merry Christmas!!!

And it’s followed by good cold. One can dream.