SnowenOutThere

I’ve watched the same storm try to fire just north of me in Reston for the past 4 hours and it keeps failing. It seems like we’re just missing some ingredient for now. 

Now the rain is winding down with around an inch total with temps knocked way down. Hoping that the storm entering louden is able to hold together enough to cancel my meet tonight. 

26 minutes ago, George BM said:

Wow IAD just gusted up to 60kts(69 mph)!

I’m around 5 miles east of the airport and for a little bit the wind shifted to be out of the west and got pretty intense. Had to be a microburst over the airport. 

I’ve been coaching everyday this week and so far this morning is by far the worst feeling. Not looking forward to the meet tonight. 

Without power and the generator went out so having to carry buckets to prevent the basement from flooding. Can any met chime in on how much more rain/rounds of storms we may get and when?

27 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Got my first pds alert ever 

Got missed with winds less than 40 gusts. Areas both north and south got slammed. For once I am happy I didn’t get the worst of it. 

Got my first pds alert ever 

2 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

We have had weeks with more precipitation than this, but I cannot remember a time where everything has been wet for nearly a week straight.  At no point since Friday could I have mowed the lawn or sat on a chair outside without wiping it off.  Maybe 2018?  

On this note fireflies do best in this type of weather so they are out in full force tonight. Highly recommend walking to a nearby wet wooded area.

Got 1.5 inches of rain last night and then already at an additional .75 from this batch and still raining. FFW up too.

27 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Our best derechos come with a stout EML, high pressure centered from Kentucky SE to Bermuda, and antecedent surface temps at or above 95°. We appear to have none of those in place.

So would the storm mode mainly be pop-up microbursty stuff or a squall line? 

55 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

00z Euro has 3000+ CAPE Thursday mid-afternoon and then storms roll though.

What would the storm mode be? Could we even possibly see a derecho?

Franklin farm (south of Reston) got one of the nastiest splits I’ve seen. Storms were to the north and south slowing congealing to be on top of us and then more or less jumped just east into a line.

Amazing how quick those storms popped up. Checked the radar 10 minutes before taking pictures of the moon and then while I was in the middle of the shoot I felt the gust front and had to scramble into the car. Basically went from 0 on radar to a strong line of storms hitting (with some hail but strangely no real thunder) in 20 minutes 

Any Mets want to chime in on if those storms entering VA will hold together through fx county? Want to know how swim practice will go tonight. 

1 hour ago, George BM said:

Baby Yoda: I mean it's no surprise when you see the kind of CAPE and shear that the 18z special sounding showed.

 

Also from the latest meso discussion from SPC:

"... A well-established cold pool and rear-inflow jet have accelerated the forward speed of the MCS to over 60kts. The extreme instability and moist airmass coupled with the large downdraft CAPE values will further increase the wind threat with corridors of 100+ mph wind gusts associated with embedded microbursts/macrobursts..."

 

 

SnowingOverHere: Yeah. I better pack it up now. The tornado is probably embedded in that wall of rain that's protruding ahead of the main rain curtain. The greenage is unreal.

I’ve finally gotten a mention in one of these I’m extremely honored. The detail on the picture is top notch as well. 

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Sunset picture of the messy line of storms looking over Dulles Toll Road.

Sunset picture of the messy line of storms looking over Dulles Toll Road.

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Nice pic - but with pretty much nada rotation I’d lean shelf + SLC

There was horizontal rotation I’ll send a picture later 

Picture from the tail end of the louden/Fairfax storm. I’m not sure but sorta looks like a wall cloud?  

5 minutes ago, Chinook said:

HRRR for a few hours in the future

Correct me if I'm wrong but that would be a line of at least quasi-supercellular activity?

Hoping I can get some storms in the middle of the night after missing round 1. Also want to get some lightning pics.

Those north of Ashburn look like they’re gonna get rocked pretty hard. Meanwhile I might get a shower

4 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Did you mean New Jersey? no TOR's issued for Delaware yet

1 minute ago, toolsheds said:

I pulled up radarscope when I saw that note and there was a strange correlation coefficient readout between denton and bridgeville on 404.  Maybe this is what he saw?

Oops, basically the same state imo

Tornado debris ball signature way out in Deleware

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Picture of the Potomac flooding from Scotts Run. Bunch of debris kept passing by in the water.