SnowenOutThere

16 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

The gefs is a puzzle. It’s noticeably better.

And its not just outliers skewing the data, the probability of both more than 1/4 inches of snow shot up too.

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

That’s an unreal shift compared to where we were 24 hours ago. Holy

Even short pumped gets fringed 

CMC also went significantly south but still is a miss to the north by a significant amount

Lmao the column never goes below freezing and the ratio is 5:1, would be some insanely wet snow

I think we'd take

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

I told y’all that we shouldn’t unpin this. 

Still waiting for the next cycle of its so over to make the new thread 

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

Imma give it one more cycle, buts almost shit the blinds on this one 

So we’re currently at piss the blinds got it 

Just now, psuhoffman said:

Everything except the op gfs is suppressing the PD event. 

Hey maybe chucks definition of p type problems includes no precip … it wouldn’t surprise me 

5 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Close it and do NOT start another...

You're right we need to save that power for a better storm 

Going to need to move that whole ball of confluence a little further north (or south if want some wild phase solution but I have no idea how that would work out). Definitely close to something but as others have said this first threat will be a game of timing. 

If only it was prime climo and not April...

30 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Time for the GFS show.  Hold on to your loved ones.

Can't believe you forgot about the ICON, the must trustworthy model

14 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

See above.  It has most definitely been kicked.  At one point we were talking about the 5th as being the start of trackable threats.  A  week later and we're still posting 384 hr maps.

And besides, this is the panic room.

I mean the storm on the 5th did happen, just 500 miles too far east. I am sorta with you on the 14th threat not being talked about but it’s still there as the 0z gfs showed. Either way the 15th was pinned as the start of the real pattern change, we typically take a little bit of time after that to score. Now if it’s next weekend and we are still posting 384 maps then it’s concerning 

16 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I think it has gotten a lot more competitive now than in my generation overall, but there was still decent competition in my age group. My 50m free was in the low-mid 24s and 50m breast was 32 something. I don't recall my 100m free time because it was a long-course pool and I wasn't used to that, so I had a bad race. But the 100y short course was low 49

I'd assume our 50 frees are relatively similar then and your breastroke is a good bit faster than mine, I do take you in 100 free with a mid 47 to your 49. Either way those times aren't that far off what you'd expect today, the 100 freestyle is by far the biggest difference with the state cut being a 48.4 now. 

39 minutes ago, Steve25 said:

Always a risk with strangers online lol. I'm good for it, though(for whatever those words are worth). We could go something on the smaller end, like $10 or $20 if we want to play it safe. 

Let me ask first, do you have something like Venmo to make it easy once this is all settled? 

How about if you don't pay then your account gets banned or something as collateral? 

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The look at the end of the ensembles is the loading pattern for all our big snowstorms.  My guess is we start seeing some very snowy solutions in a few days when the period after starts coming into range.  

Can you please keep this banter out of our swimming thread, thanks 

26 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Nice, you're doing great! Mine was free and breast, and like you I was a sprinter. 50/100m events were in my wheelhouse. Made it to state in my junior and senior years

Now all this discussion about swimming is starting to get me motivated about it again! Not gonna dive into Masters or anything, but just to get things going a little bit more. I sit too much for work!

What was your best times, curious to see the difference between your generation of swimmers and the current one. Also congrats, and you should at least try to get back into it! I made it to states in two relays last year but missed it due to an extremely unfortunately timed covid + pink eye combo. Praying that doesn't happen this year, even if it does I still have one more year. 

20 minutes ago, 87storms said:

My swimming skills are “boogie boarding” level, but I found mountain biking (or biking in general) to be a great complement to basketball bc both can be HIIT/cardio. The benefit of biking is that it’s generally low impact (aside from the gnarly stuff). Soccer thru elem and basketball from middle school on def increased the wear and tear on my back/knees/ankles as I’ve gotten older.

I love biking to compliment swim, its a good contrast as its more focused on legs and being outside. 

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

For me, it's drowning.

Still better than running imo

Just now, mattie g said:

Long-distance swimming is just so boring, though. My wife swims three days per week, but I just can't do it.

Thats exactly why I'm a sprinter but for practice we usually do 4-6 thousand yards (8 times a week) and the main way to keep it entertaining is not swimming alone/set variation, without either of those two things I would've gone crazy long ago. It also helps to get a song/playlist stuck in your head or have a strong internal monolog. 

3 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Swimming is great. Used to do it competitively. It just takes more time to drive to a pool, change into my suit, and do enough laps to get enough cardio benefit, and then change and drive back. But I’m definitely keeping that option open

Probably should take it to banter but what were your best strokes? Mine is freestyle plus IM/Fly, we have Highschool regions tonight and Im seated top 5 in 100 free and top 8 in 50 free, not a lot of pressure though because I managed to get my state cuts last weekend at districts. 

7 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Good day to go out for a nice long run. I love cold, but I hate exercising out in it, and the rowing machine is getting a little boring

May I recommend swimming, its running without the joint damage

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Nice stretch of dry weather over the next week or so with temps near normal. I'll enjoy it and get some outside pre-Spring work done, and prepare for the deep winter period that will follow. 

Am I hearing a mid-winter lawn mowing to keep the grass as short as humanly possible

20 hours ago, H2O said:

Snow gone, salt washing away

Directly into our water streams …

43 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Meh, need those 40”+ amounts further south

Axis of heavy snow too far north, toss it