SnowenOutThere

Light rain and 43 degrees out, feel like we will see a lot more of that obs than snow ones. 

4 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

Life Late stage capitalism is suffering by design.

FYP 

1 hour ago, frd said:

 

 

It’s super interesting and could tie into why the Atlantic is on fire which in turn pumps the southeast ridge. 

At least we finally got a PNA ridge

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS looks better Friday for our northern and western folks. 

Biggest storm of the season for me, barely passes by the record setting .5 I got. 

34 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

This post finally radicalized me. Canceled my WxBell subscription and am becoming a severe weenie. 

Yay, welcome to what I've been radicalized into since the December disappointement. At least in spring and summer the people still around are aware that we are really good at failing in Mid-Atl. 

Icon gets closer for the second wave, 0z had the low too east for anyone, 12z has a low off the outer banks that goes east then north, which screws us over but it also is too warm for anyone else on I-95.

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

Icon took a step back for New England

And a step back for us

33 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

GEFS changes reflect OP for wave 1. stronger h5 low, more ridging out West, and a slightly stronger 50/50 low. 

Seems like a pretty significant run to run change 

Gfs looks significantly further south out to hour 99 with the main low. 

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

ICON is in between track 1 and 2 with the upper feature and predictably is a very close miss.  

Was about to ask about the ICON with how close it gets to a snow storm for MA. It also seems significantly faster with the upper low than the GFS. 

10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

We had a May "threat" last til' NAM range back in 2020. Can dig up the old images but we got teased really, really late. 

I remember a major snow threat a couple years ago (2018 maybe?) that had us in the bullseye for April something, ended up with 1-3 for the southwestern areas. I only remember it because I was in middle of nowhere PA and got to go sledding with my cousin on like 2 inches of snow. Huge flakes came down when it did snow. 

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

198 frozen, but light and about to pull away from the area

Pivotal shows all rain except for far northwest burbs, maybe wave three will get the job done. 

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

@stormtracker flow already starting to back at 168. I think wave 2 has a shot on this run. 

Looks a little warm but it could still be a paste bomb. 

Just now, stormtracker said:

All features are definitly S and E of 6z positions, with a tiny bit of CAD that's scoured out.  But colder than 6z GFS, but not by much.

Looks like it is trying to set up a better boundary position for wave two. 

5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

But did the niño ever really couple though?

Why didn’t the niño couple, a niño failing to couple is also concerning.

10 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

That output is kind of ridiculous for South Dakota.. areas in the Western part of the state snow from hr90 to hr 234 without much of a break lol. Wild solution

Might be worth a chase 

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

throw in the towel at 8 days if you want, but don’t come back if things become more favorable. there are going to be many changes 

How many times have we heard you say this? I appreciate your posts but at some point we gotta recognize that this isn't really even close to an east coast snow storm look. 

3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Recent runs have a more amped EPO ridge

So now the pacific is too good, man are we good at failing. 

3 hours ago, jayyy said:

There is NO world where the euro, Canadian, gfs or any other model’s OP (at long range) shows a consistent solution

I mean the gfs showed this weeks storm from 7+ days away as a cutter and never changed, here’s a run from the 25th

16 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

You’re insane and obviously know nothing of the 93 storm. You’re judging a weather event based upon how much snow fell in your yard alone. Granted it wouldn’t have been as awesome had I not gotten nearly 30” of snow, it was an event that has no equal when you consider it covered from Florida to Maine. Do some research.

2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is not a head fake 

Just like how this wasn't a head fake? Always 10 days away

On 2/19/2023 at 10:21 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

8 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Battle of the ridges

I can't wait till they become friends and the whole country is a ridge.

9 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said:

New York City area is supposed to get 4-8 inches tonight.

How much for Boston?

1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said:

But trying to get a meaningful snow after mid March would take an uncomplicated near perfect pattern. Not our strong suit lol

We have needed that all winter so it really wouldn't be much different than what we are used to.