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coastal front

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Everything posted by coastal front

  1. coastal front
    Icon was not far off. Still had a bombing coastal low with coastal sections getting snow as the run ended. Chance it could have tucked more if it ran out far enough. That’s all you can ask for at this range .
  2. coastal front
    Such small changes in the tilt of the upper low makes it much easier to bring this thing back. It’s not like we have short wave inference with a kicker or washed out short wave. Look how this past week went we are still in a great spot here. .
  3. coastal front
    Lmao I’m to old to even realize. It wasn’t intentional lol .
  4. coastal front
    Changed to sleet around 11:30 in absecon. Measured 6-7” so I’ll call it 6.5”. All in all not to bad. Let’s see how long sleet holds before the plain rain .
  5. coastal front
    Sleet lines on the move but models really held the snow on a bit longer at the coast. Gonna wait until it’s on my doorstep for 1 last jeb walk but as of 8:45 I had 5 1-/2” and it’s been coming down good since. .
  6. coastal front
    If I don’t flip by 12 I could maybe flirt with double digits. Closing in on 4” with a wall of 1-3” an hour until then .
  7. coastal front
    Eyeballing close to 3” in absecon. It’s coming down between 1-3 inches an hour right now it’s wild .
  8. coastal front
    Probabaly have about a half inch. Heavy returns are on my doorstep step. .
  9. coastal front
    My warning down the shore went from 5-7 to 6-10. First flakes are falling now. Got about 8-10 hours to pile it up. .
  10. coastal front
    I think the heavy rates that we will get helps abate the sleet progression. Farther south they don’t have that what so ever .
  11. coastal front
    Once the waa thump beefs up towards sunrise with 1-3” an hour rates it should slow the sleet line a bit. Something farther south doesn’t have right now.
  12. coastal front
    Every model other than the nam has close to 6-8” for me towards absecon. All comes down the thump and hour of change over. Nam is closer to 10 am while other models are closer to 12-1pm. 2/3 hour difference might not seem like a lot but if it’s coming down at an inch+ an hour adds up. Tomorrow am will be the ultimate nowcasting .
  13. coastal front
    These initial warm air advection regimens usually come in early and that should help before the real warm surge off the upper level low tracking to our west. We will thump and thump good but totals will really come down to how we perform in 6-8 hours. .
  14. coastal front
    Man almost every model has close to atleast 8” down here besides the nam. I’d take that and run. Let’s hope we keep beefing up that thump throughout tomorrow .
  15. coastal front
    Gfs with the monster signal still at 18z
  16. coastal front
    I think that’s an incredible trend for a model that still produced really well. Looks like a delayed phase since the northern piece pushed east a bit as well as more confluence
  17. coastal front
    Yea that norther stream piece has trended west a bit on every model for a day now. Safe to say it’s difficult to resolve in such a days sparse region
  18. coastal front
    I don’t believe the nam ingested the new data per the hurricane hunter. Gfs and euro will have it tho
  19. coastal front
    Just ordered a rain gauge from Amazon. Should be here before start time [emoji24] .
  20. coastal front
    I believe this was the 2015 blizzard that developed more east then forecast. Epic bust even down at the jersey shore for me with 18”-24” still forecast 1 hour before onset. Fished with 2”
  21. coastal front
    Let’s hope we are now seeing the northern most envelope of possible solutions and can shift H5 slightly south while just upping the precip when mesos are in range. I’m not worried about where we are at right now but more so if it keeps trending in the more amped direction. Todays gonna be a long day lol .
  22. coastal front
    I don’t like losing wiggle room as we get closer in. Let’s hope the amping trend levels off considering we still have a 100 hours to go lol .
  23. coastal front
    Man it doesn’t get much better then this. I feel our region has the most wiggle room with multiple ways to score. Let’s keep fine tuning the details .
  24. coastal front
    CMC is a solid 8-16 region wide. Very similar to the icon. If anything the gfs at this point is on an island .
  25. coastal front
    CMC is a monster hit .
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