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coastal front

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Everything posted by coastal front

  1. coastal front
    Yea I do recall hearing the same thing during that storm. Even the it over performed most modeling
  2. coastal front
    What’s a 30” difference between fiends? Kidding aside mostly every model has slowly trended towards a snowier outcome through 6z besides the euro. Let’s remember how far out to sea it was at this point yesterday.
  3. coastal front
    We are so fucking back. All of the 18z models tended better in every way. A couple more ticks and the outlier gfs gets some support. Wow
  4. coastal front
    Icon an rgem both ticked better. Ticks can be effective with this lead time still. We move
  5. coastal front
    I made the mistake of looking at my phone during my early morning bathroom trip. Gfs has shown 30” for the last 36 hours it’s insane. Granted no one expects that but let’s hope guidance across the board just ticks better. 90 hours of ticks and we are all gonna be happy
  6. coastal front
    18z was practically a nothing burger. Much much better with the euro ai
  7. coastal front
    Euro ai was wise but the regular euro improved up stairs.lets hope we can build on this momentum we built up today lol
  8. coastal front
    Every model all day today has ticked better outside the ai and it’s great to finally have the euro tick better as well. Great spot to be headed towards 0z
  9. coastal front
    Gfs would be close to an all timer in 30 years living by the beaches. Desperately need the euro to show support for even a moderate hit at this stage and then I’ll really believe
  10. coastal front
    Icon at H5 def ticked better. At this stage that’s all we should worry about. B
  11. coastal front
    I had like 3 inches from that storm all on the wrap around stall the next day after the brunt of it. Still leaves a bad taste in my mouth lol
  12. coastal front
    The gfs sucks and it’s been upgraded so it’s safe to assume it’s ensemble package running off a decade old core isn’t going to perform any better. Out of all ensembles they by far should get weighted less
  13. coastal front
    Man 12z guidance has been Incredible. Let’s hope both euros cap this off and we can begin entering the “holy shit this might be real” phase
  14. coastal front
    Still gets down below 980mb so still a monster. Just not as much altitude gain
  15. coastal front
    It feels great that the aifis trended better as well as the ukie. Gives me more hope that this 18z euro hopefully isn’t a mirage. .
  16. coastal front
    I’m on the Jersey shore just inland from ocean city but usually prefer your sub forum lol. Both my parents live in brigantine hopefully we can get some scraps!
  17. coastal front
    Icon won’t do it but it is drastically improved
  18. coastal front
    I do like the 500mb trends a lot and that’s not done backing honest either. One things first sure is we are not at a final solution right now
  19. coastal front
    Did we ever get the wxnext full ensemble suit?
  20. coastal front
    Oh wowwww
  21. coastal front
    18z euro and eps was a huge improvement. Shows you how the smallest changes in tilt and timing have large differences in outcomes. Tilting a closed low 6 hours sooner while being 100+ hours out is not alot to ask. We love to see another day . .
  22. coastal front
    As long as the bleeding has stopped that gives us 100* hours to keep ticking better. At some point you reach an inflection point and it gets a lot better with smaller changes.
  23. coastal front
    CMC stills get close to a foot on the coast. We don’t want this to wrap up and occlude to far south so staying positive tilt a little longer could help those farther north. .
  24. coastal front
    EPS backed west a bit to with average precip amounts .
  25. coastal front
    Euro hits the coast good with a sharp cutoff at 95. Absolute bomb 970s at end of run. Regardless it’s better than 12z with an eternity to wobble this back west some more. .
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