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coastal front

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Everything posted by coastal front

  1. coastal front
    Gfs with the monster signal still at 18z
  2. coastal front
    I think that’s an incredible trend for a model that still produced really well. Looks like a delayed phase since the northern piece pushed east a bit as well as more confluence
  3. coastal front
    Yea that norther stream piece has trended west a bit on every model for a day now. Safe to say it’s difficult to resolve in such a days sparse region
  4. coastal front
    I don’t believe the nam ingested the new data per the hurricane hunter. Gfs and euro will have it tho
  5. coastal front
    Just ordered a rain gauge from Amazon. Should be here before start time [emoji24] .
  6. coastal front
    I believe this was the 2015 blizzard that developed more east then forecast. Epic bust even down at the jersey shore for me with 18”-24” still forecast 1 hour before onset. Fished with 2”
  7. coastal front
    Let’s hope we are now seeing the northern most envelope of possible solutions and can shift H5 slightly south while just upping the precip when mesos are in range. I’m not worried about where we are at right now but more so if it keeps trending in the more amped direction. Todays gonna be a long day lol .
  8. coastal front
    I don’t like losing wiggle room as we get closer in. Let’s hope the amping trend levels off considering we still have a 100 hours to go lol .
  9. coastal front
    Man it doesn’t get much better then this. I feel our region has the most wiggle room with multiple ways to score. Let’s keep fine tuning the details .
  10. coastal front
    CMC is a solid 8-16 region wide. Very similar to the icon. If anything the gfs at this point is on an island .
  11. coastal front
    CMC is a monster hit .
  12. coastal front
    Me too .
  13. coastal front
    Oh yeah the icon will do. Love the amped solution it’s just hoping it can stay there for 5 days lol .
  14. coastal front
    Great trends overnight but now the threat of mixing def exists for me. 2016 at this lead time looked like 10”-20” of cold powder and I ended up getting 11” with rain and a dry slot.
  15. coastal front
    Im gonna enjoy it for sure down here!
  16. coastal front
    Hoping to avoid to much of a delayed start with the rain as well as getting into that quasi stationary band that some mesos have showed. Should be a decent storm forum wide for most to get on the board
  17. coastal front
    Not only is the nam not backing down but it’s still ticking west.
  18. coastal front
    That map is a carbon copy of the 12 euro
  19. coastal front
    Gust of 72 reported at ACY. Nasty out
  20. coastal front
    I still think we have plenty of time to bring this thing back. We don’t need whole scale changes 200 miles west with no mechanism to induce it. It’s literally just comes down to the phasing and interactions of both the upper low and southern stream. 90 hours out is an eternity in this set up.
  21. coastal front
    Man to see the euro, eps , Canadian, and ukie all showing a big storm how can’t you get excited? No doubt in my mind we see the gfs, icon and AIFS trend better. Legit all the top models show it while the lesser models don’t and that’s for a reason.
  22. coastal front
    Yeah my bad!
  23. coastal front
    Typical model bias at play with the amped Canadian and the progressive euro. Let’s split the middle and we are all happy.
  24. coastal front
    To be fair tho we haven’t had a tpv dropping down from Canada to phase and capture all year. Every wave that has hit snj and deleware has been a whole different evolution. I’m really confident in a region wide event here. Let’s hope the 0z runs throw us a bone
  25. coastal front
    Absolutely ripping here just outside of Atlantic City. Instant coating.
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