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IowaStorm05

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  1. Could I kindly request you explain what that translates to for us? The location in relation to the low?
  2. I hope the slightly lower than forecast temps means something for mixing risks. But I’m not naive
  3. Can’t quite call us “hill terrain”, but it ain’t the CT River Valley. I saw those possibilities of mixing that edge right up to the border of the county. But oh, we are sitting at 2 degrees below our expected high and current temp forecast I stand by my 5 inch worst case scenario, as a result of sleet. but I’m hoping for 10”
  4. Seems like folks just don’t like clowns in these parts no more like they did in the 20th century
  5. HRRR verbatim calling 18 inches kuchera IMBY. Exciting prospect
  6. Euro actually is really calling for a bit of a coastal special, kinda
  7. GFS looks like it caved and came north to me. It’s not nearly as strong either. Canadian also looks less exciting than others. I’m not overly concerned though. Still a solid moderate storm at worst
  8. Weird how much the mix gets north into the coastal plain considering the placement of the low. Very strong windup
  9. Ya that’s why I never made it in my feeble pursuit for a masters and career with NOAA
  10. Yeah I’m noticing how cold it’s coming in for Philly
  11. I’ve been armchair hobbying weather at various intervals and when I was a kid it was consistent and obsessive. But tonight is my schooling lesson and first exposure to the notion that amounts could really vary like that without, for example, rain shadowing or whatnot. “Subsidence” takes on a whole new meaning to me tonight. I didn’t know everyone got screwed when we got crushed in 2010. Just wow!
  12. I looked back on the Dec 2010 storm after Ice1972 didn’t like it... and the snow map I found was... erratic. I was in Coventry, CT.... I swear we got feet. At LEAST 20 inches. But this map shows bulk of CT with random numbers many under 6 inches... with lots of “dots and bubbles”
  13. This all looks great. But I’m not sure it will be a Christmas 2010 in CT just yet
  14. Oh ya I remember living in Woonsocket in early 2004. It was a decent winter in SNE, but at least a few snows missed us to the south, hitting Warwick and Westerly
  15. I looked it up at least it did snow in all of CT and only extreme SE got screwed. It looks like it was 7-9 inches for JC-CT, me and Tolland.
  16. What exactly does that translate to (for us newbies). A rain snow line from Norwich to Providence to Boston? When I look at past classics, or common events, that rain/snow line has wildly varying different degree of tilt slicing thought coastal plains, but it’s there nevertheless
  17. What’s this deal with the snow line completely and perfectly contouring itself over the coast proper?
  18. Yeah not game over but way too close for comfort. If we get a 25 mile tick SE on the most adversarial models and lock it in, we are good
  19. Forgive my frivolous comment. But I sit here and I dream.... Canadian and Ukie stay steadfast, and suddenly NAM and GFS dive 45 miles southeast on their 18z runs. Hopes. Dreams. I finally take a shower.
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