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IowaStorm05

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Everything posted by IowaStorm05

  1. IowaStorm05
    About 3 plus weeks ago we were cautiously slated to get 3-5 inches I believe, but we got exactly what you state above instead
  2. IowaStorm05
    Gotta hope for some nice surprises with tonight’s runs. Some favorable trend. It’s not gone gone yet
  3. IowaStorm05
    I’m loving the longer range RAP output right now.
  4. IowaStorm05
    Lol I wouldn’t say it was this. I slept 10 hours the night before, and just 3 hours last night. This wasn’t a CAUSE per se, buuuut I was up for it
  5. IowaStorm05
    You’re rockin’ me with split hairs. A better way for me to put it... is that tracking this on models has made my head spin. Erratic modeling that took all sorts of shapes that I’m just not used to. I mean maybe I’m crazy, and I only got a few hours of sleep last night but I just feel like this is a weird one.
  6. IowaStorm05
  7. IowaStorm05
    No kidding. The modeling has been bad, even erratic, and what was trending a massive blockbuster caved to a small or even nonexistent event within the span of 24 hours and it did it inside of 72 hours. Maybe that still happens nowadays but I don’t remember the last time I saw these things happen with modeling... at least not in the last 5-10 years
  8. IowaStorm05
    The Canadian has remained more consistent than any other model. And I noticed it. Let’s see if 18z holds.
  9. IowaStorm05
    I’m seeing a lot of 10:1 ratio maps and I am concerned that we won’t have ratios that good And models have been so inconsistent and erratic that I feel like we have almost no idea where gets what
  10. IowaStorm05
    I just woke up and am trying to catch up.
  11. IowaStorm05
    Maybe we will be lucky and last night was just a bad set of runs
  12. IowaStorm05
    I can’t believe at 36hrs out there are literally models saying less than an inch of snow while others suggest 6 inches... IIRC Typhoon Tip discussed why yesterday.
  13. IowaStorm05
    We put her down in a shallow grave She wears a dress like a body bag every day And this way she won't have to run away And she can keep her regrets at bay every day
  14. IowaStorm05
    06z Canadian cut back QPF compared to last run, but still looks better than Euro moderate event, but the capture fantasy is off the table boys
  15. IowaStorm05
  16. IowaStorm05
    Once in like Feb 2002 we were suppose to get 1-3 inches of snow in Westerly; right up to the event but the event missed us and the snow stayed offshore to the south. Anyone remember that? random I know but it was a memory from my glory days of being 17 but the winter of 2001-2002, my first in Southern New England, was a total DUD for south coast. 4 inches total of snow for the season IIRC
  17. IowaStorm05
    My NWS forecast still calls for RAIN with this. Call me crazy but for recent years I’ve relied on model runs right up to the event for winter wx. Because NWS forecasts, by the time they’re compiled, are old by the time they launch and then they age 12 hours more by the time the next package comes out. theyre still essential for the masses, but yeah
  18. IowaStorm05
  19. IowaStorm05
    I was being funny. But it WAS 43 years ago.
  20. IowaStorm05
    I may look dumb putting myself out here for this: but in the past 24-36 hours of following these runs: I remain stubborn in expecting an event. Even if it’s just 3 inches run to run to me has simply not been consistent enough to call it off at this point.
  21. IowaStorm05
    You trust this GFS?
  22. IowaStorm05
    Did anyone post an 18z euro map? Didn’t see one
  23. IowaStorm05
    The people of the 78 blizzard are long dead.
  24. IowaStorm05
  25. IowaStorm05
    Canadian at hour 66.... I think we see what is going to happen beyond 66
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