ineedsnow

Feeling good up this way but the NAM was concerning even if it is a crap model

It's still amazing me how the CMC and RGEM are pretty much exact with their snowfall maps

Think there just playing it safe for now Heavy Wet Snow Threat... As mentioned above, strong jet dynamics, explosive deepening/ intensification and duration of event supports qpf up to 2 inches per ensembles and 3+ inches per deterministic guidance! Definitely a lack of cold air on the front end of this system, with only a 1020 mb high over southeast Quebec, but this is common for mid March. Thus, cold air for snow will have to come from dynamical and diabatic cooling processes, which is possible given the high qpf from ensembles and deterministic guidance. As mentioned above, the exact timing, location and evolution of closed low south of New England will determine rain/snow line. Typically this time of year elevation is favored for heavy wet snow, but given the 2-3" of qpf, it can snow at lower elevations, including the coastline, depending on where the dynamical and diabatic cooling processes take place. So the eventual track and evolution of this system will have to be watched closely. Current guidance (ensembles and deterministic) and trends support a moderate to high risk for 6-12" (possibly higher amounts) across northwest CT into western MA, including northern Worcester County. Given this, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for this area beginning Monday evening and continuing into Wed morning. Less snow is expected south and east, closer to the storm track and warm airmass. Although, still 2-3 days away, so forecast adjustments are likely. If these heavy wet snow amounts materialize, the threat of power outages will exist, and is concerning given the duration of this event.

still manages to get me over 2 feet here

GFS looks great

CMC and RGEM almost exact now

3k is further west

BOX must of saw this first lol

I just dont get it.. 6 to 12 wont cut it here, atleast I dont think

doesnt even match the point and click we get the amounts in the watch just monday night lol Monday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy fog before 3am. Patchy freezing fog after 3am. Low around 32. Breezy, with a northeast wind 16 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Tuesday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy freezing fog. High near 32. Windy, with a north wind 23 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible

BOX going low Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 309 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2023 MAZ002>004-008-009-026-120915- /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0005.230314T0000Z-230315T1200Z/ Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA- Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Northern Middlesex MA- Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, Fitchburg, Chesterfield, Blandford, and Ayer 309 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...The high terrain of western and central Massachusetts. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Wednesday morning.

Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 243 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2023 CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ033-041-042-047-051-052-058-059-063-064-082- 083-VTZ013>015-121100- /O.NEW.KALY.WS.A.0006.230313T1800Z-230315T1200Z/ Northern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire- Hamilton-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Schoharie- Western Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Greene-Eastern Greene- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Torrington, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 243 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 feet possible, with higher amounts in the eastern Catskills, Berkshires, Taconics and southern Green Mountains. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern Connecticut, western Massachusetts, east central and eastern New York and southern Vermont.

Monday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy fog before 3am. Patchy freezing fog after 3am. Low around 32. Breezy, with a northeast wind 16 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Tuesday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy freezing fog. High near 32. Windy, with a north wind 23 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%

hour 72

ive been in spots where it looks good and goes to crap still time left

starting to think we get crushed

24 to 36 here on the Ukie

ukie is wild!!!

canadian is a top 5er

Looks like we pulled off 2.5 to 3 nice surprise

Hopefully the 12z Euro follows the 6z

moved east a bit though.. highly doubtful but who knows