WinterWxLuvr

No I know you weren’t predicting that. I’m just saying the perspective may change

Well it’s only Jan 5. There’s no telling how long a decent pattern will last. Wonder how we would feel if two months from now we had about 200% of normal snow and we’re about -7 in temp departure? Doubt anyone would say we wasted the winter pattern.

If I remember correctly it was also a total west to east moving low. But I could be remembering incorrectly.

All of the 18z models so far have made a decent move to bring the Friday system up the coast a little more. Well, except the ICON, but ...

Jan 2010 was a much more powerful system But I agree. This could still spread snow into the area.

You could literally take 5 random images from the past two weeks from the gfs at h5 and they wouldn’t be any different from each other than the past 5 are.

I’d pull a Ji

The period coming up is rife with shortwaves and it really is just starting with the system Friday. If your are expecting a model or models to get a 5+ day forecast right with all that going on, you’re probably gonna be disappointed.

100% in the cold and some snow. Not sitting waiting on a HECS

Great. Frozen brown ground

Those two maps are so different that they are really incomparable

Let’s get the one in Canada too. Triple phase or bust.

Until further notice, Winchester will be cloudy and 36 degrees

Look at the potential. Perhaps a bit far apart but hard not to notice

LOL, it’s been 36 at KOKV for 18 hours straight.

GFS is getting there. But it’s massive differences run to run at h5 have to give anyone pause, regardless of your desired outcome.

What’s cool here is the temp has been between 30 and 39 since Saturday evening.

No sun here at all. @EastCoast NPZ approves.

Not sure why everyone is on Ji. He’s no different now than he’s ever been. His comments don’t change the weather. Some won’t admit that they are anxious and/or disappointed. It’s a natural reaction. We are easily gonna go at least three weeks from our last snow chance right at the height of winter with basically no chance at snow. If we saw good opportunities in the immediate horizon nobody would pay his comments any mind. He is pretty funny sometimes. You have to admit. We can’t control whether or not it snows but we can control how we treat each other.

We’ve got time to get that flow a little further east LOL.

I see three of them

The temp in Winchester has only varied 9 degrees in over 72 hours

We need that southern energy to slow down a little, amp a little more, get the whirlpool in the ne to lift out just a tad and the hammer to keep weakening. Get those, I know it’s a lot, and this could come up. You can see it wants to but when it hits that confluence it just goes. It also weakens.

For anybody that thinks looking at a snow map from the gfs has any merit consider this ... on the 15th the gfs has rain in western Pa and ne Ohio with thickness under 528 and 850’s around -10 in January. Sign on the dotted line if you think that bullshit is happening.

Are you and I the only ones who think this has a shot? The changes on the gfs were significant