Interesting. Was thinking pretty much the same things. I know models are constructed differently but this close you would expect a little more consensus
Well I’m just going off of what is happening now. Look at the total qpf modeled on the short range models and it is paltry from about middle Tennessee westward but what is happening there now is a qpf beatdown
Think the models are gonna bust low on the nw periphery of the storm. None of them are properly handling that part of the storm correctly right now. That’s what I want to believe anyway.
Not sure what’s up with these WB maps but NCEP totals for my area are well over 1 inch where that has 1/2”
Edit: never mind. Dumbass at play here. Didn’t realize it was the 3k
Totally agree. They are tremendous being able to tell us weather is coming. Amazing actually. And in the scheme of things is there really that much difference between 3” of snow or 6”. No there isn’t.
Models aren’t going to be able to forecast with the kind of precision some desire. About 2” on snow and about 0.25” on precip is about the best you can expect IMO. Temps probably 2-5°. We are really at the point now of radar and sat watching.