Brian D

Winds have picked up here with a drizzle that is starting to turn to snow has I type this.

My local news is putting their snow forecast out, and this looks pretty good to me. Maybe even 10-15" should be down the shore towards Duluth.

WSW issued finally for NE MN. I think a blizzard warning might be in the offing for a little while tomorrow night. Lake Superior is gonna surprise me thinks. Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

Wednesday Rain and snow, becoming all snow after 1pm. Temperature rising to near 37 by 9am, then falling to around 15 during the remainder of the day. Windy, with an east wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow likely, mainly before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around -2. Windy, with a north wind 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday A 20 percent chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 6. Blustery, with a northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -5. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Christmas Day Partly sunny, with a high near 16. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Might be blizzard conditions here Wed eve into the night. The big lake is gonna surprise I think. With very cold N surface winds and mid levels out of the ENE to NE makes for Lake action on the North Shore. Seen that many times, and it always surprises the forecasters.

Here ya go Baum, I put this out at the same time as the other holidays. Although it being a clipper may not be the case. In taking a closer look, it could be a CO low moving NE through the Lakes. Either way, this is the set up I'm looking for, and it could be a good storm New Years Eve, exiting New Years Day.

Messy start here, then.... BOOM!!?? Lake enhanced burial?

Ok, I was really close on this one. This map I made looks like Christmas Eve pm, but my text forecast is good for Christmas day with clds and snow showers and LES events for most everyone, along with the colder temps. One more holiday to go. Will I get that one?

3-5" around here with this system. Wet snow at 30degF. Finland, Isabella haven't reported yet, and they ended up with more I think. Radar showed stronger returns that way for a longer period of time.

Nice clipper system too bring me 1-3" of snow. Maybe more if the Lake can bring its influence. 3-6" on the top end, especially for the hills.

Christmas models are looking a lot like this forecast I put out. A few days to go though.

1" of snow here from last night, but melting away a bit with the Sun.

Very cold day with a high of 9 and a low of 3 this morning. Front coming tomorrow so some light snow again. A little WAA with the warm front moving through.

Same amount here. Ground looks the same here at my place

Here's a Christmas a.m. forecast from the gov runs. Close call if that ends up right.

Weather is BORING!! around here. Oh well. Nice is good, too. Need snow tho lest the frost go to deep and cause lots of issues with septic systems.

More like a drastic difference than just 6 weeks ago.

The "Fallness of 2020" continues as I posted in my "holiday forecast" post. The crazy ups and downs. Love it. Enjoy it guys!!

Fall's about over, so here is how I did with my 3 month outlook. Pretty close.

It looks like a storm front will be passing through the Lakes region over the July 4 weekend followed by high pressure. It's very possible that the entire region should be under that influence by eve of the 4th for good viewing of the works. Even a chill in the air is possible for some. Another front will be knocking on my door that night or the next day.

Ambitious. Love it

So it looks like the weather I was expecting for T-Day weekend is happening today. The maps are very close. The weather map for Thanksgiving tho is similar to what I had, but the weather is not. So I missed it by a couple days.

Light snow falling here. Nothing major. Just like Sunday where we had maybe an inch.

Gov models continue to show something for T-Day. Few days to go tho.

Just a little more here. Dec is looking to be a mixed bag like we have seen so far this Fall. Dec is still technically Fall until the Solstice so why not continue the Fallness of 2020 Anyway, I think Dec ends up near avg to above avg for the region. Come Jan tho, I think we start seeing the cold being more prevalent than the warmer weather(which will show up), and the end of Jan into early Feb shows signs of being brutally cold. In fact, Feb as whole looks really cold.

Duluth is at 20" at the moment. And that's nearly a quarter of our seasonal avg.