Brian D

Just gray and drizzly here last couple days. Serious BLAH wx here. But mid winter conditions will be showing up next week.

From "Holiday forecast" thread Nov 17th "Dec is looking to be a mixed bag like we have seen so far this Fall. Dec is still technically Fall until the Solstice so why not continue the Fallness of 2020 Anyway, I think Dec ends up near avg to above avg for the region. Come Jan tho, I think we start seeing the cold being more prevalent than the warmer weather(which will show up), and the end of Jan into early Feb shows signs of being brutally cold. In fact, Feb as whole looks really cold." Looks like Dec call was good, but Jan not so much as it has been on the warmer side more than I anticipated. Heating bill looking good, so no complaints. Still think the late Jan into Feb forecast will be good so we will see. Also looking for more winter stms for areas south of me as I noted in the Jan Discuss thread Looking into March, cold early with big stms mid month. Becoming milder, if not a bit summery (especially southern areas) by the end into Easter(Apr 4). Stmy wx on tap that weekend. So this is a cursory look in to the end of winter into early Spring. Plenty of action coming up.

Looks like it may pan out that way.

Looks like a few days of waiting then real cold and light snow possibilities on tap here. LES will really get cranking. Storm activity will return in a couple weeks with more real cold weather afterward again. Then stms, then cold n clippy then stms, etc. I'm not expecting quite as much my way because it looks like the stmy wx will be mostly south of me, with mainly clippers up here thru Feb. I might see one or two bigger snows, but you all south of me should have most of the fun.

My forecast in the holiday 2021 thread.

Real nice start to the year. Mild weather, with a mix of cloudy and sunny days. Sunny weather is real bright with the snow. Need sunglasses just see when outside. Heating bill is lower, too. Winter Part II coming soon to a town near you. Will it be yours???

Ok guys, Holiday forecasts 2021 is up now. Let's post there for the new year.

Now Valentine's Day, (and the day prior, 13th) I am expecting stormy weather. Something to watch for weather lovers.

For Groundhog's Day, I see a similar set up as MLK Day. I am looking for stormy weather in the days prior, so watch for that.

MLK Day Jan 18, 2021 looks pretty fair and colder with maybe some frontal activity in the most eastern part of our area.

A new Holiday forecast thread for the upcoming year, 2021. Post your own thoughts and forecasts and lets see how they do.

Well, I was close on the map. I saw low pressure affecting the eastern/southern Lakes. The evolution to this day was off in my comments tho.

What do you call the this next one on New Years day.... Chipolte Express?

Ended up with 6-8" here, with 4-6" south and west of me. Powder snow. Have a good snow cover to help against the cold.

3-6" for my location with this system. Snow will be starting here soon. Enjoy your snow the next few days everyone

My own modelling is showing low pressure moving E to NE with it over the C Lakes by New Years Eve, and New Years Day, (in my holiday forecast thread) I show high pressure over the upper Midwest with low pressure over the E Lakes, which I posted 2 months ago. I had thought it could be a clipper sinking in over the plains, back then, moving east, but looks like a CO low set up. A secondary low moving up from the south over the east lakes wasn't on my radar for the 1st, but sneaky things do happen

A SSW event for the N Hemisphere is forecast to start sometime in Jan. This will have a big impact somewhere. My outlook for this winter (in the holiday forecast thread I made), I mention the colder weather, with some some milder temps mixed in for Jan, with what looks to be very cold weather for late Jan into Feb, with Feb looking pretty cold. https://watchers.news/2020/12/23/major-sudden-stratospheric-warming-january-2021/

Well, here we go again Upper Midwesterners. The potential for another strong hit. Post your thoughts and model runs in the coming days.

Low of -8 this morning with wind chills -20. First brutal cold wave of the season. Next snow chance will bring light-mod snows with the Lake involved on Sun. Then Wed could be another dump for the Upper Midwest with the Lake involved heavily. With the bitter air around, we get it good on a E/NE wind with low pressure, and warmer waters.

6-8" is about what I expected when the storm wound down, and so the reports are around that. Grand Marais well up the shore near the border ended with almost a foot, and winds hit 70mph. Big tree was felled over Hwy 61. Good wind maker of a storm, lacking in the snow dept tho for my town. Next up is in about a week with some Lake effect on tap with the next wave for the area here.

2020 was a year of extremes in not only weather, but in many other ways. I think we adapt so quickly to stuff now, that in the end, it seems like nothing, when in fact it was something. The west coast could drop in the sea, and we would aghast for a week or two, then back to whatever we were doing before, even complaining how boring it is.

Heavy band of snow is migrating east over the Lake. It's not snowing as hard as it was earlier. No early snow reports yet, but they did get 4-6" up near the border from last night's and this mornings snow bands that made their way up there at the start. Look's like the slow wind down is starting as the low heads NE into the W UP MI. I say 6-8" by morning will be a common number around here

Dang. Wind gusts are starting to near or exceed 50mph up this way too at some locales.

NWS issued a blizzard warning for us. It really bad out there right now. My wife came back from our son's place just a 1/2 mile away, and she had a dickens of a time seeing anything.

It continues to get heavier. I can see a block now. Less on the gusts. EDIT: added pic and BTW, back in the mid 90's, we had a storm with such heavy snow with wind like this, that I was unable to see that gray house across the street. That's a snowstorm!!