Brian D
-
Posts
2,345 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Brian D
-
President's Day looks cold again with an exiting system affecting our southern regions. Could be a good one. Weak weather affecting the north.
-
Valentine's Day looking cold, and bitter. EDIT: added the front that I forgot for some reason. Didn't even notice. Interesting potential for the southern sub after V Day. Hope you all do well.
-
The new year is fast approaching. Is it me or when you get older time sails on a brisk wind? It has been a horrible year for me this past year with the loss of my mother, and youngest son. Hopefully this coming year will be a little better. I have the New Years Day forecast coupled with New Years eve in the 2021 post, so the next one is MLK day on Jan 17th. Looks cold (bitter for some) on that day with higher pressure being the dominate feature.
-
In the above extremes I noticed 1896 had records of both extremes just like in 1911 on Vets Day. A wild day very similar to that 1911 event. Up to a 50 dF temp change as that system went through. Svr weather with possible tornadoes very likely that Thanksgiving day.
-
Here are Thanksgiving Day extremes. A fun look at some wild temps and when they occurred, along with snowfall.
-
Looks like a decent call for the wet weather, but like last time, my maps are running a little behind by almost a day, especially Wed into Thurs.
-
Winds have died down quite a bit, still a little breezy with temps around 20 here at midday. Temps returning to the low 40's starting tomorrow for a couple days as low pressure makes its way into the area. Then back to cold blustery conditions for T-Day. My house is 100+ years old, and even with fiberglass insulation, when the wind blows, my house "breathes" quite well. "Shiver me timbers"
-
Very windy today, and still is with gusts up to 40-45. Wind chills near 0 right now. Heater getting a workout today.
-
Cold, blustery day with a wind advisory. A little bit of snow this morning that the sun has melted already. High of 30 right now should be it as temps start falling with a push of colder air moving into area.
-
I have a map from what I mentioned yesterday from my model method. Looks like a clipper moving in with some energy from the south moving up. Could be significant. A messy weekend down that way with snows my way, very possible. Models always get a bit wild during the colder season. For many years that has not changed.
-
Just took a look at the weekend (Sat & Sun). That could be a messy one for our region.
-
30 and breezy with snow showers/flurries. Mid 20's away from the lake in the Arrowhead region. Nothing out of the ordinary here. Just a little taste of winter we normally get this time of year. But I guess for you guys in the southern areas, this is more like mid winterish stuff.
-
I still see shit to some degree during the 3 day period I have posted. Models don't really know what to do with it. From a pop fart to Montezuma's revenge is typical of them.
-
A windy day here. Winds of 15-25 mph, gusts up to 35 mph out of the west. Temp around 40 right now, but should be on its way down soon as colder air filters into the area. Gale warnings out for the big lake. Heater will be kicking in a bit more today, as the wind always strips the heat from the house much quicker than calmer weather.
-
2-4" of snow around my area. About 2" here in town. First accumulating snow here in town for the start of the snow season. Kinda surprised, figured it would be a more south, and west deal, but I ended up on the north edge. But it will all be gone in a couple days as temps will be running upper 30's to low 40's this week.
-
Light snow here this evening. A small amount accumulating. Melting on the roads. Could have 1", possibly 2" by later tonight.
-
Light snow showers moving through now. Nothing sticking tho. Should have a chance at snow here this weekend, but most of that looks to be just to my south.
-
06 GFS showing about what I'm looking for during this time frame. I have the low a little more north, so we shall see how this goes.
-
Ended up with 2.38" of rain here in town at the coop station with 3.16" at another site in town. But the biggest surprise was the rain totals along the shore here. Up to 6" of rain! Tofte had 5.75". Incredible! Just as much rain as snow.
-
Figured there would be tornadoes, just never looked that hard to find out. The map for the 12th showed a note of "Colder 20 - 60 dF or more" change from previous days temps in the southern region. That's a serious drop to be sure.
-
Nearly 2" of rain here. Been a steady soaker for a good 12 hours, and it's still raining. Looks like the snow has been staying along the border over into NC MN. Rain is changing to snow now across the the Iron Range, and even down near the head of the Lake outside of Duluth. Should see a change over for the area as a whole later today. Nature getting a much needed drink, and rivers back in action.
-
I was a day behind on my forecast. I expected today's weather for Vet's Day. Close call.
-
Wet weather starting to move into the area. Looks like a nasty night, and day tomorrow. Might be some snow in the higher terrain, but it will be more of a slush. Ground still warm, and temps will be just around freezing. Better chance of good snow totals near the border, and in the NC MN region, as temps will end up colder quicker in those areas. Just a typical early season slop fest.
-
Here's the Vets day record max and low max temps. 1911 stood out has it has max records in MO up to MI, and low max records in the Plains. Here's the wx maps for that time. System moving NE bombs out in the Lakes. Serious temp gradient. Interesting that we have something similar going to happen this year, just not as extreme as back then.
-
GFS is aggressive in the long range. Temps, precip, etc. Just the pattern I'm looking at, and it's close to the set up I'm seeing with my forecast method around T-Day as per my maps. That's why I put it up. Would be something, tho, if it did turn out that aggressive.
