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Posts posted by IronTy
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Southern Maryland approves of this run.
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38 minutes ago, stormtracker said:
Anybody have important plans Thursday?
I have piano practice, not good enough for Beethoven yet though.
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3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:
Shit wrong storm...yay now we've brought up all 3 of our biggest busts of the last 30 years...awesome.
But that storm has even less in common IMO. It was purely NS miller b, not hybrid. From 5 days out the models were wrong because they thought the STJ wave would be out in front and phase and there would be a hybrid system. Once they latched onto the idea it would be a NS only miller b it became more iffy but some runs still showed a hit because back then they liked to tease us with miller b's when in reality they almost NEVER develop fast enough, that one Feb 1996 one being the only exception I can ever remember where a pure NS miller b bombed in time to get the DC area into heavy snow.
What are the odds this becomes like that? Not much imo. First of all the southern stream is way out ahead of the NS on this one so there is no mechanism to totally squash it. If the NS squashes it...there wouldn't be a storm because there is no strong NS SW to work with here. Also, models are better at day 5 then they were at day 3 back then. We don't see major errors on significant systems like that as often.
Anything is "possible" but I don't see many similarities to this setup.
Now can we stop bringing up every horrible fail we've had.
Not to mention that was 20yrs ago. Did the euro run on a 486DX back then?
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4 minutes ago, dailylurker said:
Im the same way, but with weed instead lol. I'm actually making ice water bubble hash right now. Then I take the hash and make different edibles. I'm making some strong ones for the next few days lol
I don't drink or do weed, but my humidor was topped up this week also.
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22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:
Sterling already went "snow likely" in the grids for next Wednesday.
It's in the pipe, 5x5
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3 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:
This one is getting saved to my PC for posterity like the 1/19/16 GFS runs that showed 4 feet for Calvert.
We've been the jackpot for all the storms this winter, no reason we can't do it again.
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Holy euro Batman. That's the one.
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Is north Carolina out of the running for now? But they had that one storm 45yrs ago, when mt. st. helens erupted.
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Just now, cbmclean said:
Thanks Ash.
At least one person out there got it.
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2 minutes ago, Cobalt said:
Feb 26-27 2004 says hi
Base state, bruh
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Just now, NorthHillsWx said:
We’ll take that bet
I can't lie to you about your chances....but you have my sympathies.
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Just now, Maestrobjwa said:
I mean...we didn't think NO was gonna get a 8" snowfall either, lol Weird things happen! I mean yeah it's not the most probable but weather is weather...
Exactly, we already had our allotment of four sigma SD weather for the winter. Not this time.
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Just now, HighStakes said:
That's a very amateur statement.
Thanks mom
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I'm not worried. North Carolina isn't going to get a 2ft snowstorm in late February.
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Ugh the ICON. I can't deal with a other SoMD jackpot storm this year in my backyard, I'm tired of shoveling snow.
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4 hours ago, hsq said:
I measured a tad over 9 early this AM before the additional precip. I'm off of Ponds Wood Road.
Sounds right. I'm off plum point road, I drive down ponds wood almost on the daily.
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14 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:
He called it “of biblical proportions”
Doug hill used to live near me, met him a few times at local charity events. Nice guy, I have pics of me and him somewhere. I think he moved to NC when he retired, but passed away a couple years ago iirc.
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3 hours ago, wxdude64 said:
Yeah, a nice 6-8 inch area-wide snow would be about perfect.
I need more like 15-20" at IAD and BWI. My numbers look pretty good except apparently I didn't account to the Baltimore anti snow forcefield.
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I need that 2/20 MECS or bust.
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In Huntingtown I got somewhere between 8-10", hard to be sure as it's consolidated quite a bit and is sleeting now.
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February Medium/Long Range Thread
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
It's a cave