IronTy

44 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GFS: after a beautiful Mother's Day weekend another wet weather period potential moves into the area Tuesday for several days.

 

Hopefully it comes true just like it did when the euro was predicting 7-10" area-wide 10 days ago.  

1 hour ago, ThePhotoGuy said:

Will the lowlanders actually get rain this time? 

The pax river forcefield seems to be in effect from what I can see. 

Tropical downpour in Calvert.  Heavy rain and thunder, very soupy out.  

4 hours ago, CAPE said:

lookin good

That's the setup for an EPIC FEBRUARY PATTERN

Was up in DC at the house this weekend, not much there except for some overnight light rain.  Just got back in Calvert and it looks like there was a solid inch or so while I was gone.  I need to get a new rain gauge, I left my old one out over the winter and the water in it froze and shattered it.   

2 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

There’s talk of rain next weekend, anything supporting it?

GFS says no. 

38 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Nah we're getting rain, the drier models have fluke written all over it.

 

This is just winter PTSD clouding judgement.

Has someone hacked your account?

Latest euro has the rainstorm equivalent of a warm nose right up to the lower Chesapeake.  Expecting just pity sprinkles by the time first drops fall. 

12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Ratios look good on the ICON at least.

Kuchera maps?

10:1 euro looks about like we'd expect for a Christmas blizzard analogue.  

2 hours ago, dailylurker said:

Let's track it like it's a Christmas blizzard. 

With about as much chance of verification.  

48 minutes ago, 87storms said:

lol, I’m not looking forward to dry air. I’m digging the humidity rn


.

So is all my home's interior millwork.   

18 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

It must of rained everywhere except here last night. 

Lol  just found wjla's weather website plays historical radar on at least a 5hr loop and it showed a heavy cell over just my town at around 4am, light everywhere else.  I must manifested that for my yard.  

12 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

It must of rained everywhere except here last night. 

Cocorahs has the closest station to me at like 0.15" but no way I didn't get more than that based on last night. Must been really localized.  Radar looks promising for SoMD shortly.  Hopefully you get something.  

I woke up sometimes in the night and it was raining pretty hard in Calvert, then a couple hours later I woke up again and it was still raining.  Must've gotten a decent amount.  

Out in the back woods, feels like the dog days of summer with how dry it is.  All that's missing is katydids and cicadas.  

4 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Thing is though epic snow patterns around here involve a bunch of factors to line up just right for us to score mostly because our region is often of the fringe of the temp boundaries. As a result we have to thread the needle or else it's too warm.

For the rest of the year that doesn't apply, it should not be this hard for it to rain here.

True, but if you look back you notice that we never even had any sort of coastal event that originated in the SE, rain or snow.  Been that way for several years.  I assume it has something to do with the lack of southern stream moisture.  But I'm just an amateur and by no means an expert.  We need a pattern like 2018, whatever that was.  

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Lol we all make that mistake. I like to harden off my seedlings. You need to keep the soil cool. I put straw around the pots. Even on a cool day the sun can heat the soil and fry the delicate roots. 

That's what I thought I was doing but I guess I underestimated how dry and windy it was outside at the time.  Lesson learned.  By the time my new seedlings are large enough luckily it'll be warmer and more humid outside.  Hopefully.  

I screwed up and set my tomato and pepper seedlings outside I nthe shade for 2hrs one day last week and I guess it was too dry and windy, they shriveled up and died.  So now I have to start over.  Argh.  

37 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Every time it looks like the dry pattern is about to end it gets turbo charged…

 

Did we swap climates with California?

It's sort of like looking for the epic February snow pattern.  Whatever pattern persistence we're stuck in is definitely not a big snow or rain storm pattern.  Might as well adjust your expectations on rainfall just like we had to do for snowfall.  Base case is drought until there's a big atmospheric shakeup at some point.  

7 hours ago, CAPE said:

Not sure how humans can stand it either lol.

I have been doing this for years and it works. I cut a bar in half, make a hole in it and tie it onto a Shepard's hook so it hangs above my rose bushes.

What's the effective radius for it?  I'd just do it in the winter because deer generally only eat the mountain laurel as a last resort if they're starving which isn't an issue during the growing season.  

Just got back to Calvert from the city.  Pollen is on blast, especially my Loblolly pines.  I'm thankful that it doesn't cause me any allergy issues but it sure makes a mess.  74F. 

18 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I love how it just knows to not climb and suffocate trees.

Horrible stuff. Always a battle in my yard, and it’s a small yard.

The honeysuckle is relatively easy to control since it's evergreen and I can spray it in late fall or early spring but the bittersweet is relentless and it seems like new seedlings pop up every day.  And then there's the stupid Japanese stiltgrass.  I agree, it's all just a thankless battle that never ends.   And then there are the deer.  They decimated my mountain laurel this winter which means they must've been really desperate.  We need a few more severe winters to thin the herd. 

17 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

It could be worse. He could decide to plant bamboo.

The growing season isn't over yet.  I hear English ivy is a good ground cover...

33 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Who needs habitat for insects?

One of them lives on a hill like me and said he was worrying about erosion during rain and that he feels better now that the leaves are gone.  SMH, that's not how it works.  

On 3/26/2025 at 2:19 PM, aldie 22 said:

The dry is definitely a bit concerning for some parts. I think i better go out back and rake my woods to be safe

You joke, but two of my neighbors did this and now the forest floor is just bare earth that's bone dry and invasive honeysuckle and oriental bittersweet are springing up all over by the hundreds.  Idiots.