IronTy

You guys might as well close this thread because at this rate it's gonna be rain all the way up to Cleveland. 

19 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

We arent even in the middle of the current interglacial yet. The planet will get way warmer before it happens. Although maybe we have sped it up.

Those glacial periods look pretty long and ominous (and cold).  I'll take global warming over that.  

Just now, wasnow215 said:

Yes and still warm. With that track from 18z GFS I don’t understand why there isn’t more cold air. What has to happen?

Volcanic eruption or meteor.  

13 minutes ago, Shad said:

Is it bad when you are excited to see what the GFS is showing at hour 240 on the 12z run.   What a stupid hobby

Isn't that pretty much what we always do?  Usually that's the only timeframe to see a storm anyway.  

46 minutes ago, Interstate said:

If with what the GFS is showing. There should still be no thread for this one yet.  Should have waited until at Saturday. This one is a no go for me. I am more interested in the later period.   Threat threads used to mean something. Now they are a dime a dozen. 

I imagine the halcyon days of the weather forums, when only Very Serious People(tm) were allowed to make a thread and when one was posted up, VSP's called in sick to work, abandoned their spouses and children and really went to work analyzing the model outputs via manually-performed tensor calculus for days on end.  Finally presenting their findings to the other VSP for peer review and submittal to NOAA for official forecast consideration.  

Yeah I'm really starting to get a sense of inevitability for this winter.  

56 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

I think the blocking signal looks kind of pathetic now on models.. models trended less +pna and less -nao in the last few days. Still has them dont get me wrong, but it looks like a "moderate" cold air situation. 

I think that's basically what JB was alluding to earlier this morning.  

1 minute ago, blizzardmeiser said:

Is that more the longer game?  Into deep March?  He's usually bullish. 

No that was off the euro weeklies into third week of Feb.   

Eta, he still likes the pattern and just a couple hours earlier posted up about 2010 similarities...so he's got his bases covered.  

Well JB just posted up that he doesn't like the weakening block and the highs heading over Siberia on the latest runs. That's about as good of a contrarian signal as we can ask for - lock it in.  

26 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It’s under “charts” on the main page: https://maps.weatherbell.com/

How have I missed that for literally years now!?  Thank you!

It is coming>>>> "FOLKS"

48 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

WxBell can unfortunately only pull soundings to 90... but looking at the temp profile by 153 the metro is OK. Surface temps too warm... but the profile doesn't look that much different there than anywhere else. Heavy snow that struggles to stick most likely

How do you get them?  I've been bitching that WB doesn't have soundings for years now and all this time there's been a way to get them?

3 hours ago, Ji said:

I heard someone compare it to Jan 2022. How warm was it before that storm?

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

It was pouring rain here in the morning when that storm started.  Ended up with around a foot of snow though.  I was sure it was gonna just stay as rain it felt so warm out when I woke up.  

Man used to get my kicks posing in front of a bunch of dudes in basically just a speedo and I've raised moths for over 35yrs.  Learned not to take myself very seriously, especially on the Internet.  

I find it hilarious that we argue over the weather when it's literally the thing in life that we basically have the least control over in the entire world.  Having a warm weather hobby (or five) to look forward to every year helps during these late winter suck pattern doldrums. 

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Gonna need a new “it’s so over/we’re so back” index for 2024-2025

Frankly if this next 6wks can't produce anything then it's pretty pointless to have any index at all moving forward.  

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Okay...so again though, how am I trying to hard?

Dude I don't know, I'm hardly one to give advice on being liked on an Internet forum.  This is a strange forum too. 

10 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

"Try too hard"...hmm, in what way? 

I think if you prohibited yourself from using "lol" in any posts going forward that would be an easy win.  

21 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

 

Read this post very very carefully.

 

I could find you like 100 others posts just like it talking about a late Jan early Feb epic pattern change. The can has been kicked a month. Soon we will be tracking spring!

At least when we're tracking spring we can be sure of success!

Like I said, the meltdowns are gonna be epic.  

If this doesn't come to fruition, man the meltdowns are gonna be almost worth it.  Crow served up as for as far as the eye can see.  

13 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, so the story about this guy...if there are any doubts everyone on staff will confirm my story

So back in day, his name was Earthlight here.  Good poster, knowledgeable dude, from the Philly forum.  We liked him.  So we put him on staff.  So we started to notice that the Philly forum was getting a bit light.   Eh, no big deal.   Come to find out from a few anonymous PMs that this dude was using his position to poach Philly people from this board to his own...the entire time he was a moderator on staff here.  Look, people are free to start a board and go wherever they please.  That wasn't the issue.  It was that he was a trusted staff member here and was actively poaching members and never resigned and was active in the mod forum.  That was years ago and it's funny now and I'm sure he's a good guy...but back then we were all competitive and engaged in the stupid board wars of the early 2000 teens.  It was a fierce pitched battle.  Many died.  A true widow maker. We've all signed a treaty of Versailles, so I'm sure that will never happen again.  A war to end all wars.

But all of us admins are over the entire thing and I wouldn't even care if he posted here.  We just thought it was a shitty thing to do at the time.

That bitch.  I knew he was too pretty to be legit.  I swear I've never known a board to have more drama than the weather forums.  

4 hours ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I am also worried that this has the chance of being a one sided "mafia" bet. If I lose, I pay you, if I win. I don't get paid.

Heads I win, tails you lose.  

2 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

John's been around since the Eastern days.  Can confirm he is a true weenie.

I don't know what that is but I'll take your word for it. 

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

 

John is far too handsome to be a real weather weenie.  

Just now, CAPE said:

Jealous of the Winchester crew maybe lol. Not here. The snow fell heavily while it lasted, but it was like 32 and went straight to heavy rain. Pretty gross.

To be fair, I didn't even know there was such a thing as a Southern Maryland or Eastern shore back then.