IronTy

32 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Disagree personally. If you aren't sad when we don't get snow. Why are you here?  There is nothing wrong with venting. We have threads for it. It gets removed in the model thread.

 

So at this point, complaining about the complainers is some type of moral high road superiority thing. Clearly.

I picture snow polyannas shouting down the cassandras in a desperate veiled attempt to deny their own insecurities while popping Xanax and Wellbutrin by the handful.  

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Usually if there is some -3 NAO with a perfect pacific pattern they show a bunch of snow over us.  Now...usually theyre wrong and that pattern just never happens or isnt as perfect when time comes...and we fail.  But its unusual to see that kind of pattern and the snow to be that far north.  I think it's worth noting it at least.  I think its wrong, but in the event it isn't its worth going in eyes open about it.  

Maybe the models are better now and they're not wrong anymore.

42 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said:

https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1750268015575232715?s=61&t=jtYSAZghIHxEA6K1a8OFsw
 

Sistine Chapel- there it is 

I've been following the weather for a number of years now, how is it I've never heard of the "infamous" Sistine Chapel pattern?  Could it possibly be as SEVERE as the past ten days?  Smh.  

2 hours ago, dailylurker said:

Same. Not sure what this is about lol

Same family but a completely different moth.  Much larger too.  

Point being they are not normally breeding this far north but clearly they have for the past three years as we've continued to warm....ergo, it's over.  

Proof it's over. For the past three years in a row I've found caterpillars of Manduca Rustica in the chaste bush over my driveway. Rustica is a southern species (Gulf Coast) that is known to stray north sometimes in late summer. But they have clearly established a breeding population in Calvert County if I'm finding the caterpillars this regularly. Prior to the past three years I never saw a single individual for the 20yes I've been here.

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I'm up in Bloomingdale this weekend looking to score a row home city house and we were just out walking the dog and it was gorgeous - big fat flakes and no wind at all.  Like something out of the movies.  Until my dog peed all over his leg by accident.  

2 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Just as likely as the blizzard of 2/30

One for the record books.  It was a white knuckle blizzard, to be sure.  

1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

SoMD is the new Richmond, it takes a million things to go right to snow here now, and even then, you can just expect your pity inch. January 2022 was probably the last big event we see in our lifetime. If you subtract that month out it's basically been a near-shutout in every event here since 2019. We're supposed to average 19" of snow but I haven't reached that since 2016.

Yeah it's always been dicey with snow down here but up until around 2020 we generally muddled our way to average at least.  The last five years have been a waste, I'd just assume have warm winters at this point.  

Well this winter has sucked ass for SoMD so far. Greatest pattern since the stone age and I have maybe three slushy inches to show for it.  Bring on spring and moth season.  My mandevilla vine is growing gangbusters in my south facing window so there's that at least.  

16 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said:

OT; I work with a guy that grew up just N of Buffalo.  He told me once he drove to the southtowns and went from dry ground to over a foot and heavy snow in just a few miles.  Did his errand and went back home to partly sunny and dry ground.  That's bats!

Lake effect is the best.  If you set up under one of the bands it's just nonstop dumpage, you don't have to worry about any other setup type bullshit that we have to stress about down here.  As long as you're downwind...it's all good.  I prefer the keewenaw peninsula because it just sticks out into lake Superior and gets blasted.  If my wife ever divorces me I think that's where I'll retreat to.  

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

We’re back baby! 

Never had any doubt.  

1 minute ago, yoda said:

WTF

He's ass hair tiny, cut him some slack.  

40 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Looks like a Chesapeake Bay jack. I'll take it.  

55 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

I would say know but i know as soon as i see a model show me  something good im reeled back in lol

Yeah me too.  One of these days I won't fall for their trickery but it won't be any time soon.  

FFS, the models openly mock us.  Is anybody actually falling for this shit?  

9 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

JB still thinks last weekend's storm is still coming!  Ratings Raitings ratings. 

I predicted that the euro was a lock a few days ago based on my inverse JB forecast method.  Works every time. 

1 minute ago, Chris78 said:

I feel like kicking bunnies when I look at that pic. 

Low off south Carolina but snow west of us.

Low needs to be centered over the Mid-Atlantic Ridge for us to get snow in the New Base State.

7 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

Pretty sure Garrett Co is still gonna get snow for awhile . We currently have 6-8" of super dense ice-snow on the ground. Snowblower can't even touch it its so dense. Had to use a bobcat to plow my drive. Snowplow pile was 24" and hard as a rock. Local plow guy's blade couldn't make a dent in it. 

DMV? We might fluke into something but at this point I'm not holding my breath. Gotta road trip it for the white stuff. 

I wouldn't even count on snow at DCL in a few years' time.  My game cam has been sending me pics from up there with about half a foot of snow on the ground though.  From down here it might as well be sending pics from the moon.

15 minutes ago, raindancewx said:

My personal view is you guys will still end up near average for snow.

But most of it will come in a 2-4 week period starting in late February that runs through mid-March. You're not particularly close to the favorable part of the pattern yet. I'm expecting March (at times, not the whole month) to resemble something like this, but with the main features shifted Northeast. I suspect you'd get some off mean-track system that would dump 6 inches of snow in that setup.

Late February through mid-March!?  Bruh my tomato plants will be in the ground by March, I think you're just rubbing it in at this point.

I can't believe the last snow I'll have ever seen at my house was that candy-ass slop event in 2022.  From now on the only frozen precip will be from me emptying bags of ice from the party store off my roof.  Extirpated.  

You're in the wrong place... following your analogy this board is pretty much a liquor store with a bar in the back...

3 minutes ago, caviman2201 said:

You know you won't... addicts always come back. See you there.

Do they make a met version of The Big Book?   

What a crap hobby.  The models are like some sick version of Schoedinger's cat.  Just by fact of modeling a storm it causes the actual wave function to collapse so the storm disappears.  We'd be in the same shape this winter to date if they'd have just shown the SER on every run since November.

I'll fall on the sword - you all cancel your WB subscriptions and instead pay me monthly.  I'll produce snow maps that show monster storms and post them up four times a day.  I'll guarantee you ahead of time that I'll pull the rug at some point before my predicted storm but at least I'll shows HECS and BECS on all the maps right up to the event so we can live in denial for longer.  Frankly that would be just as accurate forecasting snow as the real models have done for the past few years.

Muck truck Snow blade inverse index wins again.  

3 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

 

 

Well, I took down half the outdoor Christmas lights this morning, been leaving them up because wife (CA girl) wanted to see the lights in snow. We DID get almost an inch the other day, and it was pretty. I'm SURE we'll get 10 inches now that they are down lol. 

Yeah well I also washed the NSX this morning....just to ensure it's all gonna be rain.  And I was too lazy to take the summer tires off it, just to ensure dry cold after the storm.