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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    It’s not the same track.
  2. MN Transplant
    12z HRRR looks far more realistic with the surface wind gusts than the NAM. Peak wind gusts via Windy. Reds are 40s, purples are 50s.
  3. MN Transplant
    A causal reminder that, inland, we don't typically get big winds with SE flow. It generally stays elevated. That said, the NWS P&C for DC Tuesday evening has 30G45mph which is solid.
  4. MN Transplant
    35.1. The steady rain has started. Was in downtown DC earlier and never saw a flake. Sleet to rain.
  5. MN Transplant
    33.3 here. Most of downtown DC is in the 36 range.
  6. MN Transplant
    23.2, which was colder than any December day, but not as cold as Nov. 29th.
  7. MN Transplant
    If only we had that track in Jan/Feb…
  8. MN Transplant
    For this storm, that is a NAMming around DC. I like how the model R/S line stalls a bit at 18-19z before completely blowing past us.
  9. MN Transplant
    The NAM has been bone dry so far. Significant outlier.
  10. MN Transplant
    The NAM is really dry and weak. The Euro is 8mb deeper and wetter.
  11. MN Transplant
    925 temps at DCA at 00z: +5 or +6
  12. MN Transplant
    This is a bad run for 95
  13. MN Transplant
    Does that account for a close mow? It is wild that this turned into a Saturday only event.
  14. MN Transplant
    2” of rain just east of DC. I’m ignoring this one.
  15. MN Transplant
    988 Cape May. We toss.
  16. MN Transplant
    Snow maps are going to struggle on the boundary. Soundings and QPF are the way to go. I’m modestly happy with this run sitting on the western DC Beltway.
  17. MN Transplant
    The column is holding on for dear life from 18 to 21z in the DC area. It eventually falls, but there’s almost 0.6” precip by 21z. Ratios would suck, but it would be a few inches of snow first in this scenario.
  18. MN Transplant
    GFS isn’t terrible all things considered. It is so dry coming in that we get solid evaporational cooling. Precip totals are back up closer to an inch.
  19. MN Transplant
    Forgetting the thermals for a second, the improvement in QPF from 12 to 18z is notable. We are back over 1” region wide.
  20. MN Transplant
    Not worth fretting about. Column is fine and heavy snow accumulates. Our risk is track.
  21. MN Transplant
    CoD has me at 15" 10:1, 10" Kucera, and 2" snow depth. LOL
  22. MN Transplant
    Rimed flakes and 39.0
  23. MN Transplant
    Oh yeah, poor Baltimore and their SB drought.
  24. MN Transplant
    The squirrels are freaking everywhere. My 6 and 18 month old pups are a handful on walks. Some of the idiot squirrels run right in front of them.
  25. MN Transplant
    6" for December puts me only a few inches below normal on the year. As of December 10th I was still running last place over the past 10 years, but the three storms bumped me over 2016 and 2017.
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