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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by MN Transplant

  1. For BWI, in addition to tying the record low today, its seems like breaking the record lowest max today and record low tomorrow are given.

     

    Also... top 10 coldest February watch for BWI?

     

    We are going to put down some nasty departures as the norms go up in late Feb.  Will be interesting to track.

    1. February 18-19, 1979 - "PDI"  - 17.4"

       

    2. February 11, 1983 - 23.1"

       

    3. March 13-14, 1993 - 10.7"

       

    4. February 10-11, 1994 ice storm - 1.4" precip

       

    5. January 7-9, 1996 - "Blizzard of '96" - 23.0"

       

    6. January 25, 2000 - 9.0"

       

    7. February 15-17, 2003 - "PDII" - 17.5"

       

    8. December 18-19, 2009 - 20.0" (me 19.0")

       

    9. February 5-6, 2010 - 22.0" (me 24.7")

       

    10. February 9-10, 2010 - 14.0" (me 9.5")

     

    This list is for the Vienna, VA coop station.  '83, '96, '09 and '10 in a tight range.  The last three I added my measurements.

    1. February 18-19, 1979 - "PDI"  - DCA 18.7" (#3), BWI 20.0" (#8), IAD 16.3" (#6)

       

    2. February 11, 1983 - DCA 16.6" (#6), BWI 22.8" (#5), IAD, 22.8" (#3)

       

    3. March 13-14, 1993 - "Superstorm of '93" - not top-10 at DCA/BWI, 14.1" at IAD (#8)

       

    4. February 10-11, 1994 ice storm 

       

    5. January 7-9, 1996 - "Blizzard of '96" - DCA 17.3" (#5), BWI 26.6" (#2), IAD 24.6" (#2)

       

    6. January 25, 2000 - not top-10 at airports

       

    7. February 15-17, 2003 - "PDII" - DCA 16.4" (#7T), BWI 26.8" (#1), IAD 21.7" (#4)

       

    8. December 18-19, 2009 - "Snowpocalypse" - DCA 16.4" (#7T), BWI 18.0" (#10), IAD 18.0" (#5)

       

    9. February 5-6, 2010 - "Snowmageddon, part 1"  - DCA 17.8" (#4), BWI 25.0" (#4), IAD 32.4" (#1)

       

    10. February 9-10, 2010 - "Snowmageddon, part 2" - not top-10 at DCA/IAD, BWI 19.5" (#9)

     

    3-day snowfall totals from http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/storm-pr.htm

  2. Thanks. Wow, those look like huge departures from normal. I would imagine anything over .5 to 1 degree either way is significant. One hell of a year. 

     

    Yeah, we've had this awesome persistent negative anomaly over most of the continuous 48. (Dec-Feb followed by Mar-May)

     

     

     

    post-1746-0-62701900-1406912536_thumb.gi

     

    post-1746-0-56538900-1406912544_thumb.gi

  3. The National Weather Service has upped DCA's snow accumulation for the March 16-17 storm from 6.7 to 7.7 inches, so now the IAD/DCA snowfall separation for 2013-14 is only 18.2 inches.  So, for the moment at least, the 1992-93 snow season remains the kingpin for IAD/DCA snowfall separation, at 18.6 inches. 

     

    The double edited it, so DCA's total was 7.2"

  4. Thanks for your comment, but I think the question remains whether something has fundamentally changed in recent years. Consider that, during the first 112 years of DC temperature records, January 13th had a lower average daily temperature than January 21st 70 times (62.5%), with three ties (2.7%).  However, during the most recent 31 years, January 13th had a lower average temperature than January 21st only five times (16.1%), with no ties.  Think of this situation in a sports context:  Suppose a baseball or hockey team had a winning percentage of .638 over its first 112 games (counting each of the three ties as half a win), and then plummeted to a winning percentage of only .161 over its most recent 31 games.  Would you say that it's more likely that those sharply varying winning percentages can be explained by: (1) random fluctuations, or (2) a fundamental change in the team's performance?

     

    Rodney, have you split it out before and after the move to the river location?

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  5. nice article...I'd like to see CWG cover some aspects of the heat of the last 4 years without referencing AGW (not referring to the above article)....I don't know the answer, but it would be interesting to discuss the pattern driven and indice driven aspects of the big heat....MSP's top 8 max mins are all dust bowl.....9 of Denver's top 10 are dust bowl or 1880's....all of DC's are fairly recent...and of course the frequency too.....So if it isn't JUST UHI, why aren't places like MSP and DEN shattering their max min records?

    MSP's records at the time were right downtown. It could be argued that the UHI was more acute in the 1930s than at the airport location now. Of course, since the dust bowl was partly anthropogenic, you wade into other territory...

  6. Assuming that we've seen the last of snow for this season, DC beat the old record snow minimum for two consecutive seasons by 3.1 inches, and IAD (at 8.6 inches this season and 3.7 inches last season) beat the old record (set four years ago) by 2.2 inches. There is nonetheless a big difference between DCA's and IAD's 2012-13 snow seasons: DCA's displaces last season's as the third lowest of 129 DC snow seasons, whereas IAD's is only the ninth lowest of 51 snow seasons there.

     

    :underthewx:

  7. I can't remember exactly, but I think I had 28" in the first storm, and right about 10" in the second, so I'm sure I had over 30" in certain places, but the wind from the second storm really scoured out a lot of spots and ended up piling that snow in drifts and the like.

     

    I had 24.7" in the first and 9" in the second, but with compaction and drifting it never really seemed like there was more snow around on Feb 10 than there was on Feb 6.

  8. You just made the big-time, with the DC snow drought featured on the Weather Channel.  Of course, they managed to transpose a digit, claiming it's now 780 days, rather than 708.  And they didn't credit your research, the way Ian did in his Capital Weather Gang story.  But, if Al Roker picks up the story tomorrow morning, can fame and fortune be far behind?

     

    That's funny.  Honestly, I was just venting about not seeing snow and somebody in the thread asked about the snowless drought.  I did the initial stat gathering, but Ian deserves most of the credit for the nice writeup and figures.

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