MN Transplant

Two weeks later and the music of my neighborhood is still the gentle hum of chainsaws.

I lived in the central valley in California for several years when I was a kid. We had one moderate (6-ish) earthquake when I was 5 or 6 years old. The water sloshing out of our pool is one of my earliest vivid memories. I probably conveyed it earlier in this thread, but my memory of the 2011 quake is that I was on the 6th floor of an office building and the ceiling tiles started rattling with the initial waves. Then the S wave hit and the floor moved up and down, which was the very clear indicator of an earthquake and I got out real quick.

Summer 2010 had the record number of 90 degree days, 2011 had the insane humidity/heat, and 2012 had a bunch of 100+ days. It really was an amazing period.

@EastCoast NPZknew where he was moving.

Can’t do 3 months on CoCoRaHS, but the last 10 days paint the picture.

Over 3” now. Everything is just soaked.

>9” in the past 10 days. It can pause now.

Nope, that’s me. 2” and pouring.

12z 3km with a stripe of heavy rain through the metros, too. edit - and after looking at the 12z HRRR I bet we get another Flash Flood Watch.

The Euro, and to a lesser extent the other models, is really wet tonight and tomorrow in central VA and the delmarva.

Probably doesn’t need to be said, but a tropical system that stays strong until New England has to be booking it (1938) or strongly interact with a trough (Sandy). Both the Euro and GFS slow the system upon approach.

Seems to be that the parameters look good from central PA down to northern VA, but the models are consistently putting the mini supercells (as indicated by UH) mostly in PA. So it’ll be interesting to see whether the explicit simulations win out or not.

Everything has pointed to PA being the best location, but it’ll be interesting to see if we can get anything going down here.

The good part about last night was that areas around IAD finally got into the action. One notable thing about today, after a stagnant summer, is that the clouds are really moving. Gives the sky a different look.

Same. Another 0.8” last night.

Big time week in SE MoCo and E. FFX/Arl/Alex.

Jungle patch being mostly weeds.

5.83” over the past week. Couldn’t have spread that out over the summer, huh?

0.07" from that band that prompted the FFW. I'm ok with that.

That was an aggressive FFW issuance.

Euro’s got 5” for you over the next several days.

I made a homemade bird spike kit with a cut up wire clothes hanger and a zip tie.

0.20” of very tropical-feeling showers earlier. Dry for a month, and then the spigot turns on.

CoCoRahs requires a particular rain gauge, you aren't supposed to use any of the tipping bucket or other automated gauges. https://www.cocorahs.org/Content.aspx?page=store