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MN Transplant

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Posts posted by MN Transplant

  3. Posted

    4 minutes ago, WeatherLovingDoc said:

    Last night at 11:08 pm Alexandria Va residents received a Severe Weather Warning via NWS. It woke me up and I alerted my kid. Nothing happened. Today (8/20/19 at 5:34 pm) we received another NWS Severe Thunderstorm Warning. "Seek indoor shelter immediately". So far nothing.

    Is the NWS crying wolf to soon? Or too much? Serious question. 

    The problem with this kind of storm setup is that there is a lot of heat/moisture to fuel the storms, but the triggers are very subtle.  Unlike a squall line or supercell where movement can be counted on, these cell just kind of ooze around and then die out.  So, putting up a warning box is especially tough.  The storm last night looked really healthy, and 30 min late it was remnant clouds.  Nature of the beast.  Not to mention, the areas that get hit by severe conditions are almost always very small.

    • Like 3

  9. Posted

    21 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

    it's been showing 37C (98.6F) on mesowest for a few obs now, we probably hit 99.

    Back to 97 for the 3:52pm ob.  Chance for 100 is shot, but we were either 98 or 99, which is a big number as we get into late August.

    • Thanks 1

  16. Posted

    3 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

    I argue the Ravens-Vikings game that day was just as crazy (but more so in the last 4 minutes, lol) Never seen one end quite like that one!!

    Yeah, the Philly game has more snow, but Vikes-Ravens had the insanity.  Just sad that Baltimore had the ball last.

  17. Posted

    5 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

    19z HRRR is good for entertainment value.  Probably still too much near Burke.

    us_model-en-087-0_modusarpd_2019081619_8_4529_216.thumb.png.a830c768da2062393a7802c2ef771f90.png

    I know we have another half hour to go, but I’m starting to get a bit skeptical about this model projection from earlier today.  

  23. Posted

    4 hours ago, mattie g said:

    Per cocorahs, looks like I ended up with about 0.70", which I suppose makes sense. Started out light to moderate, then rained pretty hard for about 20 minutes, then back to stratiform-type stuff for another hour or so.

    Haven't seen a light show like that in a long time. Super impressive. It was also downright tropical during the whole thing: rain, lightning, not a breath of wind, and really warm and muggy.

    0.93" total.  Just needs to do that every week.

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