MN Transplant

Last two runs of the HRRR seem to finally catch on that this initial line will be the main event for the metros while the later line will tap the unmodified areas to the south.

This is turning out to be a bit like the 2010/2011 combo.  2010 was dry and hot, with a ton of 90s, and 2011 was humid as heck (“sweat ceiling”).  I guess what I’m saying is Derecho-2 in 2026!

Just looking at the GFS, the PW values are 1-2 standard deviation above normal the entire run.  It is just going to be gross the rest of the month.

And yes, the Flash Flood watches are warranted.  Just yesterday there was 3” in a short period in NE DC despite the overall radar being somewhat benign.

Got almost an inch earlier.  Not as electrical as yesterday’s storms.

4 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

It's teasing me I can feel the rain in the wind

1.5 miles from radar estimates of well over an inch.  I’m at 0.05”.

Just ooze a bit this way…

37 minutes ago, George BM said:

Currently 88/77 at IAD.

Sauna.

Was just there at the Air and Space Museum.  Walking out of the climate controlled building was a slap in the face.

0.06”.  Complete dud.  Hope tomorrow delivers.

These lines that gust out and skip forward are just the worst.

Great temps this morning, but there is still visible smoke in the air from the festivities last night.  Air quality is bad.

Tomorrow looks like a fantastic summer day with low humidity and reasonable temps.

Not home, but checked in on the pet cam and it was just one crack of thunder after another.  This is as electrical as I’ve seen in years.

That cell NE of Baltimore is just crushing a small area.

Dew point at DCA has been up to at least 78.  MD mesonet ranges from 74-78.  Disgusting.

Oh yeah, we are deep into splotchy season now

Definitely have convective initiation happening.

98.1, topping yesterday.  I think the immediate surface layer drying out helped with my temps today.

27 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

87.4 at 8:30am.

90 at 9am.  Awful 

87.4 at 8:30am.

Highs:

DCA 99

BWI 98

IAD 97 (Ties record)

I’m going to top out at 97.9.

Put this ridge over us in mid-late July and we’d be in 2011 territory.

5 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

probably 99F (with 4 straight 5-min obs of 98.6F / 37C).  We'll see!

Need the wind to kick off of Crystal City

DCA probably 98.  Reminder that 99 on the 5-min obs could be 98 or 99.  100 is 100.

I’m up to 97.5

The MD mesonet shows a good correlation between temps and sail moisture.  The Salisbury area is dry and temps continue to run a couple of degrees warmer there.  That’s why I’m still skeptical of hitting 100 this week.

93.0.  Staying inside all day.