This is why I was upset because they didn’t even give the other side of the argument even after several models were suggesting that a big ice event was not in the cards. They didn’t need to hug the Euro quite that hard. There was more wiggle room in their forecast. This was a complex set up to lock into freezing rain exclusively. .
I still think we are still on the outside looking in at this point. We have a shot and this one will have way more snow. The H5 was awful for this past storm but looks far more favorable later this week. .
H5 look sucked from the get go. No bueno for snow around these parts. It’s better this week but trough string up a little too far east. Need some enhancement there and/or pull for a clipper to give us a little something. .
We may pull something off possibly! If we can get mainly sleet with say 0.3”QPF, that could equal almost an inch. I would take 0.5” and be satisfied. Winter storms need an inch on the ground that’s white imho. .
It’s not over yet but the trend continues to be less of a prolonged ZR situation. Looks also like there won’t be much snow/sleet accumulation in the Triangle region. .
WRAL all in with ice storm at roughly 0.6” accrued . There wasn’t any mention of sleet that I heard. Am I missing something here? They are going strictly in-house and European from what I can tell. One would think that they could at least mention that sleet could partially save the day for much of central NC as depicted by NAM and GFS. Maybe they are right but it seems a bit early to be certain. .
That map depicts a sleet fest and a relative lull in precipitation in central NC. It’s higher north due to more precipitation falling during that lull after warm nose. East is higher due to more ZR than sleet. It’s plausible but anything is at this point except significant snow in the Triangle (this time). .