Modfan2
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Everything posted by Modfan2
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5am track
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I mean why wouldn’t it, I close down here in 2 weeks and the few days later in CT….FML!
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Seems the quicker the right turn the weaker it is…
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If it does I assume a further west track?
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Is this due to the 2 centers of circulation, picking the further Sw as the main center?
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Is the thinking still Sw to Ne on track where ever it makes landfall?
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Wasn’t the Ukie the one that nailed the Irma track?
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I would think we would need to see some model consistency over the next few runs to see the if this is a trend.
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Thinking your second scenario is more likely.
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Nice line in E Ct -
I’m good with that, I close down here on the 7th and that the last thing I need!
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There were quite a few members taking this into the Yucatán
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This appears to be a reasonable track this early; a lot can and will change.
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Not going to happen, you may see 940-945
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I spent 2 1/2 weeks in the FL Pan Handle for Michael and was enough for me to see.
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Looks like many members into the Yucatán
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Wondering how far west this comes; initially heading into NF now Nova Scotia, is Downeast Maine in play?
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Keeps ticking west, Downeast Maine still in the game
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I mean, a storm of that magnitude I wouldn’t want in New England; have said it before with the tree growth over the last 30 years two week power outages will the minimum.
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Let’s see if it holds together in the next 48 hours
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Lock it Lol! That’s a James storm if I ever saw one!
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Always looking towards trends with weather I wonder how the FL east coast cities from Vero to West Palm being very dry (13-15”) for the year correlates to any analogs years for Hurricane season. This has been as dry a rainy season we have had in the last 10 years along the I 95 corridor and we are 3/4 of the way through.
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ECMWF suite appears to support recurve north; something to watch for here?
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ECMWF suite appears to support recurve north; something to watch for the East Coast? Maybe discounting strength of ridge and allowing for a turn north.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Modfan2 replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
ECMWF suite appears to support recurve north; something to watch for the East Coast? Maybe discounting strength of ridge and allowing for a turn north.
