Modfan2

25 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Enough blocking and cold to our north. It’s a good gradient look. Here’s the EPS for Thu morning. Looks like a torch for us right? Obviously it’ll be snowing under some of those pretty oranges. The devil is in the details.

Like Ronnie James says It’s like Heaven and Hell

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

First Call for Thursday.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/02/messy-thursday-on-tap-first-call.html

Rain here, shocker! See if it trends cooler by Thursday to get me some sleet. 

Currently 23F here.

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I was surprised to see about half of the 50 members have warning snows to the pike now on that 18z run for 2/23. Been a steady cooling trend all day. I think we’ll need it to continue though because you know the inevitable north tick is coming with this at some point in the next couple of days. 

How does it look for us in the tropics south of the pike? Lol

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NNE had a nice series of storms during that stretch. Northern part of SNE cashed in a bit too. Down in the pike region we only got the 1/23 happy ending for anything shovelable (had 5.3” here)…but once you got into CT/RI there wasn’t much. Maybe a couple inches for some areas in that one and not much else. 

Yeah, only kidding and complaining about the rain we got.

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

That's quite possible 30" in 4 weeks, I don't think we will match that last streak in Jan though.

What streak, 6” of rain lol?! 

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

"Easiest" winter ever...every winter forecast that called for some combination of normal/below normal temps and normal to above normal snowfall is in line to be amongst the worse seasonal forecast ever.

The baffling part for someone who works around tech everyday is how is the modeling so off or are we putting too much stock outside of 5 days? The cold snap two weeks ago was probably the best modeled event of the season. 
 

Does anyone track model consistency for each event to see which is closest? 

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Given this winters track record this will not materialize 

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

lol probably hit 90 in a couple spots temp and speed everyone goes fast down here.. actually feels kind of chilly now perfect day to go to the Florida state fair

Really starts to get hot in May; once the Dew point stays above 70 until October

21F and  crisp here to start

10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I love em as well . 

it’s like when people root for hurricanes , we can’t steer em

The only people who root for Hurricanes are ones that haven’t been through them!

35 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Imagine the melts. 

I’d take that!! 

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For Dendy 

When’s the forum GTG Brewery crawl?

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Christmas tree farm?

I think so

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We burn 2 brush fires in Modfans hometown. 5 acres and 2 acres in Killingly Brooklyn area. I work across the street from the Danielson FD. They have been going all day.

I was there, about 2.5 acres, someone burning brush and got away from them

64F and filtered sun here in Brooklyn CT

60F and breezy here in Brooklyn.

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

What a nuke on the 6z GFS. And 00z too for that matter.

What time frame, next Thursday?

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Mean keeps going up daily temps keep going down. It's happening James. Good for you to remain skeptical but hard to ignore 

Been doing that all winter LR; based on models I’d be basking in Epicosty but we are not and I am fine with that. Would be nice to see a good storm or two before the seasons out but won’t be surprised if it doesn’t materialize.

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s the one in that picture. I have one on the truck and one on my company car 

Surprised we haven’t done a GTG there

We dry!

22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s extremely dry. There’s been no mud at all other than a day or two after that last rainer 

Plenty of mud here, part frost and part of 6” of rain from January 

6 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Congrats. Drink it in, and enjoy the torch. 

I just want the ground to dry out!

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

18” on Memorial Day right to the coast. I actually do wonder what an equivalent springtime analog of Oct ‘11 would look like. 

May 77?

Dry spring after very wet fall/winter?

24F to start here in the Last Green Valley; Mud season is underway.