bishbish777
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Everything posted by bishbish777
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Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol..
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Really nice snow growth in Newton, MA. Kind of surprised to see the heavier stuff get this far north.
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Some of the other convection allowing models look pretty good on their 00Z runs. WRF-ARW in particular looks a lot like 3km NAM.
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Temp creeping up in Newton, up to 34. Hope this isn't the end for us
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Feels like marginal temps are going to cut back totals in E MA. Coming down good in BOS but not sticking.
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3km NAM cuts QPF back even more than the 12km NAM. The thump rips through too quick.
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Overall GFS and v16 are significantly farther W/NW than previous runs
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The thump on the v16...
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GFS is a disaster for E MA...
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Is there historical precedent for surface temps running cooler than modeled in these situations? The difference between 3-6" and 8-14" in E MA/SE MA is very close... just a few degrees..
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925 temps never get above -1/-2 on Euro. Should be enough dynamic cooling with those precip rates to cool the entire column? The QPF in E MA is very impressive on some of these 12Z runs. 1.6" on Euro, 3.1" GEM, 1.8" UKMET for BOS
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Latest HRRR keeps it going till noon, but we'll see.
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Based on satellite and radar returns, looks like at least 2-3 hours more snow for E MA. Definitely pleasantly surprised given the model runs yesterday.
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22Z HRRR vastly different than previous runs. Bombs out the low to <970mb and shifts everything east. Edit: 22Z RAP does the same. Round 2 looking weak/unlikely at this point.
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Heaviest banding still sets up to the east on 12Z HRRR, but precip still spreads farther west into MA, RI, NH. Coastal Maine gets slammed.
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12Z HRRR looks great. Almost stationary band of snow starting at 22Z. Definitely some potential for some widespread snowfall this evening.
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00Z NAM significantly farther west than 18Z Euro.
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Similar trend to the GFS on 18Z vs 12Z. 18Z GFS bottomed out to ~970 mb off the Cape, 12Z GFS was around 984mb. Would be one hell of a storm for the Cape.
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Thank you
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Question for everybody: My wife has to drive from Newton to Sturbridge area for work. How good are they about salting/plowing the highways? I am wondering if she should just call the day off tomorrow/Tuesday. Thanks.
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Hey all, I'm new here! I grew up in the Pacific Northwest, so I know a decent bit about the weather out there. I'm pretty clueless about the weather around here, though. Lookin' forward to tracking this storm with y'all!
