bishbish777
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Everything posted by bishbish777
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Hello all! Long time lurker...not sure if anyone looks at this model at all, but the HRW WRF-NSSL has a different look than the other models. Much more friendly to SNE through 48hrs. Clown map as y'all call it lol..
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Really nice snow growth in Newton, MA. Kind of surprised to see the heavier stuff get this far north.
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Some of the other convection allowing models look pretty good on their 00Z runs. WRF-ARW in particular looks a lot like 3km NAM.
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Temp creeping up in Newton, up to 34. Hope this isn't the end for us
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Feels like marginal temps are going to cut back totals in E MA. Coming down good in BOS but not sticking.
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3km NAM cuts QPF back even more than the 12km NAM. The thump rips through too quick.
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Overall GFS and v16 are significantly farther W/NW than previous runs
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The thump on the v16...
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GFS is a disaster for E MA...
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Is there historical precedent for surface temps running cooler than modeled in these situations? The difference between 3-6" and 8-14" in E MA/SE MA is very close... just a few degrees..
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925 temps never get above -1/-2 on Euro. Should be enough dynamic cooling with those precip rates to cool the entire column? The QPF in E MA is very impressive on some of these 12Z runs. 1.6" on Euro, 3.1" GEM, 1.8" UKMET for BOS
