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Prismshine Productions

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Everything posted by Prismshine Productions

  1. Took a peek under the hood 6z ECMWF had a significantly taller ridge than 0z run, 6z GEFS also phased further west Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  2. GEFS slightly improved on the snow mean over 0z... Let the games begin Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  3. 6z even later phase for the 23rd Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  4. Well that is certainly a different solution... EPS called for a Christmas Day storm Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  5. Based on the trends today, dead on the money Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  6. EPS continues the trend of flattening the ridge Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  7. And before everyone goes all doomer... All we did was went back to the mean average from 0z last night no big deal Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  8. Not surprised, went to a lot of ice Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  9. CMC ensembles actually improved over 12z Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  10. Not surprised to be honest, we in that 5-7 day range of losing support Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  11. GEFS what you doing[emoji102][emoji102][emoji102][emoji102] Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  12. That may be so but I am just doing a basic observation off the lead-in 2m and 850mb temps, both went up for hr162 Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  13. Looks like the GEFS is going to take a step back too Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  14. Yeah, it cut sooner due to the flatter ridge Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  15. 102 ridge is slightly higher Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  16. Out to 84, ridge is slightly less than at 12z hr90 Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  17. National Blend of Models, it is essentially the average Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  18. Canadian ensembles are on it too, keep that in mind Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  19. I had it on the wrong model run (was looking at the 6z 500mb) Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  20. 500mb vort confirms the trough over Sibera keeps trending stronger, shunting the ridge further east and being the fly in the ointment Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  21. EPS looks like it isn't going to cut it either... Oof Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  22. No it isn't CMC Ensembles increased the snow totals over the Carolinas vs its 0z run GEFS increased vs 6z EURO was close, but we know the EURO OP has been on an island compared to its ensembles so the GFS is far from being alone here. You cannot take the OP runs at face value at this range Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
  23. EURO had a flatter ridge than the GFS, that was the culprit for the missed phase... Now we wait for the EPS Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk
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