Prismshine Productions

I got a feeling reservations in here are going to fill up faster than the Hotel California... Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

GFS out performed the EURO last year by some metrics iirc... But it is 2 v 4 in this cage match Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

GFS/JMA vs ICON/UKIE/CMC/EURO... Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

GFS/JMA vs ICON/EURO/UKIE/CMC... oof Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

It is sugar honey iced tea compared to 0z Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

You call this an improvement?... Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Literally everybody from Tallahassee to Savannah and points north Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

6z GEFS and EPS both hinted at a more westward phase Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

I don't buy the LP being that far inland, we are fine Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Energy is a tick west at hr78 Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Just want to point this out: The 6z ENS suits (GEFS and EPS both) had the ridge taller and the energy digging further west. The 12z run from yesterday is still very much on the table, because we all know that models have a tendency to overcorrect (which is what I suspected happened from 18z last night through 6z GFS OP this morning. Got a hunch we see the ridge trend back more amped with taller heights like ALL of us need until we find the median for the Short range wheelhouse. Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Took a peek under the hood 6z ECMWF had a significantly taller ridge than 0z run, 6z GEFS also phased further west Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

GEFS slightly improved on the snow mean over 0z... Let the games begin Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

6z even later phase for the 23rd Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Well that is certainly a different solution... EPS called for a Christmas Day storm Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Based on the trends today, dead on the money Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

EPS continues the trend of flattening the ridge Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

And before everyone goes all doomer... All we did was went back to the mean average from 0z last night no big deal Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Not surprised, went to a lot of ice Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

CMC ensembles actually improved over 12z Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Not surprised to be honest, we in that 5-7 day range of losing support Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

GEFS what you doing[emoji102][emoji102][emoji102][emoji102] Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

That may be so but I am just doing a basic observation off the lead-in 2m and 850mb temps, both went up for hr162 Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Looks like the GEFS is going to take a step back too Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk

Yeah, it cut sooner due to the flatter ridge Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk