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UniversesBelowNormal

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Everything posted by UniversesBelowNormal

  1. I wonder if the Nino 1+2 stuff is just reflecting of the current warm pattern... and if ENSO will make a reemergence. It looked like we were going El Nino, may still go weak El Nino.
  2. Super warm March.. can already feel it in late February, one of the warmest I remember. There's no "space" for variation. (No room for error down, can't really get to warm too cause then Summer would be a dud (for me))
  3. I'm not sure we are anywhere near that regime. It seems even more +NAO now. We would have to go backwards, I think
  4. I wonder if I didn't predict it what it would be... maybe another +NAO Winter? (unbelievable like 34 straight months).
  5. You got to worry about these over-extended -PNA Winter's... (I said once that 90% of the world population doesn't see snow)
  6. looks like an El Nino is developing for 2020 as per the subsurface..
  7. Climate still not behaving like anything ordinary.. You wouldn't get this extreme wintertime -PNA in this ENSO, unless anomaly (5-10%)
  8. Health food stores are still where it's at
  9. Wow, what a bad Pacific. Those dark blues over Alaska are new to me
  10. Looks like it's going to be skewed warmer.. the decadal trend
  11. We are pretty much at a point past the 1998-2016 weather cycle. Big changes, if you experience it.
  12. -NAO general likely, maybe some 10-day +NAO periods though (volatile NAO skewed negative) no ENSO... Pacific Jet is north.
  13. Weird -PNA showing up in the medium/long range.. we can't break that Hadley Cell. Love this -NAO signal (384)
  14. Hopefully this +NAO December will lead to a -NAO Winter.. I think it will
  15. Remember last Summer-October it looked like it was going to keep pouring snow/cold chances through the Winter.. It moderated in October-November to 60s/cloudy. You have to wonder..
  16. Check out this Alaskan radar https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=aih&product=N0R&loop=yes
  17. The +PNA without +ENSO subsurface is suspect (days 4-8) Major +NAO in December could be ramping up for major -NAO January, and Stratosphere warming in the wave
  18. The Pacific pattern is moving.. MJO.. surprising from what I have seen. Switch to heavy +NAO in the medium dampens cold/-NAO chances as a sustainable Winter pattern (N Atlantic SST index). Pacific looks terrible.. Pac jet flowing up through Alaska.
  19. This +PNA without El Nino is interesting... something else happening. (Alaska was 63F this Summer, previous record 61F)
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