NorthHillsWx

Whatever becomes of 92L, the weaker the system stays the further west it'll be able to go. Even if this maxes out as a weak TS, it may make its way into the Gulf before turning north. Canadian model shows this the best and would give central NC a widespread rain event. That seems to be the greatest potential impact from this system. Just too much shear and land in it's way not to mention the fact it still has not consolidated. I cannot see a path to a strong system at this point. It's also moving and forecast to remain moving extremely quick, which can make it tough to organize substantially given the initial organization, or lack there of

Picked up an additional 0.28” overnight for a 24-hr total of 1.90”

Big, Big storms this afternoon. May finally jackpot on rainfall. Been pouring for 2.5 hours. Also had pea-dime sized hail and some gusty winds I'd say were in the neighborhood of 50mph with the initial storm. Some great CTG lighting as well and it's been thundering since 3 pm. Great storm day, finally! Well over 1 inch, will check when the downpour ends but coming down hard still. EDIT storms have moved on but not before dumping 1.62” of much needed rain. Bout to go take a walk and check out the roaring creek down the hill

Getting close to finishing July with under an inch of rain at the farm in Franklin County. 0.94." Beans are exceptionally dry. Western half of the farm, away from rain gauge, got a heavy storm over the weekend while eastern half was dry. Comparatively better at the house in Wake county but still a very dry month. Issue with relying on pop up showers all month with minimal forcing for rainfall. Maybe the next few days can help on that front

System has really faded on modelling, has more dry air to contend with that we thought earlier, and now looks to be shear-plagued until it gets to about the area of the Bahamas. Also may have limitations due to land impacts if something can even get going. The ceiling is much lower for this system than what it looked yesterday. Very similar setup that led to the demise of Gonzalo. Only thing I'll say though is these two back to back systems are priming the atmosphere somewhat. Next system coming off the coast seems to have a more moist environment ahead of it. In the MDR region, it seems it takes a wave train sometimes before a system can break through, especially early in the season. I believe these systems are doing just that.

Very impressive system for its location. I did not expect the storm to remain this intact through the cooler waters. Luckily it looks like the core will remain offshore sparing Hawaii from major impacts. Awesome to watch storms on radar though

It’s amazing how naturally protected Hawaii is from hurricanes despite being in the middle of the tropical pacific.

0.24” at the house. High of “only” 92. Currently a very pleasant 76, where it’s been since about 3:00

Absolutely. She's a beaut, Clark

Douglas has gone beast mode this morning. We’ve seen this story plenty of times before though with storms approaching from the East, they usually are well on their way to becoming devoid of convection by the time they reach the islands, no matter how strong they get before. I can’t argue against history and cold water, this will be a minimal TS by the time of its nearest approach to the islands

I forgot what rain was here. We have dipped, ducked, and dodged every meaningful storm or shower over the last week. Watering just to keep yard on life support at this time with this heat and sun baking it

99L looks like it’s on it’s way to becoming a depression. Very much improved convection overnight

Bathtub water in all the places where it’s most dangerous

Looks like, in addition to being brutally hot, models have dried out significantly this week, decreasing our chances at any afternoon relief. Yesterday and today have been unbearably hot, the type of heat that you just can’t be outside in.

Invest 99L has my attention. Decent mid level rotation and not ridiculous amounts of shear. If it can overcome some dry air, especially to its north, and a relatively stable atmosphere, it may be our first shot at a MDR storm as it heads generally towards the windward islands. Has held its own despite unfavorable conditions thus far

Pretty funny to be in a flash flood/severe thunderstorm warning and not get a drop of rain

Picked up a whopping 0.08” after about 3 hours of rain

I’d be surprised if that just grazed you in Clayton! Looks like a nice storm

Picked up 0.10” from early morning showers

0.00" yesterday. "Storm" total of 0.12" after 3 days of rain chances of at least 50%. In good news, finally broke the rainless streak at my farm in franklin county. Picked up first rain since second week in June 0.25." Here comes the big dry (and heat)!

What’s the record for most tropical storm formations before a hurricane in the Atlantic basin? looks like impacts will be similar to a nor’easter but pretty rare landfall area for a TC

1.72” for the month but just 0.12” from this previously wet forecast period (last 3 days). Feel lucky to have gotten one big storm starting to look hot and dry after Monday. Perhaps entering into an extended dry (and hot) period dominated by our friend the SE ridge.

Missed all the afternoon activity. 0.00”

3 “showers” have amounted to no measurable rain so far. Looks like some development East of here hoping it rotates in without falling apart

Looks rather dry from triangle north and west today/tomorrow. Not sure everyone will even see rain. During this “wet” period