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Everything posted by pen_artist
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00z HRRR showing pretty quick recovery after first round of cells move through C IL. Has a 2nd round of more intense moving through the heart of the metro between 6-9pm.
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Not to put too much stock into it (and this is more so my compensation for not having as deep of a knowledge in meteorology) but the end of the 0z HRRR has STP values ranging from 6-12 over much the Chicagoland area.
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Haven't looked much into the setup myself but have heard some rumblings of a bigger severe threat later this week for western chunk of the subforum. Thought I'd get a thread going for it since it is looking like something will shape up.
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
pen_artist replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
In SW Plainfield just had some pea/dime sized hail. Seems like every storm passing over is producing a bit of hail with it. Odd with it being upper 40's out and having it hail but feeling like spring now lol. -
2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
pen_artist replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Tornado in Shorewood/Plainfield hit about 2 miles west of me. Nothing to note at my residence besides small branches and a shingle or two. Had a chance to drive through the affected neighborhood and saw a lot of blown down fences. Some siding/gutters ripped and some bigger trees uprooted (most likely due to the already soaked ground). No warning and not what I was expecting today! -
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2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
pen_artist replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Sun peaking through and can really feel the humidity in the house now. Looking at the visible radar it is pretty neat to see the distinct movement of the clouds as you go higher up. Got the ones above going NNE and ones below NNW. Guess we'll see what happens! -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
pen_artist replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Welp, we got our slight risk, just couple hundred miles down south -
One of those rare moments weather wise I'm kind of wishing I was back on campus at Purdue but even now sitting not too bad near I-80 and I-55 corridor. Hoping for a good 8-10 inches but may be wishful thinking.
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January 30-February 1 Winter Storm Part 2
pen_artist replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Puking snow right now at LAF looking like around an inch in the past hour or 2 -
Going to push my luck but thinking Purdue (West Lafayette, IN) gets 6-7" from this
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insane storm was actually at the dentist when it rolled through so they relocated me during my filling to the basement on a walk this evening took some damage pics from around my neighborhood
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Got narrowly missed by like a mile at my house from some storms but suspect ill get some rain tomorrow. Still abnormally dry here but we will see how long that holds up for
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Honestly not sure what qualifies as its own separate topic discussion so please mods just let me know if this should just stay being covered in the monthly discussion threads. Figured since we may be heading toward an extended streak of dry, hot conditions that haven't been seen in quite some years a thread might be warranted. https://twitter.com/nilwxreports/status/1280121654870339586?s=20
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Any idea where you could see the MOD being issued?
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Im still novice as it pertains to forecasting but I dont know if you follow Bob Waszak on Twitter but I'd say he's one of the more legit chasers in the area and he highlighted these two areas
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Definitely not needing another deluge but definitely liking the upcoming week with pop up storms and mid 80s. Such a stark contrast compared to earlier this month and finally feeling like summer
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May 13-19 Severe/Heavy Rain threats
pen_artist replied to Tim from Springfield (IL)'s topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Can't say I have seen such a small hatched area before but there is one for hail in texas panhandle -
Gotten bored to the point where I am reading through past convective outlooks when we actually got widespread severe weather
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March 26-28 Severe Threat
pen_artist replied to Tim from Springfield (IL)'s topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
How well is the RAP known to perform? still a bit novice to reading models but RAP seems to be the only one still showing something significant -
some good news to share perhaps though. looks like china has had its first day without cases within the country. all from foreigners coming in
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2019 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Thread
pen_artist replied to snowlover2's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Sitting at 77/74 with near 4000 CAPE a county to the south of me and can't seem to get a storm to go. Hopefully something can take form and take advantage of this environment. It's miserable out -
2019 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Thread
pen_artist replied to snowlover2's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
00z HRRR looking pretty decent tomorrow for N IL and NW IN. Will take it with a slight grain of salt though with recent HRRR performance.