mattie g

59 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

TEAL82 and TEAL83 tracking over the Bahamas right now heading to forward deploy for their recon missions during the upcoming days for Lee. 

Does NHC still only fly the 130s or are they utilizing something like Global Hawk, as well?

1 hour ago, high risk said:

  And of course SPC issues a SLGT right after I type that.....

Maybe Chuck *is* the SPC...

12 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

ground here is starting to look pretty rough - and some leaves are changing color that shouldn't be.

It's not at all unusual...at least not IMBY.

13 minutes ago, H2O said:

I think we are keeping the same pool mgmt co we’ve used the last 5-6 years but cost for 3 yr contract will rise significantly. 

Always a trade off to stay open later than Labor Day and it would have to be written in the contract. Staffing def an issue. Calendar seems to factor in with early or late Memorial or Labor weekends to either feel too soon to close or just right. 

my kid worked yesterday as a guard and said it was so packed they did triples in chairs. 

We ended up with the same management company, but the yearly costs were significantly higher than when we last signed a contract (I believe five years ago). We put a vote out to the community to ask whether they would prefer we limit hours or not to keep the costs lower. In the end, the hours worked out fine, but there was plenty of grousing early on about the slightly increased registration fees.

I think we have flexibility in terms of adjusting the open and close dates from year to year, but we'd need to coordinate that well in advance of the season opening.

I don't think we were properly staffed with lifeguards yesterday. Lots of our lifeguards are already back with ports so they just weren't available, so those who were there got a little overtime.

3 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

yeah I think that was one of the big issues with a story last month from ATL where all their pools were closing but a couple in the first week of Aug - no lifeguards because the kids were all back in school.  Which begs the question, why are schools in the SE starting school in early August?

First week of August in Huntsville. That's nuts.

5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

It is all about finding lifeguards.  

And paying for them.

The issue for us is that we reduced our hours slightly for the season in order to keep pool management costs down (we had a contract recompete this year). Extending the season by two weeks is a little tricky because the weather can either be pool-perfect or pretty crappy and you might be paying to keep the lights on and lifeguards compensated when people just won't be using the pool.

Yesterday, some of us were discussing maybe keeping the pool closed for the weekdays during the first week or two of June and then staying open for an extra weekend at the end of the season. Seems logical!

Hell of a closing weekend at the pool. Place was mobbed yesterday, and was probably the most fun of any days we had all summer!

Definitely a bummer to know we won't have any more long weekend days of just chilling with friends around the pool, but it does get us started on Friday happy hours on the cul-de-sac!

On 9/1/2023 at 10:43 PM, EastCoast NPZ said:

This is what 4.32" of rain for an entire Summer looks like.

That looks awful. I definitely wouldn’t want to be your neighbor.

^

It was really thoughtful of the guy at 2:30 to put his blinker on when he turned into the parking lot.

29 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

79/40 Loving it! Am not looking forward to hot temps returning on Sunday. 

It's going to kind of suck, but we know that these temps will followed pretty closely by more of what we're seeing today.

I love summer and hot temps, but once the kids are back in school and the pool closes, I'm ready for 70/50.

11 hours ago, hstorm said:

Our pool is fortunately also open next weekend (but unfortunately closed Tues-Fri).  Those couple extra pool days are going to be needed.

Nice. Should still work out for you guys!

Our pool stayed open for an extra weekend or two in 2021 (I think). From what I recall, the weather didn't cooperate, so no one really used it.

Tough call when your pool is trying to cut some costs and the weather could either be nice and toasty or cloudy and cool. Hell...even the bright, sunny days can end with temps in the breezy 60s by a little after dinnertime and the sun going down behind the trees. Not the best swimming weather at that point!

1 hour ago, H2O said:

Payback for summer with no summer. Late season heat waves suck. 

Cool for the last week of pool season, then the heat arrives after the pool closes.

Hate.

27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Next week is gonna SUCK

104 for days on end?

If so, I need to get my AC fixed, pronto.

28 minutes ago, coolio said:

Had to go to Burke on Sunday and I could tell they've gotten a lot of rain. Branches were so overgrown you couldn't see the road signs.

Yup...Burke is in serious need of some Manscaping.

15 hours ago, Mrs.J said:

77 and mostly cloudy. With the trees done pretending that they need to stay green with the lack of rain and starting to change behind the house it feels like a proper early fall evening. 

We've had plenty of rain and are still losing some leaves. Just a normal process as the trees have been sucking up lots of water throughout the summer and shed some leaves to keep from becoming too dry. I'm sure places that have gotten less rain would lose more leaves, but it's not really a strange occurrence.

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

There were some openly wondering whether we'd get through August with no named storms  

In all seriousness though, hindsight is 20/20, and September still needs to produce because I do think things ramp down quickly after September 20. 

Hindsight is 20/20, but we had all kinds of folks on here stating that they didn't think NHC should have doubled down on their call for an above-average season. I didn't point it out at the time, but it always amazes me when people think they know so much better than experts.

Experts can be wrong, of course, but it seemed pretty obvious that they were confident coming into mid-August despite the basin looking dead for a long time prior.

Folks still saying they know better than the NHC's calls for an active remainder of the season?

Definitely cleared out here in Burke.

Awaiting my derecho.

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro has it also. Similar to GGEM through FL landfall, but euro gets shoved farther OTS with the incoming gorgeous early fall HP. Still probably cat 2/3 near our latitude though.

Ah...I hadn't checked the Euro before I posted.

The GFS has an area of unsettled weather in the southern Gulf around that time, so maybe there's something to it.

Icon has similar...  

31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No worries....I just like to attach a graphic to the link, but its dangerous to do that today because no one reads. lol

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

12z GGEM back with the eastern gulf homebrew that comes close enough to keep an eye on. Marginal PRE signal as well.

Not that far out there, either. Of course, homebrew can spin up at a moment's notice, but we'd "want" to start seeing this pop up on other guidance relatively soon.

20 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Yeah, I didn’t intend for anyone to read as such into what I said about Dec. Nino winters tend to lean backloaded anyway. 

What does concern me is the warm ssts across the board. Where and how can we get enough cold air if our average 850s is -4 in mid winter, and ssts are +2-4 above normal? Pretty small margin for error there. 

No doubt that we have very little wiggle room. I just choose not to get worked up over something that hasn't happened yet because...we just can't know.

We've sucked so hard recently that having another sucky winter would result in a "Meh" from me. It would be annoying and I'd be really disappointed for my kids not getting to get some actual snow days and play in the snow, but I'd just move on and hope things were better next year!

7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

If it's august and we're already punting December then we're fooked bigly.

We're not punting anything. FFS.

16 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Latest CFS runs think we are heading into a Nina.

Jorts and Natty Light for Christmas.

16 minutes ago, Its a Breeze said:

Truly an interesting, if not amazing experience.

For me when it was happening and immediately after, it was about 99% wow/awesome and 1% nervousness - like 1) what are we supposed to be doing? hiding under a desk? running out the building? 2) that...was not weak.

I noped TF out of a rickety-ass enlisted barracks-turned office space on Andrews AFB. Tried standing in a doorway to start, and when that thing swayed like a reed in the wind I ran the hell outside.