mattie g

Not directed at you, specifically, but...who cares?

This winter is so dumb. So is every winter.

Apparently f**ked off for a while. Can’t say it’s a bad thing.

Because people are dumb.

You know things are bad when I have multiple posts on the same page in the medium-/long-range thread.

I'm choosing not to get invested in placement of any specific threat outside of three days. I think the models are doing a good job of seeing windows, but with all the crazy sh*t happening in the atmosphere, they just can't nail down specifics at any sort of extended range. As Luvr has pointed out many times, the GFS shows a very different vort look at every six hours, so with all that interaction there's simply no way to be confident in what will happen in my little slice of backyard beyond a few days.

Holy sh*t...I see blue sky out of my home office!!!

Question: If a block is supposed to slow down the flow and, in theory, make it easier for models to "understand" what's going to happen, then why do we have so many fast-moving vorts flying all over the place right now, thus leading to model chaos?

PSU's unwillingness to use "than" puts me on tilt.

Fairfax County putting a decision on hold for another month. Good decision, even though everyone wants their kids back in school.

Sweet. I could really use some enhanced showers here.

PSU is about the only person who replies to He Who Must Be Ignored. If we can just bring him into the light, then we might be able to keep the long-range threads from getting sh*tted up on the regular.

FYP

Looks great!

We’re cracking the 2020 Anniversary bottle (aged in Weller 12-year barrels) and 2017 Reserve (aged in 11-year Knob Creek barrels), and will follow that with a couple cans of Parish Holy Ghost. We’re going to have the same stout share this time next year. Nice list! Keeping those beers for double-digit years is really impressive! I feel the pain on ruining your vertical in a moment of weakness . I have 2014 and 2016-2020 stouts, as well as a 2014 barleywine. Jealous of those older bottles, but I’d never be able to pull the trigger on drinking them!

Wife and I are starting Drynuary on Sunday...because there’s no way in hell we could go two weekend nights in a row after the last two weeks. I feel a bit of relief that I’ve got a couple more days to go, but I’m fearful of my mental state come next Sunday evening.

Been entertaining our girls most of the day, but finally have some down time. Of course, the weather is disgusting, so I’m watching DVRed soccer. Could be worse, I suppose. Will be sitting by the heater under the carport and cracking some special release Bourbon County stout bottles with my buddy later.

OK. That’s pretty dumb.

I feel like I missed something that was well worth reading. Kind of.

I think this is the best place to put this... I think the reason that there have been so many comments about the progged look not being ideal is because there are many of us (me included) who can recognize that classic look but who can't recognize a general good pattern in which we can score. There are other (like you, psu) who can recognize those "workable" patterns because you've researched them over the years, but the rest of us can't recognize or don't understand the nuances of those decent looks. If we don't see a ridge on the west coast, a 50/50 low, and a big, red blob in the NAO domain then we assume that it's not a good enough look for snow...or it's a look in which we are very likely to fail. Anyways, thanks for the work you put into this. Your skills as both a hobbyist and a teacher really come through when explaining what does or doesn't constitute a pattern that can bring us snow.

BWI: 17” DCA: 9” IAD: 19” RIC: 9” Tiebreaker SBY: 7”

And then we call the doctor.

AO is positive. No cold. Next. Unless...the storm creates its own cold! I'm in!