ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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EPS luke warm on 2/14....it's there but needs a little help...still some time to yank that NW
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Wouldn't be surprised to see the bands strengthen a little more over the next hour or two in eastern areas....there's some -EPV overlaid on the the ML fronto there right now
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Definitely has gotten more organized over central/eastern MA/N RI.
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Poundage with good flakes
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Getting smoked now. Somewhere around 25dbz seems to be that magic number for getting big snow growth
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Ripping pretty good right now....might be able to salvage solid advisory if we can keep this up for another 3-4 hours.
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Radar actually looks pretty good for SE MA at the moment.
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Baking powder under these echoes. Gonna need some better bands to reach 3" here.
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Filling in now
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Good flakes here
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We're def getting better and better snow growth by the second just north of the slot....was pure baking powder/dandruff even 20 minutes ago, but now it's probably more than half hooked-dendrites. Seems like 25 dbz is prob the magic number down here.
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You can actually see it better on OKX radar....new bands trying to start up in CT
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There's stuff trying to redevelop to your SW. You prob aren't completely done.
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Getting some better flakes in this now. Still a lot of baking powder but mixed with some hooked dendrites. Vis is really low now. This is borderline moderate/heavy.
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NAM developed some modest H7 fronto....if we're going to see some enhanced bands, we'd want that to start showing up in the next couple hours.
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Snowing pretty decent in this band, but the snow growth isn't good. Its like snowing moderate dandruff.
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You might be screwed....it'll be close. There will be redevelopment, but it might be almost top of you or it mainly is N.
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Doesn't look like a very wide area will be seeing the steadier/heavier stuff unless this fills in more...which it might.
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2-5"....not seeing much warning snowfall potential. Maybe a narrow stripe can get 6 or 7 if everything breaks right in the next 8 hours. If that stuff south of LI could link up with the northern bands, then it would get exciting, but it seems they don't do that until offshore. But we watch...
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It is hot and cold. I've seen it do great and then other times it's a dumpster fire. Someone is gonna be wrong though between HRRR and NAM.
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Radar trying to fill in now off to the west.
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Feb 2015, Jan 2005, Jan 2011, Jan 1987, Jan 1996, Jan 2015.....prob Feb 1899 in there too. The top months all seem to be bunched near 50" for the month. Though obviously if you cross over month boundaries, you can get 3-4 week periods with more than that (ala 2015)
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Yeah biggest difference between the NAM and the RAP/HRRR is south of the MA/CT border....NAM looks a lot better there than RAP/HRRR.
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12z NAM looks really good for pike region...best cross-hair sig continues to be N of pike though....it does get better QPF south of MA/CT border than previous runs.
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Congrats Scooter, Dotrat, wxniss, and Jerry on the RPM.
