ORH_wxman

NAM def more amped than 12z.

Whole system was kind of meh from a dynamics standpoint...for a min i thought it was gonna try and go the 3km NAM route of redeveloping a nice low along the front further south, but it wasn't quite able to do that. It would still flip most people over to snow but prob not more than an inch or two once you are southeast of Berkshires/NW CT in SNE....it's a decent event for CNE/NNE but again, lacking the dynamics so it's not double digits.

Wow this run is going to be interesting,,.cold.

Absolutely, and someone living in DC would kill for Ray's 43" even though he's about ready to throw himself off the Tobin with that seasonal total. All about expectations. Anyways, not to derail too much....here's what we got for this threat: East basket: NAM/Euro/UKMET West Basket: GFS/ICON/RGEM In between: GGEM

Yeah he hasn't quite learned how much we make fun of eachother yet....obviously each subforum has its own flavor.

The meltouts are the worst IMHO for that type of snow climo....I'm already kind of a pack guy down in interior SNE, but if I was up there, I'd really be weighting the pack heavily in my winter satisfaction. So when you get a winter like this year with so many cutters, it's really going to bring the grade down....so I can totally understand the frustration. I wouldn't want to hear about "Snow totals" from people in low land SNE either telling me not to be annoyed. I'd want a 30"+ pack which is basically climo for Randolph at this point in the season.

Euro and NAM versus the rest. We'll see if Ukie comes in colder.

Yeah I'd be rooting for one of those 190-200 inch winters....they prob happen every 3-5 years there, but it can be streaky too. Sometimes you'll get 2 or 3 in a row and then you'll have to wait 5-6 seasons. Mostly though, I'd get grouchy at melt-outs and those have been a problem this year. Sometimes, you just miss snow events but at least what snow that falls, keeps staying around and adds up slowly over time. But years like this have had a lot of melting and cutters which really sucks for winter sports. Last year had the horrific Xmas cutter, but at least once that was done, there wasn't another nasty one until maybe March? So the snow depths got pretty good up there.

I don't think this one has the flash freeze look that 3/8/05 had...it does bring cold air in eventually but it's not the super sharp flip like in '05....in that storm, I remember going from like 38-40F and heavy rain to maybe 27F in 2 hours. It was really fast. This one seems like it would have a more gradual drop with a longer period of temps near freezing when the flip happens. We'll see though....3km NAM was kind of doing it, though maybe not quite as fast as '05. It had that secondary pulse around 00z (and beyond if we could see another panel) where snow was ripping with temps falling into the 20s.

Prob mostly correct on the 12km which was less impressive than the 3km.... though it's likely too light in the elevations in N ORH county and Monads. But obviously too early to really be worrying about clown maps as it is. Still too much model spread.

Yeah he posted that earlier in the week before yesterday's system. Tries to rush spring every single March.

Yeah the 3km was kind of crazy looking....like it looked like it would really try and crush after 00z as it was reinvigorating the front to the southwest with the potent H5 trough.

Sure does...that's prob gonna get at least western SNE with some accumulating snows.

Kind of weird how flat the ARW members are on the SREFs. I usually expect them to be jackpotting Ottawa at this point.

You and Alex might do well since a lot of the snow is on a N to NW wind....even during the synoptic snow portion and not just the upslope. Hopefully it doesn't amp back up and cause rain issues....if it doesn't, you can prob score double digits.

Nice morning.

Still some nice fatties falling to top this off. Little band hanging back.

Some good fatties falling just a few min ago while finishing up an easy shovel job. Light doesn’t do it very good justice

It’s about done…

Looks like one last really good band trying to strengthen in NE CT Hopefully a nice finale to end it

Eyeballing a couple inches in Holliston. Maybe a little more. Stuck to everything. Hopefully we can grab another inch or so. Coming down good right now.

Incoming for Scooter

In the heaviest stuff yet now. Really dumping. Hopefully we can pick up a quick inch in the next 45 min with this heavier burst.

Any updated thoughts on how much N CT might get? You always mention what your thoughts are for E MA.

Yeah I had a brief period of light snow around lunch time but then basically weenie flakes for another hour until it started for real around 45 min to an hour ago. It only got heavier in the past 30 min.