ORH_wxman

Earliest sub-32F on record there (they did hit exactly 32F on 10/18/77 though, so not technically the earliest freeze)

The irony being our last El Nino (2018-19) acted like a La Nina. Then the warm neutral 2019-2020 was about as scintillating as 1988-89 after the early December storm.

Yeah here you go Here's the link to Mike Ventrice's site where you can get it http://mikeventrice.weebly.com/hovmollers.html

I think maybe they are just a proxy for subconsciously being afraid of La Nina? I can understand that from our Mid-Atlantic brethren as Nina gets more hostile the further south you go, but it's really nothing to be scared of in New England.

What is with the obsession of the GOA SSTs? I mean yeah, I guess you want them warmer all things equal, but they are about 20th on a list of the top 25 most important variables. We literally spent almost the entire stretch of prolific years between 2007-2013 with frigid ice water in the GOA.

Sleeping through 4 inches per hour on 1/27/11 as a snow weenie is a good enough credential for me.

Here's the one close up loop I have....I wish I had it about an hour or two earlier but you can see where the band was before it started sinking back SE...

Most of the sleep experts say that standard time should be the permanent one instead of DST. Who knows what will happen though. Permanent DST passed the senate but the house never took it up.

I have it on my computer so I can post it later. Your area had a solid 10-12” from that one iirc…with the highest jack being right near PYM where they had over a foot…like 14” or so.

You'd be hard pressed to find another winter that had as strong a snowfall gradient as 2007-2008 Just south of the pike was probably the dividing line between below normal and above normal (maybe a line from the CT/MA border to near Scooter)...there was a little island of higher snows near PYM because they got stuck in a really good band in the 1/26-27/08 storm that missed most of the area but got the Cape.

Fast forward that about 6 weeks and we're ripping S+ out of that.

We had a legit threat like every 3-6 days that winter....save maybe a brief break in the January week-long torch.

Yeah I’m actually cautiously optimistic that means a more active pattern going forward into winter. We typically don’t have long stretches of dryness here. I remember we had some really long dry stretches in late summer and early fall 2007 before it seemed to snap and we had that crazy active pattern go right into winter. Fingers crossed for something similar.

Most of the literature points to more extremes on the whole....but it's not evenly distributed. We will see less extreme cold going forward but more extreme heatwaves, more extreme flooding events (and by precip proxy maybe some more extreme snow events). The spacial distribution isn't very well-known either. Non-temperature attribution studies are generally some of the least confident in the science.

Yeah top of the list was 2/1/21....I think I had 17 inches in that one here while you had like 2-3 inches of slush mixed with rain. Even Norwood not very far west of you had 10 inches of mashed potatoes.

Hopefully rubber band snaps on the boring wx sometime next month and into winter.

Hubbdave was pretty epic in the 2014-2015 winter...."meh'd" his way to 115(?) inches of snow. I don't think he liked seeing all of those Scooter jackpots. But I will at least sympathize with him for the Jan 2015 blizzard where we got annihilated in ORH and he was choking on arctic sand exhaust just northwest of the death band. Hubbdave is a little more subtle though....you and Lavarock are co-captains of the Poo-Poo Pom-Pom cheerleading team.

No frost on the hill here but pretty solid frost once down at the bottom driving my boys to school/daycare.

That was the first weather event that started making me aware that CT River valley didn’t do nearly as well for snow. At my young age, I assumed the snow always just got better the further west you went. Then when I was skiing at wachusett later that same winter after the March ‘93 superstorm, I was sharing a chair lift with this woman from Springfield and she kept commenting that she couldn’t believe how much snow Worcester had all winter including that storm compared to Springfield. Once we had that convo, I was fully aware of the river shadow.

Nat gas was cheap globally when there were no supply issues/bottlenecks. But now that there are, we’re going to pay for it because we’re dumb enough to not have any infrastructure to deliver the domestic nat gas to us. It’s honestly embarrassing.

Me too. I remember every tropical update that summer. Hurricane Allison and Hurricane Erin were two of my favorites and then it felt like we were tracking Felix for an eternity as it teased the east coast a couple times before recurving. Hell I even remember some of he useless pacific hurricanes that formed off western Mexico and went to nowhere. Then you had threats way into October with Hurricane Opal…and by the time you were done with that, the snows started two weeks later in early November and we weren’t taking a Gatorade break until late April. It was like being a little kid in ToysRUS where your attention span never had a chance to suffer boredom. If the booms and busts of the late 80s/early 90s cemented me as a wx weenie, June 1995-April 1996 made me downright obsessed with weather.

Sounds like attendance at this one is going to be pretty good.

A lot of seasonal models have liked November to be pretty cold too....my hope is that it is skewed toward 2nd half of November and carries over into December.

Your 'hood is due for a good one....been kind of rough on the north shore of MA and sea coast of NH the last few winters.

The Franklin coop to the west of Walpole at 250-300 feet reported 28 inches....which I think is not totally believable, but you get the idea on the gradient. I could believe the higher spots in Walpole getting 18" though. The 12.9" from the coop was one of the lower spots at 170 feet. Those spots in Walpole at 250-350 feet prob did quite a bit better.