baltosquid

Slower and slightly more amped was basically 06z GFS lol so fingers crossed something like that happens. I think that's a reasonable ceiling for the setup barring some sort of change up top in the short term that makes us verify notably colder.

Hmmm. Snow verbatim but it came quicker. Wanted to see it move back instead and fall more after dark. I think we in the lowlands really need a late in the day or ideally nighttime passage to be in the game. But maybe we can eat away a little at the projected warmth and make some day snow work.

Winter wonderland type look. Hopefully we get a widespread look like that sometime. The paste has a way of wrapping things around with snow that’s so pretty, while powder sits on top.

combo of ground warmth and moisture? Feels like snow was just getting swallowed by puddles as the soil was so saturated already from the snowcrete melt, prior rains and opening rain from this storm. Also probably made the ground temps way more stubborn due to the moisture content. At least that’s my guess.

FWIW euro ai came south a bit but it’s faster than other guidance and it is during the day. May have worked out south of the M/D if it happened 6-12 hours later, and it is by a bit the fastest guidance right now it seems. edit: actually it’s about the same result, but marginally better look at 540. Just need some better timing and a little colder. Confidence in this is low here, screams something that will be for NW

Gosh, please. Really seems like it could come down to overnight vs day passage.

Looking at the radar, that one overnight band (late inverted trough jog? Or just a lucky band thrown back to us) was probably what finally broke the coating barrier we’d been stuck at. Damn it makes me wish that low could have done anything but just turbo scoot its way out east. A few more bands like that would have made a big difference here.

Deck in the alley probably has about an inch and change. Some less occluded areas may push 2? Still some light snow but accumulations probably cutoff shortly with the sun. Shame we couldn’t get more; the paste we do have here looks nice but just not deep enough to cover everything.

Yeah I thought to myself while walking my dog that it felt closer to walking in the rain than anything, just so wet.

I'd settle for just not jacking... that blue area's a good bit worse than not jacking unfortunately, especially with UHI. It is beautiful though. Bittersweet. Says a lot about the Mid Atlantic for that beauty to end up the way it does in some of our locales.

Same. I am skeptical we get much measurable stuff period, pavement or not.

Walked the dog. Slushy coating on grass and other amenable surfaces. Light snow, a bit breezy. At times, light-moderate. Never really got true heavy snow here unfortunately. At this point, 2-4" seems too high now. T-2" more like. We'll see in the morning. One day Baltimore will get the goods without complications... one day.

Case in point, the 18z euro just suppressed it to death.

Car topper achieved…..

Zero accumulation so far in Canton.